Map by precinct of Tuesday's #TN07 Special Election where Matt Van Epps (R) won by an 8.8pt margin. Van Epps' rural and suburban votes held strong while State Rep. Aftyn Behn (D) closed some of the gap with an overperformance in Nashville's core.

Also a map comparing the 2024 Presidential numbers with this race in #TN07. Behn outperformed Harris by 20-30 pts in much of Nashville and a 42pt swing in one box downtown.

Obviously 2/3 of #SCOTUS is corrupt. Nearly all their rulings should be overturned later, like the #Taney court likely should've faced (maybe they did?) One thing about heavy #gerrymander is those "likely R" districts are more tenuous. Even with #TN07 size swings, #TX #Republicans may regret this.

Supreme Court lets Texas use g...

ETA, a nonpartisan nonprofit organization of statisticians, data scientists, cybersecurity specialists + other experts, investgated the 2025 #Tennessee Special Election. This preliminary review analyzes precinct-level results from Montgomery County, one of 14 counties in CD-7 #TN07 #Manipulation? 🤔

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:o3syolcwxhsjc5nb3vvnnsxl/post/3m76m3bq6ap2z

The GOP is deeply unsettled by the big Dem showing in #TN07. On The Downballot podcast this week, @davidnir.com@bsky.brid.gy & @dwbeard.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy explain why they're right to be. We also geek out w/Lou Jacobson about the Almanac of American Politics, a seminal resource for all political nerds. Listen here!

GOP in disarray after Tennesse...

Someone on The Downballot Discord said that for Dem chances of taking back the House next year, a D+13 result with *high* turnout in #TN07 (i.e., what we saw) is better than a D+22 result (i.e., a Behn victory) with low turnout would have been. I couldn't agree more.

The dark-money Third Way slammed Aftyn Behn in #TN07, who won a plurality in the October primary, for "politically toxic positions." She over-performed by 13.7 points.

Their statement did not mention gerrymandering, which their congressional allies preserved nationwide...

In 2021, the Dems' For the People Act included legislation that would have banned partisan gerrymandering.

Hundreds of democracy groups pushed for a carve-out to filibuster rules to be able to vote on the bill...

“TN-07 is headed for a rematch next November. Tonight’s special: Van Epps (R) beats Aftyn Behn — but she nearly cracked a Trump +22 gerrymander. Nashville + Middle TN’s nonwhite communities split across 3–4 districts. Courts shrug. GOP wins by design. #TN07 #Gerrymandering #TNPolitics”

Even if every one of the votes for the 4 3rd-party candidates would've gone to Van Epps she still would've kept it within 6 points. That's a 17-point overperformance for @aftynbehn.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy vs. Trump's performance a year ago in #TN07. She should be damned proud.

@aftynbehn.bsky.social almost beat GOP gerrymandering—but almost wasn’t enough. Trump +22 in a district carved to rig the outcome 💙🗳️ Middle TN’s nonwhite communities—Nashville itself—torn apart across 3–4 districts. Courts shrug. GOP wins by design. #Gerrymandering #TNPolitics #TN07 Well done

A more moderate Dem candidate *might* have made #TN07 a bit closer tonight, but it's extremely hard to say they could have made up ~7 points. And for once, the GOP did not pick a bumbling weirdo. This is the guy Conor Lamb beat!

GOP Blames 'Lackluster' Candid...

#TN07 Trump +22? GOP pours millions, drags in the VP, and still can’t save their sinking fool. Plain and simple: Democratic WIN. Retirement dominoes about to fall. #GOPinCrisis Huge props @aftynbehn.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy — you crushed it in a gerrymandered nightmare.

I’ve seen enough: Matt Van Epps (R) defeats Aftyn Behn (D) in the #TN07 special election.

Perry County 99% in: Trump got 85% of the vote last year. This year, 75%. I think Aftyn Behn might actually win this. #TN7 #TN07 #TENNESSEE election results

Behn (D) may be ahead on early votes, but signs overall still pointing to a single digit Van Epps (R) win. #TN07

Pretty sure this is not the way Van Epps (or Trump) want this to be going. #TN7 #TN07 #TENNESSEE election results

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:mkhson555fcftivkht2vldid/post/3m72bijbzxk2r

Is that Nashville that just came in? #TN07

OK, here we go...it's neck & neck so far in #TN07!! (Joke: The polls are still open for another 7 minutes or so...STAY IN LINE!!)

It’s a lie. We all know (well, 64% of us) know he’s lying. The Trump cabal may even know that we know they’re lying. But they don’t care. Let’s make them care with our votes! #TN07

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:iu4j537hox5huj4bwnwgub4z/post/3m6zwh5547n2k

All 👀 on #TN07! It’s our big chance to flip another House seat BLUE! While billionaires rig the system, Aftyn Behn has run a grassroots, people-powered campaign to fight corporate greed and return power to working people. 🗳️ GO VOTE TODAY

Republicans now call fighting for working people “radical”— because MAGA only serves billionaires, culture wars, and Russia. 🇺🇸 #TN07 Don’t vote against America. @aftynbehn.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy is the ONLY candidate who’ll stand up for everyday Tennesseans— every party, every family, every worker. Wake up TN