#Stelson

Chuck Darwincdarwin@c.im
2024-10-18

The race between Republican candidate #Scott #Perry and Democratic candidate #Janelle #Stelson
in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District
❇️ is now a “toss-up,” according to the Cook Political Report.

The race had previously been considered a “Lean R” in favor of Perry.

Stelson had a comfortable lead heading into their only debate last week at abc27 in Harrisburg.

According to a Susquehanna Polling and Research survey, Stelson led Perry 48% to 39% going into the debate.

Since then, Perry has managed to maintain popularity, making the race a toss-up just weeks ahead of Election Day on Nov. 5, the Cook Political Report reports.

Florida Congressman Byron Donald and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson recently visited the Harrisburg area in a possible effort to add fuel to Perry’s post-debate momentum.
abc27.com/election/pennsylvani

Chuck Darwincdarwin@c.im
2024-10-16

A super PAC closely linked to House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.)
is putting money into defending former House Freedom Caucus Chair #Scott #Perry (R-Pa.)
for the first time this election cycle.

Why it matters:
👉Polls suggest the race is highly competitive,
and a PAC tied to House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.)
has already put millions into supporting Perry's Democratic opponent, #Janelle #Stelson.

Stelson has also been clobbering Perry in fundraising, besting him by more than $2 million between July and September, according to Federal Election Commission filings from both campaigns.

Driving the news:
The Johnson-affiliated Congressional Leadership Fund put more than $200,000 into ad reservations in Pennsylvania's 10th district on Tuesday, according to ad tracking firm AdImpact.

CLF had not spent anything in the district as of this weekend, though its nonprofit arm American Action Network put $500,000 into ads supporting Perry.

Perry's primary bases of support so far have been House Freedom Action
— the political arm of the House Freedom Caucus
— and Win It Back PAC, which have spent over $600,000 and $900,000 for him, respectively.

By contrast, Democrats' House Majority PAC has spent nearly $2.5 million on ads,
on top of $2.1 million from Stelson's campaign and nearly $1 million from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

Zoom in:
CLF's ad reservations were shifted from Eighteen Fifty-Four Fund,
💥a Republican group that still has nearly $2.1 million reserved in the district.


That suggests that House Republicans are poised to make a far deeper investment than their initial $200,000 ad buy.

Republican strategists have insisted to Axios that they don't see the race as competitive, but Democrats said they expected the GOP to invest more heavily there after a poll showed Stelson leading by 9 percentage points.

Between the lines:
Perry has been a thorn in the side of both Johnson and his predecessor, former Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), as the former chair of the House #Freedom #Caucus.

The right-wing group has led numerous revolts against leadership over government spending and the debt ceiling, even forcing McCarthy to go through 15 grueling ballots to be elected in January 2023.

But Johnson has appointed Perry to the prestigious #House #Intelligence #Committee and campaigned in his district,
with Perry's campaign saying they have gotten everything they've needed from the GOP establishment.

axios.com/2024/10/15/mike-john

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