The Rise Of Community-Led Landslide Monitoring
Could an innovative natural-disaster monitoring system in Alaska be a model for the rest of the country?
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https://seaklandslideworkinggroup.substack.com/p/article-in-sierra-about-southeast <-- shared technical #Substack
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#communitybased #landslidemonitoring #NationalLandslidePreparednessAct #massmovement #engineeringgeology #risk #hazard #landslide #publicsafety #monitoring #Sitka #Alaska #debrisflow #risk #hazard #water #hydrology #pluvial #fluvial #rainfall #precipitation #AK #extremeweather #climatechange #atmosphericriver #coast #coastal #slope #steepness #Haines #Ketchikan #Wrangell #Juneau #propertydamage #cost #economics #soilmositure #sensors #raingauge #Skagway #emergencymanagement #forecasting #tool #online #dashboard #situationalawareness #NSF #grant #infrastructure #threshold #historic #analysis #geomorphology #geomorphometry #communication #buddysystem #risktolerance #SitkaTribeofAlaska
#NationalScienceFoundation #USFS
#Forecasting
Kicking off my new newsletter about #forecasting with an introduction to piecewise regression for modeling changes in the trend 👇🏼
https://theforecaster.substack.com/p/piecewise-regression-for-time-series
Code is available both in #Rstats and #Python
Subscribe to get an email notification.
Satellite Captures The First Detailed Look At A Massive Tsunami
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https://www.earth.com/news/satellite-captures-the-first-detailed-look-at-a-giant-tsunami/ <-- shared technical article
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https://doi.org/10.1785/0320250037 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #satellite #remotesensing #earthobservation #geology #tectonics #Kuril #Kamchatka #Russia #Pacific #tsunami #NASA #SWOT #energy #dissipation #risk #hazard #model #modeling #DART #buoy #observation #instrumentation #waveforms #propogation #geodetic #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #marine #wave #megathrust #rupture #mechanics #altimetry #forecasting #hydrodynamic
"This fall, CJR asked newsroom leaders, independent journalists, and international reporters how they see the media changing in the next twenty-five years. Their answers describe upheavals to come in both the business and practice of journalism.
The journalists we spoke to are not soothsayers; their eyes are trained to see the world as it is now. But clarity of vision in the present can tell us much about what’s to come. Some refrains came up again and again: the dominance of a few outlets and the demise of the rest; the need for journalists to mix seamlessly into online content; the risks and rewards of AI. Emma Tucker, the editor in chief of the Wall Street Journal, predicts that “big brands” such as the Journal and the New York Times will still be around in 2050. Not so much for CNN, ABC, CBS, and other news networks, says Ben Smith, the editor in chief of Semafor. According to David Remnick, the editor of The New Yorker, “X will be gone.” And Taylor Lorenz, the founder of User Mag, wonders whether journalism as we know it now will survive at all. (She hopes so.)
Some of the journalists we spoke to think the integration of AI into journalism is inevitable, or beneficial; Dave Jorgenson, a cofounder of a startup called Local News International, thinks that AI might make a smaller splash, more akin to the arrival of email. Everyone agrees that if it is to survive, journalism will need a human touch. In any case, Kara Swisher, the New York magazine contributor and podcaster, says, one thing’s for sure: by 2050, we’ll be blasted with information all the time from the multitude of screens floating in front of our faces. Which, actually, is not too far off from the present. These responses have been edited for length and clarity."
#python #forecasting #airline #passengers #statistics
#technology #algorithm
#risk #management
Univariate Time Series Forecasting with MOGPTK
Uncertainty Estimation in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGP) with Variational Inference
#exploremore 👇
https://medium.com/python-in-plain-english/univariate-time-series-forecasting-with-mogptk-a2d61b44d6f8?sk=18d89ddab7645a07e6afa5159766fcce
End-of-Year Threat Intelligence Sightings Forecast
This report presents an analysis of Threat Intelligence (TI) Sightings aggregated from several key data sources, including social platforms, code repositories, and specialized TI feeds. The primary objective is to visually track historical trends per source and provide a short-term adaptive forecast for a defined period (in days).
#opensource #vulnerability #forecasting #research #sarimax #gcve #cti #thre
atintel ks to @cedric for the continuous work and research on the topic.
https://www.vulnerability-lookup.org/2025/12/02/end-of-year-threat-intelligence-sightings-forecast/
We have implemented #TimeSeries #SeasonalDecomposition using STL and MSTL. :boost_love:
@labplot@lemmy.kde.social
@opensource
➡️ #STL breaks down data into trend, single #seasonality, and noise.
➡️ #MSTL extends this to extract multiple seasonal patterns iteratively. These methods improve analysis and #forecasting for complex seasonal data.
