#InvertedYieldCurve

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-06-07

However, if financial markets were to lose confidence in this scenario, the debt dynamics could quickly become unsustainable and potentially unravel sooner than expected.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AfJgn

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-05-06

While some politicians assure us that all is well, the economic indicators tell a nuanced tale, hinting at challenges and shifts in the winds of financial stability.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AeZ1G

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-04-05

A compelling case in point is the most recent recession: The yield curve inverted in May 2019, almost a year before the onset of the March 2020 downturn.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AdSsP

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-03-06

Economic indicators act as a guiding compass, providing insight into a nation’s financial landscape’s well-being and vitality.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AcGoN

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-14

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, total household debt rose by $212 billion to $17.5 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AbZSE

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-12

According to conventional wisdom, when the yield curve inverts (short-term rates surpass long-term rates), it forewarns an impending recession roughly a year later.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AbURA

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-10

The outstanding credit card balances, currently at $1.13 trillion, increased by $50 billion, marking a 4.6% rise over the prior quarter.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AbPhb

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-09

Mortgage balances increased by $112 billion from the previous quarter, reaching $12.25 trillion at the end of 2023.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AbOnH

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-09

The Cleveland Fed considers the yield curve a predictor of economic growth.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AbN5O

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-06

Notably, yield curve inversions have heralded each of the last eight recessions, as defined by the NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research).

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AbI4x

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-04

Recent reports reveal a concerning trend: an uptick in the share of retirement plan participants resorting to hardship withdrawals from their 401(k) accounts.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AbEYQ

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-02-01

Auto loan balances continued their upward trend, experiencing a $12 billion increase, and currently stand at $1.61 trillion, maintaining the trajectory observed since the second quarter of 2020.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/Aa8r5

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-01-27

Americans under financial stress have resorted to using their home equity lines of credit (HELOC), which saw an increase of $11 billion, marking the seventh consecutive quarterly rise since 2022.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/Aazjg

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-01-19

The economic indicators paint a challenging narrative for the current financial landscape, questioning the upbeat declarations from certain political quarters.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AajLT

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-01-14

Gross Domestic Product, an uptick in delinquency rates as individuals attempt to manage debt payments with fewer financial resources could prove disastrous.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AaZuU

Financial Freedom CountdownFinancialFreedomCountdown
2025-01-12

Credit card balances, mortgage loans, and auto loans are at record-high levels as delinquency rates for most debt types continue to climb.

Read more πŸ‘‰ lttr.ai/AaWit

Socialism for All ☭ S4Asocialismforall@ioc.exchange
2024-04-09

In finance, an inverted yield curve is when interest rates on short-term debt instruments rise above the interest rates of longer-term debt instruments of similar creditworthiness. In other words, this is an unusual situation in which, all else being equal, shorter-term investments return more money than longer-term investments.

Historically, inverted yield curves on US treasuries have been reliable indicators of impending recessions or economic downturns, and more prolonged inversions generally correlate with more severe crashes, as this video by the Game of Trades investment channel demonstrates: youtube.com/watch?v=ELF_EivMCM

(The last 30 seconds of this video are just ads for the channel's trading advice services.)

Our current situation in 2024 is that the yield curve has been inverted for 540 days, which is comparable to the durations of the inversions preceding the 1974 crash and the 2008 global financial meltdown (low 500s each) and second only to the 1929 market crash that kicked off the Great Depression (700).

The stock market is currently still going up, but keep in mind that the stock market went up for a long time after the 2008-era inversion as well: a record 657 days. If the market were to keep rallying for that length of time today, then the crash would begin this August.

2008 showed us that the average person will be angry and more ready to question capitalism itself when events like this happen. As Marxists, we must prepare to do widespread agitation, education, and organizing in its wake, spreading real knowledge about how to understand, resist, and fight back against capital.

#yieldcurve #ustreasury #federalreserve #invertedyieldcurve #recession #crash #financialcrash #financialmarket #economy #economics #news #politics #gfc #globalfinancialcrisis #2008 #greatdepression #depression #yieldinversion #capitalism #socialism #communism #socialist #communist #marxism #marxist #revolution #rev2030 #revolution2030 #tatertube #s4a #socialismforall

2023-03-14

@briankrebs

#invertedyieldcurve

Rutro #invertedyieldcurve is not good at all ☹️

2023-03-14

At returns of ~ 5 percent, the 3-month Treasury bills are looking really good right about now. So wild that the yield is higher than on much longer-term treasuries. #invertedyieldcurve

Client Info

Server: https://mastodon.social
Version: 2025.04
Repository: https://github.com/cyevgeniy/lmst