One of the sneaky traps investors fall into is recency bias—the tendency to overweigh recent events.

Read more 👉 https://lttr.ai/AgAUI

#investing #finance #BayesianMethods

Rigid models often fail to account for rare events or black swans.

Read more 👉 https://lttr.ai/AfuEp

#investing #finance #BayesianMethods

Does anyone have a good starting point for Bayesian ranking of text-based content?

Application in mind is placing of news articles on a page-based layout, and I'd like something more sofistikated than LIFO or manual text-based grading.

Ultimately I would probably have a set of curated exemplar articles of high and low rank to toss at a Bayesian classifier.

The system need not be perfect (and I'll probably add some random jitter to it), but it should be useful.

Boosts appreciated.

#BayesianMethods #ContentRanking #DearMastomind

“#BayesianMethods in Practice” were discussed on a workshop at CAS last week.
Many thanks to the organizer Andreas Doepp and the speakers:
Stephan Hartmann, Borut Trpin, Volker Schmid, Florian Pargent, Felix Schönbrodt @nicebread, Thomas Augustin, Matthias Feurer, Leon Assaad, Tom Sterkenburg, Rafael Fuchs, Lilian von Bressensdorf, Wiktor Młynarski @samplingrage, Oliver Friedrich, Daniel Gruen.