At the Northeast corner of #SouthSudan, #UpperNile state borders #SouthKordofan (under #SPLMN control), #WhiteNile, #Sennar and #BlueNile states.
The bombing happens as the #RSF has taken control of of vast majority of #Sennar state (except for Sennar city) and is engaged in an offensive towards the West, East and South, including #BlueNile and #WhiteNile states.
But none of this will be nearly enough to ensure Burhan's political survival or raise morale. #SAF are overstretched and foreign support is at its peak. It is unlikely that either #Iran, #Russia or #Ukraine will have the capacity and the will to help the SAF any further than they already do.
A possible SAF collapse would first affect those garrisons most exposed, in #Kordofan and in the #WhiteNile region.
Burhan (#SAF) launches offensive to retake #AlJazirah (#Sudan)
The region had been conquered by the #RSF last December, after which they momentarily reached Sennar city and launched raids to the east in #Gedaref state. Sudan's agricultural and economic heartland has been an uneasy prey to digest however. While #WhiteNile and #Sennar states were poorly defended and should have been easy targets, Hemedti's forces were grounded by widespread looting first, and SAF airstrikes second.
Clashes are sporadic in Al Fasher (North #Darfur). The states of #WhiteNile and #Sennar are poorly defended and in imminent danger, despite Malik Agar's (Nr 2 of the #TSC) efforts to keep the #RSF away from the #BlueNile state.
This new victory opens the way to state capital Al Fulah (West #Kordofan), as well as a number of oil fields, including contested Heglig, Fulla and Deffra, in #Abyei.
It also puts the RSF on a collision course with #SouthSudan and #SPLMN.
RT @NRC_EAY: Joy was on the faces of over 6,000 children thanks to @EU_ECHO @ECHO_CESAfrica, in #WhiteNile #Sudan. Children received school supplies such as school bags, books, and pencils for a new exciting school year.
🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/eu_echo/status/1610993287308902400
RT @NRC_EAY: "We were running all the way! I can't return to Damazin again". Kawthar recounts the day she had to flee #BlueNile's conflict last month and cross to #WhiteNile, Sudan for safety.
Thanks to @EU_ECHO @ECHO_CESAfrica, we were able to assist her and thousands of others with cash.