NASA and ESA scientists are monitoring
💥asteroid 2024 YR4,
initially feared to pose a threat to Earth,
but now projected to have a small chance of impacting the #Moon by 2031
—potentially offering a rare opportunity to observe a lunar impact and test planetary defense strategies.
First detected by the
"Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System" (ATLAS) in Hawaii
on December 27, 2024—two days after its closest approach to Earth—#YR4 is now being closely monitored, though it is currently out of view for astronomers
https://science.nasa.gov/solar-system/asteroids/2024-yr4/

Может "положить" земные спутники: возросла вероятность удара крупным астероидом по Луне,
https://www.unian.net/science/vozrosla-veroyatnost-udara-krupnym-asteroidom-yr4-po-lune-kakie-budut-posledstviya-13079250.html
#unian #YR4 #астероид #ударпоЛуне

#Nasa updates probability of #asteroid striking #Moon in 2032, https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/nasa-asteroid-2024-yr4-moon-earth-b2766992.html

Asteroid 2024 #YR4, initially considered a potential #threat to Earth, now has a higher probability of impacting the Moon on December 22, 2032.

Astronomers Trace Earth-Crossing Asteroid to Surprising Origin

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://keckobservatory.org/2024-yr4/

#NASA #Update on the #Size Estimate and #Lunar #Impact Probability of #Asteroid 2024 #YR4, https://etidiohnew.blogspot.com/2025/04/nasa-update-on-size-estimate-and-lunar.html

#DU124 - Wie verhindert man einen #Asteroideneinschlag? - #DasUniversum - #Podcast:

In Folge 124 geht es um den Weltuntergang. Bzw. eigentlich nicht wirklich, denn wir beschäftigen uns mit dem #Asteroid 2024 #YR4, der vielleicht im Jahr 2032 auf der Erde einschlagen könnte, das aber vermutlich nicht tun wird und wenn doch keinen Weltuntergang verursacht. Trotzdem haben wir mit Siegfried Eggl gesprochen, einem Experten für planetare Verteidigung und #Asteroidenabwehr.

https://dasuniversum.podigee.io/124-du124-wie-verhindert-man-einen-asteroideneinschlag

DOGE Cuts Threaten Oil-Driller-to-Astronaut Program: “Not just anybody can make a hole and put a bomb in it and blow it up in space.” #DOGE #YR4 #Garbridge #GoDumpies
https://www.garbridge.com/doge-cuts-threaten-oil-driller-to-astronaut-program/

Asteroid Alert: NASA Drops Impact Risk to Near Zero, But There’s One Small Catch…

#NASA has significantly reduced the risk of #asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in the foreseeable future... #yr4

https://formuchdeliberation.wordpress.com/2025/02/27/asteroid-alert-nasa-drops-impact-risk-to-near-zero-but-theres-one-small-catch/

Phew! "NASA Gives ‘All Clear’ for Asteroid That Seemed to Threaten Earth" #yr4 #asteroid #nasa https://blogs.nasa.gov/planetarydefense/

New orbital parameters all but confirm we can't count on asteroid 2024 YR4 to resolve our conflict with reality as it will miss the Earth, after all. We'll have to solve all this ourselves.
#YR4 #apocalypse #canceled
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/details.html#?des=2024%20YR4

BBC: YR4 asteroid: The hits and near-misses you never hear about…

A large #asteroid known as 2024 YR4 has grabbed headlines this week as scientists first raised its chances of hitting earth, then lowered them... #YR4

https://formuchdeliberation.wordpress.com/2025/02/23/bbc-yr4-asteroid-the-hits-and-near-misses-you-never-hear-about-2/

The odds that asteroid 2024 YR4 would hit Earth in 2032 rose and then plummeted in recent days. The latter is good news, considering the asteroid is thought to have the potential to release 500 times more energy than the atomic bomb that destroyed Hiroshima. However, riskier asteroids may continue to pester our planet. Read more from @LiveScience:

https://flip.it/B6YDKh

#Science #Space #Asteroid #YR4 #Earth

och en komet känns som en rimlig lösning ... 😒

"tyvärr" lite för långt söderut, dock?

#YR4 #2032

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8a/2024_YR4_risk_corridor.png

https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_YR4
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_YR4

#NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 #YR4 to Below 1%

https://www.universetoday.com/171047/nasa-downgrades-the-risk-of-2024-yr4-to-below-1/

Cet astéroïde qui pourrait percuter la Terre en 2032

https://tube.fede.re/videos/watch/9d114ff9-98f1-4723-b9c2-48f090adb645

Alors qu'elles étaient autour de 1.5% hier et 3% avant hier, la probabilité d'impact sur Terre de l'astéroïde 2024 #YR4 est désormais de 0.15% (Esa) et 0.28% (Nasa)
A suivre ici :
NASA : https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/details.html#?des=2024%20YR4
et là
ESA : https://neo.ssa.esa.int/search-for-asteroids?tab=possimp&des=2024YR4 (IP=Impact probability) 1.55E-3=0.155%

| Odds of asteroid #YR4 hitting Earth just went up again, reaching new high

Die Risikobewertung für einen Einschlag auf der Erde ist für den Asteroiden 2024 #YR4 von 2,8 auf 1,4 Prozent heruntergestuft worden.
Dafür besteht jetzt eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von etwa 1%, dass er den Mond trifft.

Btw: Warum bin ich erstaunt, dass es die NASA offenbar noch gibt?

https://www.t-online.de/leben/wissenschaft/weltall/id_100606522/asteroid-2024-yr4-esa-experte-richard-moissl-gibt-entwarnung-fuer-einschlag.html

Derzeit schauen viele gebannt auf die Entwicklung des Asteroiden 2024 YR4. „Niemand muss mit Angst vor Asteroiden abends ins Bett gehen“, sagt der Esa-Experte Richard Moissl im Interview.

#Asteroid #YR4

https://t3n.de/news/wie-gefaehrlich-wird-der-asteroid-2024-yr4-wir-haben-einen-esa-experten-gefragt-1674259/

Après un pic de probabilité d'impact sur Terre de 3% atteint hier, les "chances" que l'astéroïde 2024 #YR4 rentre en collision avec la Terre retombent à 1.5% (Nasa) et 1.4% (Esa)
A suivre ici :
NASA : https://neo.ssa.esa.int/search-for-asteroids?tab=possimp&des=2024YR4 et là
ESA : https://neo.ssa.esa.int/search-for-asteroids?tab=possimp&des=2024YR4 (IP=Impact probability) 1.38E-2=1.38%