"A review of the preliminary voting data, using The Washington Post’s Post Pulse models of the outstanding vote, shows that Trump’s victory was modest, as was the likely realignment in the electorate. The story of the 2024 election may turn out to be the changes in who didn’t vote rather than those who did.
Let’s drill down, starting at the national level.
It is likely that, when all of the votes are counted, Trump will have received about half of the votes cast, beating Vice President Kamala Harris by about a percentage point. As a function of the two-party vote, Trump’s popular vote victory — his first — will probably be the smallest since Al Gore received more votes than George W. Bush in 2000."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/12/what-numbers-actually-say-about-2024-election/
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