Shadow Cabinet
‘We were “this” close
Hawk's Podcasts
https://youtube.com/shorts/hTom-xewfn8
#etearthmission
http://www.oocities.org/etearthmission/VISION.htm
_Timothy Snyder
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ysCCEuMC6xo&list=PLhZxrogyToZsllfRqQllyuFNbT-ER7TAu&index=4&pp=iAQB
https://www.lovenba.com/1570870/ The importance of basketball IQ, in one play #2014BlazersRockets #2014BuzzerBeater #2025PlayInGame #ATOs #Basketball #BasketballIQ #BasketballVideos #CoachTuomasLisalo #counterfactuals #DamianLillard #DesmondBane #DraymondGreen #GoldenStateWarriors #highlights #JaMorant #MemphisGrizzlies #NBA #NBAAnalytics #NBAFilmAnalysis #NbaFilmBreakdown #NbaHighlights #NbaScoutingReports #PlayBreakdown #ScoutingReports #STEPHENCURRY #SteveKerr #ThinkingBasketball #XsAndOs
#statstab #323 Counterfactuals and G-Computation
Thoughts: Even {emmeans} can do funky stuff for observational studies, if that is your fancy.
#gcomputation #counterfactuals #observational #R #emmeans #design
https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/emmeans/vignettes/messy-data.html#counterfact
#WilliamDembski - #FineTuning in the #Universe
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4o_aUHoaPs
#Philosophy #Metaphysics #Counterfactual #Counterfactuals #Multiverse #Probability #PhilosophyOfScience #Science #Cosmology #PhilosophyOfCosmology #Design #IntelligentDesign #CreationTheory #God #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
'Transport-based Counterfactual Models', by Lucas De Lara, Alberto González-Sanz, Nicholas Asher, Laurent Risser, Jean-Michel Loubes.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v25/21-1440.html
#counterfactuals #counterfactual #fairness
A gem shared by a friend.
#TheGreatGatsby #ForTheGreaterGatsby #TheGreatestGatsbyTheDevilEverPulled #Counterfactuals #Humor #Literature #Headcanon
People would understand #counterfactuals and g-computation if we renamed them "buyer's remorse simulator"
In "How To Seem Virtuous Without Being So", Alasdair MacIntyre identifies and explains four key questions any systematic and coherent account of the virtues has to tackle. Here's a video examining what those questions are!
https://youtu.be/pZhTz2i3Egs
#Video #Philosophy #MacIntyre #Ethics #Virtue #Counterfactuals #Reason #Affect #Pleasure #Transfer
Leda Zimmerman has a nice article on von Fintel and Iatridou's new paper, "Prolegomena to a Theory of X-marking."
One quote: "The point of this paper is to say look, why is there X-marking that can turn a conditional into a counterfactual, a strong necessity into a weak necessity, and a desire into unattainable desire?" says Iatridou. "What meaning are we going to give to X so that it can do these three different jobs?"
https://phys.org/news/2023-08-hypothetically-linguists-explore-human-language.html
#Linguistics #Philosophy #Counterfactuals #Language
"Causal Deep Learning"
Jeroen Berrevoets, Krzysztof Kacprzyk, Zhaozhi Qian, Mihaela van der Schaar
Prof Mihaela van der Schaar just gave a very exciting talk at the #counterfactuals workshop at #icml2023 on her lab's CDL framework dealing explicitly and with concepts from #causality and #machine-learning. Definitely going on my reading list.
Karen Bennett on how to properly evaluate #counterfactuals and the tools you need:
"When you are supposed to imagine c1 gone, you imagine it gone. You do not worry about how the past would have to be different to make it fail to occur, and you do not worry about what else might occur in its place. You simply snip it away as though you had a metaphysical hole-puncher."
("Why the exclusion problem seems intractable, and how, just maybe, to tract it", Nous, vol. 37, no. 3, p. 482)
"That’s where #MachineLearning comes in. #TwinNetworks treat #counterfactuals as a pair of probabilistic models: one representing the actual world, the other representing the fictional one. The models are linked in such a way that the model of the actual world constrains the model of the fictional one, keeping it the same in every way except for the facts you want to change. "#AI
The complex math of counterfactuals could help #Spotify pick your next favorite song
https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/04/04/1070885/complex-math-counterfactuals-spotify-predict-finance-healthcare/
Judea Pearl, Turing award winner: #Causal Reasoning, #Counterfactuals, and the Path to Artificial General Intelligence AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #56
“One cannot just understand the facts about a situation, one has to understand the causal strings that connect them.”
Article on an important practical issue (masking), that says lots about the role of #RCT in science, and how their "gold standard" reputation especially in medical science (and in xxx-envy style, economics) is justified only by specific circumstances (you're measuring something with lots of noise in a system you can't adequately describe a priori).
The focus on #causality and #counterfactuals (from Rubin to DID) is great, but it fixates on one causal link at a time.
@NanoRaptor The Daystar Digital „PowerGenesis CRISPR“ is a nice touch.
This is a fantastic piece of digital storytelling from the Australian ABC, talking #AlgorithmicAudits and #counterfactuals to interrogate #algorithms like ##Robodebt featuring @sandrawachter5@twitter.com
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-12-12/robodebt-algorithms-black-box-explainer/101215902
I am looking for non-analytic (!) takes on the topic of #counterfactuals. Maybe the fediverse can help... #philosophy
What if humans weren't the first civilization on Earth? https://boingboing.net/2018/04/19/what-if-humans-werent-the-fi.html #counterfactuals #Post
