"Following this, #IDF soldiers broke into the residential building where Mabhough's family lived, blew up the entrance gate and shot inside. When it became clear that Mabhough was outside his apartment, they ordered his family to leave the house and move to the south of the Gaza Strip."
verbose kirt
Side-tracked scientist. Trying to work out how to re-start a career in evolutionary biology or find something else to do.
I can read about half a dozen alphabets and abjads - Latin, Cyrillic, Arabic, Urdu, Hindi, Hebrew, Greek - one day I will find a use for this? But I only speak English. I started on #Yiddish in August because it was that or actually learn some useful vocabulary in the others.
I cc my other profiles so I can see notifications on other servers.
I'm on a few different instances, so far nobody seems to object to this and it works for me. But if something I've done here is a problem and I'm not responding, tell my less erratic friends @TashTaylor or @quinsibell and they'll find me to fix it.
I try to keep my profiles vaguely themed to each instance's topic - so people I share one interest with don't get too many irrelevant posts - but this will be my general place to post from when that over 500 characters.
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Another brief mention of the #polio detected in #Gaza
https://open.spotify.com/episode/5lANCZfEyvpbyuwxlTV42j #AlJazeera
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2024 Gaza Strip polio epidemic
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Gaza_Strip_polio_epidemic
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Changed my profile photo, much less eye-catching, but probably makes my point better?
Previously it was Hamdi Quran doing the V for victory ✌️ because "an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth, a head for a head!" (Ahmad Saadat's speech) sounds terrible until someone tries a thousands heads for forty… and then it turns out even forty was understating the plan…
But that looked bad next to posts…
I'm honestly completely lost.
I was saying killing children is a BAD thing, incase that's not obvious.
Who do you think is the victim in this?
Not just kids, dads as well.
They killed Mohammed Deif's 7 month old baby son in 2014.
You definitely can't say that made 7 October less likely?
Now they've killed a few dozzen of Haneah's kids and grandkids.
As far as I can tell Haneah specifically is not that bad, he seems to be very much from the moderate end of the party's range of views.
@Gillybean @kirt@mastodon.social @kirt@newsie.social @kirt@aus.social
I found the other paper! https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)02640-5/fulltext "Excess mortality in Gaza: Oct 7–26, 2023" also in #TheLancet
Found it via this https://time.com/6909636/gaza-death-toll/
cc @kirt@mastodon.social @kirt@med-mastodon.com @kirt@mstdn.science @kirt@zeroes.ca
@quinsibell maybe my blog can just be here?
The theme of the server is not very relevant, but I found it because a #Meduza journalist is here.
cc @kirt@mastodon.social @kirt@newsie.social @kirt@sauropods.win @evolving_string
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The same #Underdispersion has now been noted by #AbrahamWyner from #UniversityofPennsylvania but (for reasons I have not yet found) his data starts on 26 October.
https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/how-gaza-health-ministry-fakes-casualty-numbers
Some of the correlations are interesting, but they only include about a dozen data points from way over a hundred days of #war … I'll have a closer look to see how those are picked… 🍒
cc other mes @kirt@infosec.exchange @kirt@med-mastodon.com @kirt@mstdn.science
I was planning to look at male vs female counts myself.
If it is real (for a bigger subset of days) I think what it shows is fudging dates to hide the identities of combatants, and possibly downplay the number of them.
But, the #IDF already assuming (implausibly) that almost every male over 15 is a combatant, the real number is very likely to still be lower than that.
More importantly, it doesn't indicate that the women and children under 15 are not real civilians who really died.
But i should read this properly…
cc-ing my other profiles @kirt@mastodon.social @kirt@med-mastodon.com @kirt@mstdn.science
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Gaza Ministry of Health looks like they might be are UNDER reporting war deaths.
Gaza's war death stats look somewhat like Russian #COVID data, which is to say, they look suspicious, but they definitely DON'T look like an over count.
🔗 https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)02713-7/fulltext 🔗 the Lancet article this data is from
It zig zags up, looking like real world data, then on about 27 October 2023 it simultaneously drops AND shows possible under-dispersion (a statistical term meaning the number per day is suspiciously consistent). It looks a bit like when #Russia were refusing to report more than 800 COVID deaths per day, but it' isn't quite as severe.
🔗 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9111161/ 🔗 "Underdispersion: A statistical anomaly in reported Covid data" Dmitry Kobak
This is unfortunately unlikely to be a real reduction because, despite reported war deaths in the general population halving, deaths of UN Workers increase.
It is possible the Government of Gaza are deliberately under-reporting deaths, exactly like Russia were during the pandemic. (Realistically if you started - or massively escalated - a war, and
got tens of thousands of people massacred by a much-better-armed enemy, you might not fully admit to how bad things were getting?)
