#AR3492

2023-11-22

#SolarHam update:

Solar Flux is 190
November 22, 2023 @ 21:20 UTC

"Below is the latest look at the #sunspot party currently taking place on the Sun. #AR3490 and #AR3492 remain the main regions of focus and are listed as the most likely to produce a noteworthy #SolarFlare. What appears to be another large active region is now turning into view off the southeast limb. With all of the #sunspots currently facing #Earth, the solar flux index for Wednesday is 190. What a turnaround compared to even five days ago. The current flare threat stands at 55% for a moderate M-Flare and 10% for a strong #XFlare."

solarham.net/pictures/2023/nov

#SolarFlares #SolarCycle25 #EarthFacing #CarringtonEffect

2023-11-22

Update: the probably for an #XClass flare is now 10%.

The sun has been extra active!

#Sunspot Cluster Update

November 22, 2023 @ 01:10 UTC

"Below is the latest look at the cluster of sunspots in the northeast quadrant of the Sun as we head into Wednesday. #AR3492 remains the most complex of these regions and has beta-gamma magnetic configuration. #AR3490 and #AR3497 were combined into one region and retains #AR3490 as its number. All three regions in close proximity to each other (3490, 3492, 3495) produced a number of low to mid level C-Flares during the past 12 hours. Moderate M-Flares will remain possible during the next 24 hours."

Current Solar Flare Threat
C-Flare: 99%
M-Flare: 55%
X-Flare: 10%
Proton: 05%

Source:
solarham.net/

#SolarFlares #SolarFlare #CarringtonEffect #SolarCycle25

Two side-by-side images of the same area on the sun.
One shows 4 sunspot locations, 3491, 3495, 3490, and 3492, with a branching, angled line running through the middle of them. Text reads: "New flux emerging".
The second image is the same area, but a thermal image -- showing lots of yellow-orange areas, with smaller amounts of green, and four blue spots indicating the sunspots.
2023-11-22

Enormous '#Sunspot archipelago' 15 times wider than Earth could soon bombard us with #SolarFlares

Story by Harry Baker, November 21, 2023

"One of the largest and most densely populated sunspot regions seen in more than a decade has appeared on the sun's nearside to Earth — and has begun to unleash a barrage of solar storms that are shaking up our home star's surface in a big way. The sunspots' emergence could make it an interesting few weeks for Earth, which will soon be in the firing line of these eruptive dark patches.

"The first sunspot group, named #AR3490, rotated onto the sun's nearside on Nov. 18 over the star's northeastern shoulder. The dark patch was quickly followed by another sunspot group, #AR3491, which trailed in its wake, #Spaceweather.com reported.

"Scientists already knew that the sunspot groups were on their way because they had been tracking '#HelioseismicTremors," or ripples in the sun's surface, from the area. The sunspot region is 'so large, it is affecting the way the whole sun vibrates,' Spaceweather.com representatives wrote.

"Since emerging, the sunspot groups have split up and birthed new dark patches, including #AR3492, #AR3495, #AR3496 and #AR3497, which has created a 'solar archipelago of sunspots,' astronomy news site EarthSky reported.

"In total, the massive collection of sunspots spans around 125,000 miles (200,000 kilometers) across, which is more than 15 times wider than Earth, according to Spaceweather.com.

"The sunspots have already spat out at least 16 C-class and 3 M-class solar flares — which are the third and second strongest flare classes, respectively — in the last 4 days, according to SpaceWeatherLive.com. And experts are warning that there could be many more of these flares in the next few weeks, as well as potentially #XClass flares, the strongest type of solar flare.

"The impending flares may also birth coronal mass ejections (#CMEs), or enormous blobs of charged solar particles, that could slam into Earth and trigger strong geomagnetic storms, which could cause radio blackouts and spark vibrant aurora displays.

"Astronomers have also spotted several large loops of plasma, known as #SolarProminences, growing above some of the sunspots in the group. The largest loops tower more than 40,000 miles (64,000 km) above the surface, according to EarthSky, and could snap off and fling into space at any moment, temporarily leaving behind enormous 'canyons of fire' in the sun's surface.

"At least three sunspot groups have also emerged on the sun's southern hemisphere in the last few days.

"The sunspots' emergence is the latest sign that the sun is fast approaching the explosive peak in its roughly 11-year solar cycle, known as the solar maximum, which scientists now predict will begin next year.

"During solar maximum, sunspots become much more frequent and increase in size as the sun's magnetic fields get tangled up, allowing the dark patches to grow more easily.

"The latest dark patches make up 'probably the biggest sunspot region I've seen so far from [the current] solar cycle,' Chris Wicklund, a meteorologist and aurora photographer, wrote on X (formerly known as Twitter). 'The next 14 days could be very interesting,' he added."

msn.com/en-us/news/world/enorm

#CarringtonEffect #SolarFlare #SolarCycle25 #LightsOut

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