Pace of global warming has nearly doubled since 2015, reveals study

An acceleration in human-caused #GlobalWarming could see the #ParisAgreement’s 1.5C limit breached before 2030, a new study suggests.

The paper, published in Geophysical Research Letters, finds that, over the past decade, the planet has been warming at its fastest rate on record.

The authors isolate the trend of human-driven warming in the long-term global temperature record, removing the influence of natural factors, such as El Niño, volcanic eruptions and solar variation.

They find that the world had been warming at a rate of around 0.2C per decade since the 1970s, but has “accelerated” since 2015 to a rate of 0.35C per decade.

The study warns that if the current rate of warming persists, the 1.5C Paris threshold will be breached in the next few years.

“The essential result of this paper isn’t how fast we’re warming, but that warming is now happening faster than before and that the difference isn’t negligible,” an author on the study tells Carbon Brief.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/pace-of-global-warming-has-nearly-doubled-since-2015-study-says/

#ClimateScience
#ClimateCrisis

A tonne removed ≠ a tonne avoided. New research confirms what CDR scientists have been saying: removals and emissions aren't climate-equivalent. Different timescales, different feedback loops.

CDR is essential for Paris goals. But it complements deep emission cuts — it doesn't replace them. The limits are real, and we need honest accounting.

https://www.carbon-drawdown.de/blog/2026-2-24-cdr-must-shift-from-speed-amp-scale-to-prove-amp-learn

#CarbonRemoval #CDR #ClimateAction #ParisAgreement

The UN just issued the first-ever carbon credits under the Paris Agreement's Article 6.4 mechanism.

60,000 credits from a clean cookstove project in Myanmar — more conservative calculations than the old Kyoto CDM. "Our focus is on building confidence in this market from the outset."

It took a decade to get here. But quality over volume is the right call for carbon markets.

https://carboncredits.com/carbon-markets-deliver-first-results-climate-policies-cut-3-1-gigatons-first-paris-credits-issued-by-un/

#CarbonMarkets #Article6 #ParisAgreement #CDR

The UN just approved the first-ever carbon credits under the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism.

Myanmar cookstove project — credits count for both Myanmar & South Korea. 40% more conservative than the old CDM system.

Over 2 billion people globally still lack clean cooking access.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/26/un-approves-first-carbon-credits-under-paris-agreement-market-mechanism

#CarbonCredits #ParisAgreement #ClimatePolicy

"China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 1% in the final quarter of 2025, likely securing a decline of 0.3% for the full year as a whole.

This extends a “flat or falling” trend in China’s CO2 emissions that began in March 2024 and has now lasted for nearly two years.

The new analysis for Carbon Brief shows that, in 2025, emissions from fossil fuels increased by an estimated 0.1%, but this was more than offset by a 7% decline in CO2 from cement.

Other key findings include:

- CO2 emissions fell year-on-year in almost all major sectors in 2025, including transport (3%), power (1.5%) and building materials (7%).
- The key exception was the chemicals industry, where emissions grew 12%.
- Solar power output increased by 43% year-on-year, wind by 14% and nuclear 8%, helping push down coal generation by 1.9%.
- Energy storage capacity grew by a record 75 gigawatts (GW), well ahead of the rise in peak demand of 55GW.
- This means that growth in energy storage capacity and clean-power output topped the increases in peak and total electricity demand, respectively.

The CO2 numbers imply that China’s carbon intensity – its fossil-fuel emissions per unit of GDP – fell by 4.7% in 2025 and by 12% during 2020-25.

This is well short of the 18% target set for that period by the 14th five-year plan.

Moreover, China would now need to cut its carbon intensity by around 23% over the next five years in order to meet one of its key climate commitments under the Paris Agreement."

https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-have-now-been-flat-or-falling-for-21-months/

#China #FossilFuels #CarbonEmissions #Decarbonization #ClimateChange #ParisAgreement

#Trump has said he believes #ClimateChange is a hoax, & has withdrawn the #US from the #ParisAgreement, leaving the world’s largest historic contributor to #GlobalWarming out of international efforts to combat it.

The #EndangermentFinding was first adopted by the US in 2009, & led the #EPA to take action under the #CleanAirAct of 1963 to curb #emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, & 4 other heat-trapping air pollutants from vehicles, power plants & other industries.

