#bayes

2025-06-19

Interested in trying out *Bayesian nonparametrics* for your statistical research?

I'd be very grateful if people tried out this R package for Bayesian nonparametric population inference, called "inferno" :

<pglpm.github.io/inferno/>

It is especially addressed to clinical and medical researchers, and allows for thorough statistical studies of subpopulations or subgroups.

Installation instructions are here: <pglpm.github.io/inferno/index.>.

A step-by-step tutorial, guiding you through an example analysis of a simple dataset, is here: <pglpm.github.io/inferno/articl>.

The package has already been tested and used in concrete research about Alzheimer's Disease, Parkinson's Disease, drug discovery, and applications to machine learning.

Feedback is very welcome. If you find the package useful, feel free to advertise it a little :)

#rstats #bayesian #bayes #statistics #medicine #datascience

2025-06-13

#Bayesian analysis simplified (#BAYAS): our paper is out! We hope that many biologists & other users will find BAYAS helpful for experimental planning & data analysis. No programming or installation required. Will hopefully lead to reduction of lab animal numbers. #3R #bayes doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics

2025-06-13

Decoding the Mystery of Probability, Exploring the Mathematical Wisdom Behind Decision Making
Bayesian statistics is a powerful discipline in the field of mathematics, with wide applications in many areas including finance, medical research, and information technology. It allows us to combine prior beliefs with evidence to derive new posterior beliefs, enabling us to make wiser decisions.

fmz.com/bbs-topic/10297

Oliver D. Reithmaierodr_k4tana@infosec.exchange
2025-06-07

Off to #Verona to learn some more #Bayes! Will be there next week, so if any of you are as well and fancy a chat, let me know!

2025-05-23

No better way of putting it:

"Prior as data, prior as belief, prior as soft constraint, prior as unconditional distribution in a generative model"

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

#bayes

A new Bayesian approach to incorporating the effects of dormancy (more than seasonal) into population dynamics models:

pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.

It would be interesting to see if this can be applied to anadromous fish that spend variable numbers of years at sea, or to species with other types of refugia.

#Science #PopulationModeling #Bayes

2025-04-19

Detective work with #genomes: some invasive species have been introduced deliberately, others inadvertently. A new #statistical framework helps to track what probably happened. Demonstration object is the Pacific oyster. #bayes pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.

Sarfraaz Ahmedasarfraaz
2025-04-18

📉Latest MyVoD:-> Don't use GenAI?
💡 Visually understanding Bayes' Theorem
✨ Python's Performace Anti-Patterns
✨ Python's Dictionary Dispatch Pattern

Latest My Voyage of Discovery: eepurl.com/jcLqOg

Subscribe for more at: eepurl.com/iu6PFU

Ritesh Bhagwatthestatverse
2025-04-06

My Ram Navami Greetings with a Bayesian Twist !

2025-04-06

I'm completely naive.
Really curious what this could possibly mean: "Win Probability"?

Saw it at ESPN. Looking up more now...

#dataviz #finalfour #bayes #poisson #normal

Teresita Porter 🙋🏻‍♀️DNAdataPhile@ecoevo.social
2025-03-29

eDNAjoint: An R package for interpreting paired or semi-paired environmental DNA and traditional survey data in a Bayesian framework

besjournals.onlinelibrary.wile

#eDNA #environmentalDNA #Rstats #Bayes

2025-03-10
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌼🐝mzloteanu
2025-03-07

#295 The Fallacy of the Null-Hypothesis Significance Test

Thoughts: "the [..] aim of a scientific experiment is not to precipitate decisions, but to make an appropriate adjustment in the degree to which one accepts, or believes, the hypothesis"

stats.org.uk/statistical-infer

Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌼🐝mzloteanu
2025-03-05

#293 The Bayesian Bootstrap

Thoughts: I need to think more on where bootstrapping makes sense in a bayesian setting. But here's a tutorial.

towardsdatascience.com/the-bay

Jim GarrettJimG@toot.cat
2025-02-27

I just dropped an entry in my professional blog:
publish.ministryofinternet.eu/

What's the big deal with Bayesian analysis? For what sort of problems does it work well, and why? Intended for a limited-technical audience (you can tell me if I've succeeded or not!).

#probability #statistics #Bayes

Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌼🐝mzloteanu
2025-02-13

#279 Diagnosing the Misuse of the Bayes Factor in Applied Research

Thoughts: As with NHST, Null Hypothesis Bayesian Testing (NHBT) can also be easily misunderstood.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.11

Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌼🐝mzloteanu
2025-02-11

help: is there any online tutorial for ordinal CFA with {blavaan}?

Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌼🐝mzloteanu
2025-02-04

#272 Different meanings of p-values

Thoughts: A riveting (& confusing) discussion on the definitions & properties of p-values. W/ guest appearance from some big names in stats, from all camps.

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

2025-01-29

@bthalpin
Curiosity: what does it do if you ask for an 89% *credibility* interval, maybe even asking not to make distributional assumptions?

#bayes #deepseek #llm

2025-01-14

Jan 14, 2025

Photo: by me, Aneesh Sathe, Malaysia, 2011

Font fight!

The fonts have assembled, their ligatures sharp their curves are shiny. They all line up with perfect kerning… or do they? Your eyes and mind are their battlefield.

https://www.codingfont.com/

I got JetBrains mono btw.

Decentralization is just partial centralization

Renée DiResta writes about the social media flux in Noema.

Decentralization places a heavy burden on individual instance administrators, mostly volunteers, who may lack the tools, time or capacity to address complex problems effectively.

Identity verification is another weak point, leading to impersonation risks that centralized platforms typically manage more effectively. Inconsistent security practices between servers can allow malicious actors to exploit weaker links.

While all this is fine, I have a completely different view about the ongoings around social media. I’d rather completely quit something than go through the pain of sorting through and tuning the place just right.

The internet has infinite space. Make your own blog, follow people you like (RSS feeds still work!) and ignore those you don’t. Nostalgic about back when Twitter was good? Well there was a time when the internet was good. It was good because the people with access created little gardens of their own (not just of the digital garden variety, but those too). Psst… it’s still good btw, the social media blinds you.

While I’m a staunch early adopter I’m also an early abandoner. The only thing I’ve been unable to abandon is blogs. I’ve never felt like it’s was better to shut myself inside a walled garden, but I would suffocate if I weren’t able to surf, what a wonderful word that is, the internet.

Obsessing is happiness

My happiest times have been when I was completely consumed by some task or project for days on end. I’ve learned hydropinics and grown an ungodly amount of mint in the Singapore Sun. I’ve made terrible mead, taught myself programming, then machine learning… countersteering a motorcycle? You should watch me lean.

All this to say that happiness is an entirely oblique activity. This was crystallized for me in this post about Betrand Russell’s Conquest of Happiness by the wholly awesome Maria Popova

The 1900s are here

Every 24th frame of Stanley Kubrick’s masterpiece 2001: A Space Odyssey posted once an hour

That cools projects like these exist is a testament to the eternal cool of the Internet. As I write, the bot is on its 1,899th hour. The exciting 1900s are coming up.

If you are new to Bayesian Stats start here

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIqeFYUhSzU

#Art #Bayes #Happiness #Internet

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