Moore’s Law for AI agents: the length of tasks that AIs can do is doubling about every 7 months.
These results appear robust. The authors were able to retrodict back to GPT-2. They further ran experiments on SWE-bench Verified and found a similar trend.
Read more: https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks
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