Based on the 2022 population estimate of non-occupied Georgia of about 3.7 million [1], the #ChenowethStephan statistical threshold of 3.5% of the population of a country in sustained #CivilDisobedience / #NonViolentProtest as the threshold for success is about 130 thousand. 100k is clearly a round number estimate, but would still give 2.7%.
We'll soon know if this case is consistent with the #ChenowethStephanThreshold .