🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will 1X Technologies (1X.tech) publicly release the ‘Neo Home Robot’ for consumer purchase, meaning it is available for immediate delivery (not pre-order) on the official 1X.tech website at any time before 00:00 UTC on June 30, 2026?
Betting €0.1000 on "Yes"
Probability: 83.0%
Potential profit: €0.0205
Very high confidence but low return
Good liquidity: $403.69
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: What will be the official retail launch price (in USD) of the new Valve Steam Machine? [USD]
Betting €0.1000 on "UP"
Probability: 76.3%
Potential profit: €0.0311
Good probability: 76.3%
Good liquidity: $514.14
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will the Argentine government increase (or remove entirely) the monthly limit on individual dollar purchases to at least USD 100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Betting €0.1000 on "Yes"
Probability: 68.0%
Potential profit: €0.0472
Good probability: 68.0%
Good liquidity: $476.77
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]
Betting €0.1242 on "UP"
Probability: 79.1%
Potential profit: €0.0327
Good probability: 79.1%
Good liquidity: $143.56
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: What will be the “Overall score” listed for Syria (or its main successor state) in The Economist Democracy Index for 2025? [Index, 2 decimals]
Betting €0.1656 on "UP"
Probability: 81.6%
Potential profit: €0.0373
Very high confidence but low return
Good liquidity: $193.35
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Betting €0.2208 on "No"
Probability: 66.7%
Potential profit: €0.1101
Good probability: 66.7%
Good liquidity: $57660.14
Longer time horizon
"How many people will the Trump administration deport this year? Will Gaza suffer from mass famine? These are serious questions with lives at stake.
They’re also betting propositions that two buzzy startups will let you gamble on.
The 2018 legalization of sports betting gave rise to a host of apps making it ever easier to gamble on games. Kalshi and Polymarket offer that service, but also much more. They’ll take your bets, for instance, on the presidential and midterm elections, the next Israeli bombing campaign, or whether Jeff Bezos or Mark Zuckerberg will get divorced.
Tarek Mansour, the CEO of Kalshi, laid it out simply at a conference held by Citadel Securities in October. “The long-term vision,” Mansour said, “is to financialize everything and create a tradable asset out of any difference in opinion.” It’s as dystopian as it sounds.
If you believe the hype, the promise of these companies isn’t in the money they take in as bookkeepers. They argue that the bets they collect offer a more accurate forecast of the future than traditional institutions. (In fact, they’ll tell you that you’re not betting at all but trading on futures contracts — a distinction that feels so tenuous it’s hard to justify with a full-throated explanation.)
This pitch has been especially enticing in the wake of the 2016 election, when polling missed the rise of Donald Trump, and its allure hasn’t faded as collective distrust of traditional institutions grows. But if the initial wave of social platforms — the Facebooks and Twitters of the world — fractured our sense of a shared reality, the predictive platforms are here to monetize the ruins."
https://theintercept.com/2025/12/29/polymarket-kalshi-betting-prediction-cnn-news-media/
📢 El 70% de traders pierden en #Polymarket.
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]
Betting €0.1601 on "DOWN"
Probability: 62.7%
Potential profit: €0.0954
Good probability: 62.7%
Good liquidity: $39628.82
Longer time horizon
👀 NEW: Data shows most traders on #Polymarket are losing money, with roughly 70% of addresses realizing losses and just 30% turning a profit.
D’CENT Wallet Review: Secure Crypto Access for Polymarket and Web3 https://www.bocvip.com/1143171/dcent-wallet-review-secure-crypto-access-for-polymarket-and-web3/ #BitcoinWallet #blockchain #BlockchainApplications #BlockchainWallet #ColdWallet #CryptoPlatforms #CryptoWallet #CryptoWalletSecurity #D'centBiometricWallet #D'centWallet #HardwareCryptoWallet #Polymarket #PolymarketPredictions #PredictionMarkets #SecureCryptoStorage #UsdtWallet #Web3Security
📈 Mercados de #predicción: De apuestas políticas a deportivas, un año récord impulsa a #Polymarket y #Kalshi a valoraciones multimillonarias, preparándose para un 2026 crucial.
🚨 ¡Usuarios de #Polymarket afectados por un hackeo! La plataforma descentralizada de mercados de predicción confirma brecha de seguridad a través de un proveedor externo. La empresa asegura que el problema está resuelto y no hay riesgos.
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will there be an existing native rollup on Ethereum before December 30, 2025?
Betting €0.3477 on "Yes"
Probability: 73.6%
Potential profit: €0.1245
Good probability: 73.6%
Lower liquidity: $0.04
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will Macron dissolve the French National Assembly in 2025?
Betting €0.2727 on "No"
Probability: 67.7%
Potential profit: €0.1303
Good probability: 67.7%
Good liquidity: $459.96
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will kanye west face legal charges from US authorities due to his involvement in $YZY by the end of 2025?
Betting €0.1000 on "No"
Probability: 66.9%
Potential profit: €0.0495
Good probability: 66.9%
Good liquidity: $641.96
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will kanye west face legal charges from US authorities due to his involvement in $YZY by the end of 2025?
Betting €0.1000 on "No"
Probability: 66.9%
Potential profit: €0.0495
Good probability: 66.9%
Good liquidity: $641.96
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will NATO issue a formal invitation for Ukraine to join before the end of 2025?
Betting €0.1000 on "No"
Probability: 66.8%
Potential profit: €0.0496
Good probability: 66.8%
Good liquidity: $724.10
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will a country, that has not previously done so, announce a Bitcoin reserve, and fund it with at least one BTC by the end of 2025?
Betting €0.1074 on "No"
Probability: 67.7%
Potential profit: €0.0512
Good probability: 67.7%
Good liquidity: $734.19
Longer time horizon
🎲 New Prediction Bet
Market: Will President Trump sign legislation into law that eliminates all capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies issued by U.S. companies?
Betting €0.1432 on "No"
Probability: 75.0%
Potential profit: €0.0477
Good probability: 75.0%
Good liquidity: $336.16
Longer time horizon
