Lmst

US discount retailers Dollar Tree and Dollar General have outperformed Nvidia in 2024, reflecting economic polarization as lower-income consumers flock to discount stores amid persistent inflation.
#YonhapInfomax #DollarTree #DollarGeneral #Nvidia #StockReturns #USInflation #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=94392

US core PCE price index rose 0.2% month-on-month in September, matching expectations, while household income and spending continued to grow, signaling steady inflation trends.
#YonhapInfomax #CorePCE #PersonalIncome #USInflation #ConsumerSpending #SavingsRate #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=94253

US September PCE Price Index climbs 2.8% year-on-year, matching market forecasts and signaling persistent inflationary pressures.
#YonhapInfomax #PCEPriceIndex #USInflation #SeptemberData #YearOnYear #MarketExpectations #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=94250

US core PCE price index rose 2.8% year-on-year in September, coming in slightly below market expectations and signaling a potential easing in inflationary pressures.
#YonhapInfomax #CorePCE #USInflation #SeptemberData #PriceIndex #MarketExpectations #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=94249

US September PCE Price Index climbs 0.3% month-on-month, matching market forecasts and signaling persistent inflationary pressures.
#YonhapInfomax #PcePriceIndex #USInflation #SeptemberData #MarketForecast #MonthOnMonthRise #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=94247

US core PCE price index posts a 0.2% month-on-month increase in September, matching market expectations and signaling steady inflation trends.
#YonhapInfomax #CorePCE #USInflation #SeptemberData #PriceIndex #MarketExpectations #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=94246

Why are gold and silver prices suddenly surging? Traders await US inflation clues https://english.mathrubhumi.com/news/money/gold-silver-futures-rise-us-inflation-data-fed-rate-outlook-kovnigfu?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #GoldPrice #SilverFutures #MCX #USInflation #FederalReserve

Dollar Tree and other US discount retailers are seeing a surge in high-income shoppers as persistent inflation drives even affluent consumers to seek value, with Dollar Tree reporting that 60% of its 3 million new customers in the past quarter earned over $100,000 annually.
#YonhapInfomax #DollarTree #HighIncomeHouseholds #USInflation #TradingDown #Walmart #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=94141

US producer prices climbed 0.3% in September, matching market forecasts and signaling persistent inflationary pressures in the world's largest economy.
#YonhapInfomax #ProducerPriceIndex #USInflation #SeptemberData #MarketForecast #03PercentRise #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=92416

#CNN chief data analyst #HarryEnten, who Trump himself declared on air "Really knows his stuff," runs the numbers on #USinflation and whether the public blames #DonaldTrump for rising prices. youtu.be/8kFnDCx6E10?...

‘A Titanic-sized problem’: Ent...

當我們看通貨膨脹率和失業率時，都會慣性帶入一高一低的想法，在Youtube上解說美國經濟情況更是如此。

這是經濟學的菲利普曲線關係，薩繆森與索羅在1960年的論文上提出的關係。

美國聯準會始終依賴這樣的關係做其決策。但是，從時間序的數據來看，失業率上升且通貨膨脹率上升，恐怕美國經濟體也要走向會發生同向關係的可能。

事實上，這樣的反向關係過去也有人驗出同向關係。我們不得不承認美國當初嚴格按照數據做決策，確實維持很好的反向關係。至於現在……事情已經改變了。但是否會成形同向關係，還得在整體數據期間內去看。

#經濟 #財經 #美國 #通貨膨脹 #數據分析 #AI #AI數據分析 #useconomy #economy #economywatch #inflation #usinflation #觀點

美國通貨膨脹率短期趨勢的起始為2024年12月，目前為期10個月了。整體數據期間需要至少9個月的數據才能形成短期趨勢。目前並沒有發現能夠【改變趨勢結構】的可能。

所謂【改變趨勢結構】是指新的數據加入，會讓整體數據期間的短期趨勢線所需的最少數據量改變。例如，從至少9個月變成至少5個月。這【改變趨勢結構】情況發生在：

⭐2023年11月(含)以前是至少8個月數據量
⭐2023年12月到2024年2月是至少5個月數據量
⭐2024年3月(含)之後就是現在看到的至少9個月數據量

期刊論文或觀看走勢圖無法取得樣的資訊。數據告訴我們美國經濟在消費者物價指數年增率的時間變化，當中有美國政府與聯準會的政策影響。

目前我這樣說，看起來是事後諸葛，但檔次當時獲得這些資訊時，可是即時的。這才是動態時間序列的精準分析。

#經濟 #財經 #美國 #通貨膨脹 #數據分析 #AI #AI數據分析 #useconomy #economy #economywatch #inflation #usinflation

美國有沒有通貨膨脹呢？

原數據看起來是緩慢增加：
Sep '25: 3.0
Aug '25: 2.9
Jul '25: 2.7
Jun '25: 2.7
May '25: 2.4

但這樣的通貨膨脹率感覺沒什麼。每次加入新公布的數據產生短期趨勢圖。每張圖的最右邊短期趨勢會有斜率改變。

===斜率值===
Sep 2025: 0.0050%
Aug 2025: -0.0186%
Jul 2025: -0.0526%
Jun 2025: -0.0878%
May 2025: -0.1415%
===========

從每月斜率值的愈發趨緩，下降速度愈慢，到了9月數據加入後轉為水平的微幅上升趨勢。你說美國沒有CPI物價指數年增率逐漸提高嗎？

@ida @academicchatter

#經濟 #財經 #美國 #通貨膨脹 #數據分析 #AI #ECONOMY #USECONOMY #MathAI #inflation #usinflation #economywatch

The long-awaited US inflation report landed today, showing price pressures continuing to cool, but it’s the jobs data that will really move the needle for the Federal Reserve.

https://dmarketforces.com/us-inflation-lands-as-shutdown-starves-fed-jobs-data-for-rate-cuts/

#USinflation

In September 2025, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased slightly from the previous month, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reporting a 0.3% month-on-month increase (vs. +0.4% in August).

https://dmarketforces.com/u-s-headline-inflation-rises-to-3-in-september/

#USinflation

US core consumer prices rose 3.0% year-on-year in September, coming in slightly below market expectations and signaling a potential easing in inflationary pressures.
#YonhapInfomax #CoreCPI #USInflation #SeptemberData #YearOnYear #MarketExpectations #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=87232