But in this case I think it's more likely that deaths per day have exceeded Gaza's capacity to report them. Despite the constant accusations, the numbers Gaza's MOH are releasing are not just an estimate, they are only the named identified dead, they exclude anyone trapped under rubble and possibly those who ended up buried in mass graves (mild "citation needed" but I've heard that from moderately reliable sources and I'll believe it till I see a more reliable source refute it).
But it doesn't just hit a ceiling, something very suddenly goes wrong with their data reporting on 27 October 2023 (+/- 2 days) … I've not yet found what this corresponds to, but it might be around the time the #IDF ground invasion of Gaza began?
(cc my other profiles @kirt@mastodon.social @kirt@med-mastodon.com @kirt@mstdn.science for the notifications)
#data #statistics #PublicHealth #PublicHealthData #Lancet #TheLancet
#Gaza #GazaGenocide #GazaMassacre #GazaMOH
#Russia799 #враньё799 #враньё #799враньё #CovidRussia #Covid19ru #UNRWA
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@kevinrothrock @kirt@newsie.social
very tangentially related, Gaza MOH death stats look slightly like Russian COVID data…
it zig zags up real world data, then on 27 October it simultaneously halves AND simultaneously shows severe under-dispersion.
it isn't quite as severe as when Russia was refusing to report more than 800 COVID deaths per day, but it's pretty bad
This rant evolved from a comment on a comment on a #JerusalemPost article.
Hamas are a bunch of sexist religious conservatives, I doubt they like queers, but the objections to Queer leftists opposing the war are nuts. The biggest pro war voices in Israel are anti #LGBTQ nationalist / religious extremists like #Bezalel_Smotrich who organised a #BeastParade to mock the pride parade in Israel.
Do guys like #Smotrich mean western #queers should all be in favour of the #7October attack? that logic is just as broken as saying we should support bombing and starving Gaza.
Other than the clear danger posed to EVERYONE in Gaza, including any (probably closeted) queers, bombing #Gaza while flying #RainbowFlags and talking about #WesternValues is MASSIVELY counter productive.
Persecuting queers seems to be a very low priority for Hamas. But, for example, in #Russia it is becoming very prominent and a central part of the rhetoric involved is accusing queer activists of being malicious agents of western imperialism.
I've found two documented cases of specific #LGBT people killed by Hamas, both men, both soldiers, both shot.
One of their own killed by firing squad in 2016. Western Tabloids said it was because he was gay, but the charge was vague, I'm not very confident that's the full story. It's possible, just currently I rate it as "not enough info".
And one IDF on 7 October, obviously not killed for being gay.
From what i have seen so far, I don't believe #Hamas was recently throwing anyone off buildings. All the photos I've seen claiming to be "Hamas would throw you off a building" have been ISIS, Hamas and #ISIS hate each other.
Vigilantes might have done it, but vigilantes in Sydney Australia threw 88 gay guys off a cliff, this doesn't mean bombing Sydney helps LGBT people.
A cop in Sydney killed a gay couple this year, i still don't think anyone should bomb Sydney, but if the #IDF want too come "neutralize" the NSW police?
tangential tags…
#hamasisisis #hamas_is_isis #HamasISIS
wtf is #JewishISIS ?
Is this article daft or dishonest? The Israeli government did not "miss" that it was not just Hamas, the Israeli government are LYING. They know they can't say out loud in #English that their goal is the total destruction of Palestine, so they say their goal is the total destruction of "Hamas" and then separately say that they have to destroy #Palestine because "Hamas" are hiding behind it.
"even the Israeli government missed: The war and gruesome attacks against Israel have been framed as #Israel against #Hamas … (however) … there is plenty of conclusive evidence demonstrating that multiple Palestinian #terrorist organizations were involved in the barbaric attacks that occurred in Israel on October 7." https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-769597
I agree with their description of the current situation - #Israel are at war with Palestine, not just #Hamas - but your solution will NOT work.
Subjugating Palestine doesn't make Israel or Europe or anywhere else more safe.
If Israel try "the whole nation must surrender and understand that they will have terms dictated to them" … the average human being's response to that is "give me freedom or give me death!"
If Israel try to give them ALL death, then most of the world will disagree with the statement "Israel has a right to exist". If Israel kills 5 million Palestinians (more like double that if those living abroad return home to join the fight), then the historical comparisons Israelis find extremely offensive will become very difficult to disagree with.
National total surrender worked when Japan surrendered to the USA. But post war Japan had much MORE autonomy than Palestine has NOW. That option would be an independent democratic Palestine with full membership of the United Nations. Also, Japan did not surrender until they were allowed to keep the emperor; even the goal of eliminating Hamas will not work.
cc @kirt@mastodon.social @kirt@aus.social @kirt@newsie.social
verbose kirt boosted:
Password leaving my memory ASAP as I create them. Literally. The next page asks me to login. I have already forgotten my password. 🤣
Client Info
Server: https://mastodon.social
Version: 2025.07
Repository: https://github.com/cyevgeniy/lmst