#AusVotes

The last House seat has now been formally declared, and the 2025 federal election is now over.

#auspoli #AusVotes

AUSTRALIA

SEATS ELECTED/LEADING [150 OF 150] (CHANGE SINCE 2022)
LABOR: 94/94 (+17/+17)
COALITION: 43/43 (-16/-16)
INDEPENDENT: 10/10 (+2/+2)
KATTER'S AUSTRALIAN PARTY: 1/1 (±0/±0)
GREENS: 1/1 (-3/-3)
CENTRE ALLIANCE: 1/1 (±0/±0)
76 SEATS FOR MAJORITY

SWING SINCE 2022: 3.0% SWING L/NP TO ALP

The #Bradfield recount is complete, with the independent Nicolette Boele defeating the Liberals' Gisele Kapterian by 26 votes.

Formal declaration to take place tomorrow, at which point the federal election will be officially complete (though there is still the possibility of a court challenge).

#auspoli #AusVotes

BRADFIELD

PRIMARY VOTE [93.7% IN] (CHANGE SINCE 2022)
GISELE KAPTERIAN (LIB): 42,676 (38.0%, -5.6%)
NICOLETTE BOELE (IND): 30,309 (27.0%, +5.9%^) WINNER
LOUISE MCCALLUM (ALP): 22,768 (20.3%, +2.6%)
HARJIT SINGH (GRN): 7,551 (6.7%, -1.9%)
ANDY YIN (IND): 4,635 (4.1%, ^)
JOHN MANTON (ONP): 1,725 (1.5%, +0.1%)
SAMUEL JOSEPH GUNNING (LBT): 1,376 (1.2%, +0.9%)
ROSEMARY MULLIGAN (TOP): 1,162 (1.0%, +1.0%)
OTHERS: - (-3.0%)
^ AGGREGATED ACROSS CANDIDATES IN PARTY

TWO CANDIDATE PREFERRED [93.7% IN], 2022 LIB MARGIN: 3.4%
NICOLETTE BOELE (IND): 56,114 (50.0%) WINNER
GISELE KAPTERIAN (LIB): 56,088 (50.0%)

SWING SINCE 2022: 3.4% SWING LIB TO IND
2025-06-04

#CommunityIndependent Nicolette Boele wins Sydney seat of Bradfield. (ABC News AU) #ausvotes

Counting has concluded in the Senate.

Labor and One Nation both gain seats at the expense of the Coalition. But Labor will be able to pass legislation with either Coalition or Greens support.

#auspoli #AusVotes

AUSTRALIA (SENATE)

SEATS ELECTED [40 OF 40] (CHANGE SINCE 2022)
LABOR: 29 (+3)
COALITION: 27 (-5)
GREENS: 12 (±0)
ONE NATION: 4 (+2)
JACQUI LAMBIE NETWORK: 2 (±0)
UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY: 1 (±0)
DAVID POCOCK: 1 (±0)
39 SEATS FOR MAJORITY

SWING SINCE 2022: 4.7% SWING L/NP TO ALP

We're into week 2 of the #Bradfield recount, and Nicolette Boele has taken a 21-vote lead at this stage.

It could, however, easily flip back to Kapterian over the coming days as the recount continues.

#auspoli #AusVotes

BRADFIELD

PRIMARY VOTE [93.7% IN] (CHANGE SINCE 2022)
GISELE KAPTERIAN (LIB): 42,687 (38.0%, -5.6%)
NICOLETTE BOELE (IND): 30,310 (27.0%, +5.9%^)
LOUISE MCCALLUM (ALP): 22,773 (20.3%, +2.6%)
HARJIT SINGH (GRN): 7,552 (6.7%, -1.9%)
ANDY YIN (IND): 4,634 (4.1%, ^)
JOHN MANTON (ONP): 1,724 (1.5%, +0.1%)
SAMUEL JOSEPH GUNNING (LBT): 1,375 (1.2%, +0.9%)
ROSEMARY MULLIGAN (TOP): 1,162 (1.0%, +1.0%)
OTHERS: - (-3.0%)
^ AGGREGATED ACROSS CANDIDATES IN PARTY

TWO CANDIDATE PREFERRED [93.7% IN], 2022 LIB MARGIN: 3.4%
NICOLETTE BOELE (IND): 56,119 (50.0%)
GISELE KAPTERIAN (LIB): 56,098 (50.0%)

SWING SINCE 2022: 3.4% SWING LIB TO IND
2025-06-01

📊 A good data visualisation showing why the Greens lost lower house seats in the Australian federal election. In Melbourne it was a combination of an electoral redistribution and an increase in the Labor vote. In the Brisbane seats it was due to preference flows in three-cornered contests

theguardian.com/news/ng-intera

#auspol #ausvotes #Greens #data #election

2025-06-01

Boele currently leading Kapterian by 12 votes in the #Bradfield recount. #AusVotes #AusPol #NailBiter

2025-05-29

Kapterian currently leading Boele by 3 votes in #Bradfield. #AusVotes #AusPol #NailBiter

2025-05-26

“just not interested in what we had to say”

Damning. #4Corners #AusPol #AusVotes

We're finally starting to get a preference count in #Calwell, three weeks after election night.

