Interesting paper: "Direction Augmentation in the Evaluation of Armed Conflict Predictions" by @johannes (Johannes Bracher), Lotta Rüter, Fabian Krüger, @sebastianlerch and Melanie Schienle
#Prediction #Forecasting #modelevaluation #conflictprediction
https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.12108

#openaccess article "From academia to policy makers: a methodology for real-time #forecasting of infrequent events" by Alfred Krzywicki, David Muchlinski (Twitter: @DMuchlinski), Benjamin E. Goldsmith (Twitter: @goldsmithbe), Arcot Sowmya in the Journal of Computational Social Science (JCSS)
#conflictprediction #conflictforecasting #machinelearning #masskillings @genocides
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https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s42001-022-00176-6