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#Typhoons

Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-10

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYST

ABPW10 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10JAN26 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KOJI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0S 148.1E, APPROXIMATELY 132 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.8S 148.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-10

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYST

ABPW10 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10JAN26 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KOJI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0S 148.1E, APPROXIMATELY 132 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.8S 148.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-10

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYST

ABPW10 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10JAN26 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KOJI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0S 148.1E, APPROXIMATELY 132 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.8S 148.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-10

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYST

ABPW10 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100900Z-110600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10JAN26 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KOJI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0S 148.1E, APPROXIMATELY 132 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.8S 148.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-10

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS 100600Z-110600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100021ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTE

ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS 100600Z-110600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100021ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.8S 148.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.9S 148.0E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 092105Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE A BROAD AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DEEP, PERSISTENT CONVECTION ISOLATED TO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. A 091514Z AMSR2 WINDSPEED PRODUCT DEPICTED A BROAD REGION OF LIGHT WINDS AT THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION, AND GALE TO NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE OUTER PERIPHERY, WITH A RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) EXCEEDING 100NM, CHARACTERIZING 92P AS A MONSOON DEPRESSION (MD). SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM WILLIS ISLAND HAVE SHOWN PERSISTENT GALE-FO
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-09

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 090600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTE

ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S 147.5E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELLIPTICAL AND BROAD CIRCULATION WITH AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. DEEP CONVECTIVE BURSTS HAVE INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS IN RECENT HOURS. A 082223Z METOP-B ASCAT REVEALS EXPANSIVE BELTS OF 30 TO 35 KTS WINDS BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION. WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KTS IN RECENT HOURS. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF GALE-FORCE WINDS, THE CIRCULATION IS NOT YET COMPACT OR WELL-DEFINED ENOUGH TO BE
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-09

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 090600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTE

ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S 147.5E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELLIPTICAL AND BROAD CIRCULATION WITH AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. DEEP CONVECTIVE BURSTS HAVE INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS IN RECENT HOURS. A 082223Z METOP-B ASCAT REVEALS EXPANSIVE BELTS OF 30 TO 35 KTS WINDS BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION. WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KTS IN RECENT HOURS. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF GALE-FORCE WINDS, THE CIRCULATION IS NOT YET COMPACT OR WELL-DEFINED ENOUGH TO BE
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-09

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 090600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTE

ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S 147.5E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELLIPTICAL AND BROAD CIRCULATION WITH AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. DEEP CONVECTIVE BURSTS HAVE INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS IN RECENT HOURS. A 082223Z METOP-B ASCAT REVEALS EXPANSIVE BELTS OF 30 TO 35 KTS WINDS BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION. WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KTS IN RECENT HOURS. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF GALE-FORCE WINDS, THE CIRCULATION IS NOT YET COMPACT OR WELL-DEFINED ENOUGH TO BE
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-09

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 090030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/090030Z-090600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPI

ABPW10 PGTW 090030 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/090030Z-090600ZJAN2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090021ZJAN2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 152.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 147.9E, APPROXIMATELY 223 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELLIPTICAL AND BROAD CIRCULATION WITH AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. DEEP CONVECTIVE BURSTS HAVE INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS IN RECENT HOURS. A 082223Z METOP-B ASCAT REVEALS EXPANSIVE BELTS OF 30 TO 35 KTS WINDS BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION. WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KTS IN RECENT HOURS. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF GALE-FORCE WINDS, THE CIRCULATION IS NOT YET COMPACT OR WELL-DEFINED ENOUGH TO
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-08

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 152.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S 149.0E, APPROXIMATELY 81 NM NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING BUT ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING ALONG THE PERIPHERIES OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 92P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY AS IT CONTINUES DEVELOPING ALONG THE EASTERN AUSTRALIAN COAST OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING A SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL SHOWING SLIGHT HESITANCE ON 92P, WITH GFS AND ECMWF BOTH SHOWING POOR CONSOLI
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-08