It's been unclear who the final two would be in this seat, as the two main parties finished with under 50% of the primary vote, and five independents get more than 30% of the vote between them.

Labor's Basem Abdo has taken an early lead over the independent Carly Moore, but with only 2% of the 2CP vote in, it's still too early to call.

#auspoli #AusVotes

CALWELL

PRIMARY VOTE [87.0% IN] (CHANGE SINCE 2022)
BASEM ABDO (ALP): 27,417 (30.5%, -14.3%)
USMAN GHANI (LIB): 14,110 (15.7%, -8.0%)
CARLY MOORE (IND): 10,734 (11.9%, +30.6%^)
JOSEPH YOUHANA (IND): 9,628 (10.7%, ^)
RAVNEET KAUR GARCHA (GRN): 7,438 (8.3%, -1.5%)
SAMIM MOSLIH (IND): 6,156 (6.9%, ^)
LUAY TOMA (ONP): 3,376 (3.8%, -3.2%)
OTHERS: 10,971 (12.2%, -9.7%)
LEGALISE CANNABIS: - (3.2%)
CITIZENS: - (2.9%)
^ AGGREGATED ACROSS CANDIDATES IN PARTY

TWO CANDIDATE PREFERRED [1.9% IN], 2022 ALP MARGIN: 12.4%
BASEM ABDO (ALP): 1,116 (57.1%)
CARLY MOORE (IND): 839 (42.9%)

SWING SINCE 2022: NOT AVAILABLE

Wowzer. The Coalition in Australia has split.

The last time the Liberals won a majority without the Nationals was back in 1996 (though they came close in 2013). So if the two don't manage to reconcile quickly, they may give Labor another win in 2028.

#AusVotes #auspoli

Bin Chicken 🗑𓅠BinChicken@rants.au
2025-05-20

I, for one, live for this chaos of RWNJ fools in the LNP experiencing humiliating failure due to their own incompetence and handing a big win to shitposters on AusPol.

#AusPol #PeterDutton #PeterDuttonIsNotAMonster #FuckOffDutton #DavidLittleproud #SussanLey #LNP #AusVotes #AusVotes2025

A photo of Steven Bradbury, Australian 1000-metre speed skater, winning a gold medal at the Salt Lake City 2002 Olympic Games. He looks ecstatic to be the last person standing. Behind him, every other competitor has fallen in chaos. The caption next to the winner is "Shitposters on #AusPol". Captions under the fallen competitors identify them as Peter Dutton, Sussan Ley, and David Littleproud.
Bin Chicken 🗑𓅠BinChicken@rants.au
2025-05-20

Nationals will not re-enter Coalition agreement
abc.net.au/news/2025-05-20/nat

Liberal Party leader Susssan Ley and National Party leader David Littleproud have had a hissy-fit over their Coalition relationship, and have decided it's in the best interests of both parties to have a messy break-up.

The Coalition is dead.
RIP LNP.
The 2025 Federal Election is a gift that keeps on giving.

#AusPol #DavidLittleproud #SussanLey #LNP #AusVotes #AusVotes2025

2025-05-19

AEC tweets “Bradfield update: The counting of first preference votes & the indicative two-candidate preferred (TCP) count is now finalised. The indicative TCP margin is 40.” #communityIndependent Nicolette Boele is provisional winner by just 40 votes. Further (re-)counting to come. #ausVotes

2025-05-19

Nicolette Boele is the provisional winner in Bradfield by 40(!) votes.

There will be a recount.

#AusVotes #AusPol

Bin Chicken 🗑𓅠BinChicken@rants.au
2025-05-19

Lesson for the Liberals: do the opposite of what Peta Credlin says
theage.com.au/politics/victori

This article lists fundamental problems with the Liberal Party. Peter Dutton led them to a record defeat — that's largely due to Dutton being a malevolent potato, but his image and message were not helped by the Sky News stooges such as Peta Credlin, who have been parroting the same awful talking-points since the days of Tony Abbott.

#AusPol #PetaCredlin #SkyNews #PeterDutton #AusVotes #AusVotes2025

"Influencer’ has been the dirtiest word of this campaign,” said @hannahferguson.bsky.social #PressClub #auspol #AusVotes

2025-05-17

Interesting that I've seen two articles recently defending our electoral system.

William Bowe at Crikey:
crikey.com.au/2025/05/16/austr

Kevin Bonham at The Guardian:
theguardian.com/commentisfree/

My 2 cents is I'm ok with current system, but I wish people would better understand the lower house system. Particularly that a party winning lot of seats there doesn't necessarily mean the public directly endorsed that party.

#AusPol #AusVotes

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