#Oil

Joseph Simons 🍁 🌱josephsimons@mstdn.ca
2025-06-20

Old, inactive #oil and #gas wells are emitting almost 7 times more #methane than official estimates. New #McGill study is the largest effort ever to measure [470,000] non-producing oil and gas sites.
#abpoli

cbc.ca/news/science/non-produc

2025-06-20

Doha was asking companies to raise governments' awareness of the risks to #global #gas & #oil supply in the #US & #Europe, they said. #QatarEnergy did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The White House said on Thurs #Trump *would decide* on US involvement in the conflict in the next *2 weeks*.

#geopolitics #MiddleEast #Israel #Iran #war

2025-06-20

It has been impossible to watch the news in the #US without seeing displays of military & #LawEnforcement #power — airborne pyrotechnics in the #MiddleEast, parading #tanks & #soldiers in Washington, & vistas of #NationalGuard troops, #Marines, #police officers & #immigration agents in #LosAngeles confronting thousands of mainly #peaceful #demonstrators.

#economy #inflation #stagnation #tariffs #recession #employment #immigration #war #oil

2025-06-20

The #markets are fundamentally amoral & [supposedly] apolitical…. They are remarkably indifferent to pandemics, elections, civil unrest & just about everything else that may be extraneous to the central purpose of making #profits. And #corporate profits remain strong, despite everything.

Remaining resilient in the face of the #military & political spectacles this spring & summer.

#economy #inflation #stagnation #tariffs #recession #employment #immigration #MiddleEast #war #oil

2025-06-20

Global economic growth has been slowing, amid predictions of a sharper deceleration later this year, when the #tariff war started by the #US is expected to really bite.
Deutsche Bank projected this past week that if the conflict led to the closing of the #StraitOfHormuz or to damage to regional #infrastructure, #oil prices could easily surge to $120 a barrel or more. That occurred in the early stages of #Russia’s #war on #Ukraine & in previous #PersianGulf wars. A global #recession could follow.

2025-06-20

Yet even the #oil #market hasn’t moved all that much…. The #futures price of benchmark Brent #crude on Wed was still below $80 a barrel—less than where it stood in January or 1 year ago.

There are rational explanations for the #oil market’s restraint. Before #Israel’s attack on #Iran, global oil supplies were ample & demand for oil was constrained by the rising #tariffs. The 8 members of the #OPEC Plus oil cartel, guided by #SaudiArabia, have been ramping up production.

#economy #recession

2025-06-20

#Shipping through the strait encompasses ¼ of “total global seaborne #oil trade,” per #EIA, & protecting the route has been a preoccupation of US #military since the days of the shah of #Iran, deposed in 1979.

Given the gravity of the situation & soaring oil prices associated w/ onset of previous wars in #petroleum-rich regions, both in the gulf & at the start of #Russia’s war w/ #Ukraine, the prospect of a disruption of world oil supplies now has hardly registered beyond the #energy #markets.

2025-06-20

The start of a much bigger #war, w/the #US joining #Israel’s effort to eliminate #Iran as a potential #nuclear threat, would undoubtedly wake the #markets from their apparent slumber.

The economic risks in the #PersianGulf are enormous. If Iran were desperate enough, in addition to targeting US forces in the region it could throttle the #oil supplies that pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

#economy #inflation #tariffs #markets #stocks #MiddleEast

2025-06-20

This isn’t to say all #markets have been entirely placid. The price of #oil has oscillated since #Israel launched a barrage of air attacks on #Iran last Friday, setting off a new, heightened stage of conflict between the 2 longtime adversaries. #Trump has warned Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali #Khamenei, that the #US might intervene directly, saying, “Our patience is wearing thin.”

#economy #inflation #stagnation #tariffs #stocks #bonds #currency #InterestRates #MiddleEast #war

2025-06-20

That’s noteworthy, when you consider the crises that are looming: the highest #tariffs in decades; a contentious crackdown on #immigration & a swelling #budget #deficit in the #US; &, in the #MiddleEast, an escalating #war between #Israel & #Iran that could sharply reduce global #oil supplies.

#economy #inflation #stagnation #markets #stocks #bonds #currency #FederalReserve #InterestRates #employment

DrALJONESDrALJONES
2025-06-20

Analysis: "Iran & the US: When friends fall out"

"In 1953, a CIA coup powered by fake news deposed the government of Iran in the service of US & British geopolitical interests. Its resonance is still felt."

"The coup triggers a suffocating regime of media censorship. It destroys the secular, non-Marxist, nationalist opposition, & ends the dream of oil nationalisation."

middleeasteye.net/big-story/ir

.

2025-06-20

Under the spell of geopolitics – Commerzbank

The Brent Oil price has risen to a 5-month high of $79 per barrel due to a further…
#UnitedStates #US #USA #america #banks #Brent #Energy #geopolitics #oil #Politics #unitedstatesofamerica #UnitedStatesPolitics #USPolitics #usapolitics
europesays.com/2178939/

Old, inactive oil and gas wells emitting almost 7 times more methane than official estimates

#methane #climate #oil #gas #Canada
cbc.ca/news/science/non-produc

Old, inactive oil and gas wells emitting almost 7 times more methane than official estimates
Inactive and abandoned oil and gas wells in Canada are a much bigger climate problem than previously thought, emitting seven times more methane than the official estimates, according to a new study from researchers at McGill University.
#methane #climate #oil #gas #Canada #News
cbc.ca/news/science/non-produc

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