▶️ https://invent.kde.org/education/labplot/-/merge_requests/784
#GSOC #OpenSource #FOSS
#FLOSS #KDE #DataAnalysis #DataViz #TimeSeries #Science #Business #Research #Finance #Tech
Prediction Of Cryptocurrency Prices Using LSTM, SVM And Polynomial Regre... https://youtu.be/ElBgDXy4nBw?si=PccGzt2RHB_MZWX- via @YouTube #svm #lstm #forecasting #polynomialregression #cryptocurrency #supportvectormachine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElBgDXy4nBw&utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub
Posted into NOSABLOGGISTA @nosabloggista-OluOyekanmi
Thoroughly interesting. Disregard the focus on #forecasting for investment purposes. That’s important, certainly, but the ideas here apply to #technology, #climate change, #geopolitics, social and political change, and especially to personal and career developments.
https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/the-illusion-of-knowledge
Groundwater Level Forecasting In Response To Climate Change Scenarios In Southwestern Saskatchewan Using Wavelet Decomposition And Artificial Neural Networks
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2025.101550 <-- shared paper
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#climatechange #machinelearning #artificialneuralnetworks #sustainablegroundwatermanagement #waveletdecomposition #water #hydrology #groundwater #extremeweather #drought #rainfall #precipitation #AI #forecast #waterresources #pumping #extraction #network #historicaldata #model #modeling #ANN #groundwaterlevel #forecasting #recharge #saskatchewan #canada #watermanagement #strategy #aquifer #GWLs #wells #modelresults #results #sustainability #climate
Stratospheric Warming Watch: Polar Vortex Collapse has begun, with cold air and snowfall impacts expected
https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/stratospheric-warming-watch-polar-vortex-collapse-cold-snow-impacts-coming-for-united-states-canada-europe-fa/
(This is a really good explainer on how stratospheric warming drives arctic outbreaks at the surface)
#weather #forecasting
#Google's #WeatherNext2: Our most advanced #weather #forecasting model
#AI model delivers more efficient, more accurate and higher-resolution global weather predictions
WeatherNext2 can generate forecasts 8x faster and with resolution up to 1hr. This breakthrough is enabled by a new model can provide hundreds of possible scenarios. Using this technology, support weather agencies in making decisions based on a range of scenarios through our experimental cyclone predictions
https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/weathernext-2/
Peer Watch 👀
Hermès stands out as structurally expensive, while H&M looks comfortably valued on PEG.
But valuation alone isn’t a verdict!
#Validation and #forecasting will tell us which companies truly stand up to deeper analysis.
(4/5)
The potential collapse of the AMOC is shifting from theory to real climate risk. Iceland now treats it as a national security threat. For data and climate analytics, it’s a call to improve forecasting, scenario modeling, and risk intelligence. Climate is the ultimate data challenge.
#AMOC #Climate #Data #DataScience #Iceland #ClimateCollapse #GlobalWarming #forecasting
https://cleantechnica.com/2025/11/13/iceland-warns-slower-amoc-is-a-security-threat-to-the-nation/
Weather AI: Google DeepMind Unveils WeatherNext 2, a Faster and More Accurate Forecasting Model
#AI #Weather #Forecasting #Google #DeepMind #WeatherNext2 #Meteorology #MachineLearning #Tech #Science #Alphabet
Segregation and inequity in risk of exposure interacted to make a bad #pandemic terrible [1]. There's a veneer of complexity around social mechanism that often exclude them from pandemic #forecasting and scenario planning... but it turns out to be pretty simple to show that if there's a group of people on the front lines of exposure to infection, and especially if they are socially segregated, things will not go well for them:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1047279725003308
[1] https://academic.oup.com/ofid/article/12/1/ofae636/7931874
San Francisco Chronicle: California’s rule book on El Niño and La Niña is broken
By Greg Porter, Senior Newsroom Meteorologist
(paywall)
https://www.sfchronicle.com/weather/article/la-nina-el-nino-california-21127741.php
Ultimate Guide to Revenue Intelligence Tools: 12 Best Platforms Compared (2025)
Compare the top 12 revenue intelligence platforms for 2025. Expert analysis of Gong, Clari, People.ai, and 9 more tools with pricing, features, and real-world ROI data from 300+ companies.
https://optif.ai/media/articles/revenue-intelligence-tools-guide-2025
📈 Forecasting with regression models #LatinR2025
Learn prediction techniques with linear regression models using #RStats
With Rami Krispin
📅 1 Dic, 14:00–15:30 (UTC-3) – Online
💵 Student USD 5 · Academic USD 10 · Industry USD 15
🔗https://www.eventbrite.cl/e/forecasting-with-regression-models-tickets-1955640717029
