"Even though its predictions must be taken with a pinch of salt, Electoral Calculus had indicated before the conference that Your Party might win 13 Westminster seats with just 4 per cent of the national vote, toppling Labour’s Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood in Birmingham Ladywood and Health Secretary Wes Streeting in Ilford North in the process. Your Party’s stated membership is a third of the size of the Greens, who have surged to 170,000 under eco-populist Zack Polanski. So much organized political activity to the left of Labour has not been seen since the 1960s.
It’s one aspect of a broader drop in support for the governing parties. Labour and the Conservatives are down to 18 and 17 per cent respectively in Politico’s poll-of-polls. Reform has been the principal beneficiary, at 27 per cent. The Greens are up to 14 per cent. Renewed Toryism under Reform seems the likeliest scenario for declining Britain, but the fragmentation of voter preferences makes the dynamics of the First Past the Post electoral system increasingly unpredictable, and what happens over the next few years is anyone’s guess. Any serious political challenger will also have to grapple with the condition of the country: stagnant wages, rising costs for housing, food and fuel, stark regional inequalities, a crisis-hit NHS, the Thatcherite privatization of utilities bringing them close to collapse. Cliques and stupidities aside, Your Party has plenty of thinking to do."
https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/decent-limits
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