"compromise forecasts, defined as the average prediction in a group [we]re more accurate, and that this advantage persist[ed] through time" in "5 years of data from the Good Judgement Project".

https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.221216

#Prediction #BigData #Forecasting #JudgmentAndDecisionMaking #JDM #epistemology #polling #stats

Older people (over 55) were less prone to a certain type of #deliberation during #buying and #donation #decisions—even though they were more ambivalent (and #ambivalence correlated with more deliberation) and even when controlling for working #memory—than younger people (18-24). Total N = 120. 

Images of pages from the article are attached: https://ir.ua.edu/handle/123456789/9902

#age #CriticalThinking #DecisionScience #JudgmentAndDecisionMaking #JDM #DevelopmentalPsychology #DevPsych #Psychology #CogSci