#law #PublicHealth

Historians’ rankings of America’s best and worst foreign-policy decisions show the U.S. succeeded when it led cooperatively through multilateral institutions and failed when it turned inward or went rogue. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2026/02/02/world/best-and-worst-us-foreign-policy-decisions/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #commentary #worldnews #marshallplan #nato #un #brettonwoods #worldbank #imf #gatt #wto #treatyofversailles #parisagreement #monroedoctrine #donroedoctrine #iraqinvasion #donaldtrump

World on track to breach 1.5C target by 2030
#ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #1Point5Degrees #ParisAgreement #Copernicus #WMO #ExtremeWeather #ClimateCrisis #GlobalSouth #LossAndDamage #Adaptation #FossilFuels #Heatwaves #Floods #Drought #Environment
https://the-14.com/world-on-track-to-breach-1-5c-target-by-2030/

And now, the situation has come full circle with #Trump and #Milei https://newrepublic.com/article/205702/trump-minnesota-ice-dirty-war My take here https://nkozphoto.com/index.php/2024/11/23/cop29-and-emerging-buenos-aires-mar-a-lago-climate-denial-alliance/ #climate #climatechange #argentina #humanrights #wildlife #parisagreement #ice #minneapolis #fascism

Today the United States formally exited the Paris Climate Agreement - again. Are you embarrassed? We sure are…

🔥 This withdrawal comes as the planet barrels through record heat, worsening disasters and mounting economic losses tied to the climate crisis.

🗳️ Climate action is on the ballot. Go to https://votefromabroad.org to ensure you’re registered to vote and request your ballot to make your voice heard during this consequential election year.

#climate #parisagreement #environment

"World on track to breach 1.5°C target by 2030"

#Climate #ClimateChange #ParisAgreement

https://phys.org/news/2026-01-world-track-breach-15c.html

Europe needs to take stronger stance against US on climate – researchers

https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/europe-needs-take-stronger-stance-against-us-climate-researchers #climate #ParisAgreement #energysecurity

📌 Ten years after the #ParisAgreement, cities have moved climate action from the margins to the mainstream. Our "From Paris to Belém" report shows how local leadership is building healthier, more resilient communities worldwide. Dive into the full report here! 👉https://tinyurl.com/sxcajc6c

@DrALJONES @oatmeal

Foreign Ministry is discussing Israel's _possible_ withdrawal from the #ParisAgreement on #climatechange, under pressure from the US #Haaretz

... that the decision would have far-reaching implications for Israel's economy and diplomacy

message to the market and the world that we do not recognize the severity of the climate crisis

message to all investors that #Israel is abandoning its commitment. It's a shot in the foot; we are hurting ourselves

The #2030Agenda and #ParisAgreement were intended to launch a new era of global #sustainability #cooperation Instead, the last decade has seen rising geopolitical tensions undermine global cooperation on issues such as ocean governance, the Arctic, and the atmosphere.

How do we navigate this? Join the conversation at the 2026 Potsdam Summer School - SUSTAINABILITY MEETS GEOPOLITICS. [https://potsdam-summer-school.org/]

" #Climate #TippingPoint will be reached by the end of this decade, #Copernicus institute warns
2025 was the third warmest year on record ... If the 1.5 limit is reached, the rate of warming would have occurred over a decade earlier than predicted when the environmental treaty was signed to combat climate change in 2015." #ClimateCrisis #GlobalWarming #ClimateChange #Paris #ParisAgreement

Japan is likely to stay the course on fighting climate change despite the U.S.’s recent decision to exit from international climate organizations, experts say. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/01/13/japan/us-climate-withdraw-japan-impact/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #japan #climatechange #donaldtrump #environmentministry #parisagreement

Africa: Nigeria and South Africa Risk Breaking Climate Change Pledges: [The Conversation Africa] Just 20 countries produce 80% of the world's oil, gas and coal. Since 2019, researchers have released regular reports analysing how these governments plan to continue drilling and mining for fossil fuels - and how those plans diverge from the global climate goal set out in the Paris Agreement,… http://newsfeed.facilit8.network/TQH92r #ClimateChange #FossilFuels #SustainableDevelopment #ParisAgreement #ClimateAction

Trump pulled, by memorandum, "the United States out of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, or UNFCCC, which the US joined and Congress ratified in 1992, when George H.W. Bush was in the White House.

Because the Senate ratified the UNFCCC in 1992, it is a legal gray area as to whether Trump can unilaterally pull the country out of it. However, if Congress plays a role, the Republican majority would presumably back the move."

https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/07/climate/trump-withdrawal-climate-treaty-international-agreements
#ParisAgreement

It also set up a process for negotiations between countries that have come to be known as the annual #UN #climate summits. It was under the #UNFCCC’s auspices that the #KyotoProtocol was negotiated in 1995, & the #ParisAgreement in 2015 — two monumental moments of global cooperation & progress toward limiting harmful climate #pollution.

#geopolitics #ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #PublicHealth #Fight4aFuture #law