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 152.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S 149.0E, APPROXIMATELY 81 NM NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING BUT ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING ALONG THE PERIPHERIES OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 92P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY AS IT CONTINUES DEVELOPING ALONG THE EASTERN AUSTRALIAN COAST OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING A SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL SHOWING SLIGHT HESITANCE ON 92P, WITH GFS AND ECMWF BOTH SHOWING POOR CONSOLI
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-08

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 152.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S 149.0E, APPROXIMATELY 81 NM NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING BUT ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING ALONG THE PERIPHERIES OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 92P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY AS IT CONTINUES DEVELOPING ALONG THE EASTERN AUSTRALIAN COAST OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING A SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL SHOWING SLIGHT HESITANCE ON 92P, WITH GFS AND ECMWF BOTH SHOWING POOR CONSOLI
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-07

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 152.0E, APPROXIMATELY 128 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 070258Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO BUILD OVER THE CENTER. A 062305Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF SHARP TROUGHING WITH 20 KNOT WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 92P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY AS IT CONTINUES DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE TRACKING WESTWARD. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE STILL SHOWI
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-07

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 152.0E, APPROXIMATELY 128 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 070258Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO BUILD OVER THE CENTER. A 062305Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF SHARP TROUGHING WITH 20 KNOT WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 92P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY AS IT CONTINUES DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE TRACKING WESTWARD. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE STILL SHOWI
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-07

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 152.0E, APPROXIMATELY 128 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 070258Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO BUILD OVER THE CENTER. A 062305Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF SHARP TROUGHING WITH 20 KNOT WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 92P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY AS IT CONTINUES DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE TRACKING WESTWARD. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE STILL SHOWI
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-06

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 148.0E, APPROXIMATELY 122 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH WEAK FLARING CONVECTION. A 060353Z AMSR2 PASS SHOWS MINIMAL CONVECTION AND A DISORGANIZED STRUCTURE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEAL A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON 92P STAYING NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE EVENTUALLY TRACKING WEST TOWARDS THE EASTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS BUT IT IS STILL HESITANT OF 92P FULLY CONSOLIDATING. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE GENERALLY MORE AGGRESSIVE ON THE FORMATION THAN THE DETE
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-06

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 148.0E, APPROXIMATELY 122 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH WEAK FLARING CONVECTION. A 060353Z AMSR2 PASS SHOWS MINIMAL CONVECTION AND A DISORGANIZED STRUCTURE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEAL A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON 92P STAYING NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE EVENTUALLY TRACKING WEST TOWARDS THE EASTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS BUT IT IS STILL HESITANT OF 92P FULLY CONSOLIDATING. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE GENERALLY MORE AGGRESSIVE ON THE FORMATION THAN THE DETE
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-06

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 148.0E, APPROXIMATELY 122 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH WEAK FLARING CONVECTION. A 060353Z AMSR2 PASS SHOWS MINIMAL CONVECTION AND A DISORGANIZED STRUCTURE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEAL A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON 92P STAYING NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE EVENTUALLY TRACKING WEST TOWARDS THE EASTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS BUT IT IS STILL HESITANT OF 92P FULLY CONSOLIDATING. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE GENERALLY MORE AGGRESSIVE ON THE FORMATION THAN THE DETE
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-06

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 060200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/060200Z-060600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SU

ABPW10 PGTW 060200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/060200Z-060600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E, APPROXIMATELY 123 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), CHARACTERIZED BY MULTIPLE FLARING VERTICAL HOT TOWERS IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. A RECENT OBSERVATION FROM WILLIS ISLAND INDICATES SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 8 KNOTS AND A SLP OF 1006MB. A 052325Z ASCAT-B PASS REVEALED AN ELONGATED AREA OF TURNING EXTENDING FROM HEAR BOUGANVILLE REEF TO SOUTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. THE LLCC IS PLACED IN THE NORTHWESTERN END OF THIS TROF. WINDS UP TO 20-25 KTS ARE PRESENT ALONG THE NORTHERN SIDE THE TROF, WITH 15-20 KTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SIDE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (
Disaster Info Botdisaster_bot@m.ai6yr.org
2026-01-05

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 050600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NO

ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZJAN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

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