Day as opposed to month. It makes a difference.

#ArcticSeaIce
#cryosphere
#ClimateProjections

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-54508-3

#AI4PEX research focus 8: Projections
AI4PEX aims to deliver improved #climateprojections of changes in the regimes of #ExtremeEvents and associated impacts from the next generation of #ESMs #ArtificialIntelligence-enhanced and grounded on #earthobservations.

Are you wondering how #AI4PEX plans to overcome uncertainties in #ESMs and how to improve #climateprojections in the future?
Over the next weeks, we will introduce you to the main research tasks of our project, which will ultimately result in an improved #ESM.

🚀 Stay tuned!

🚨Blogpost alert | Get to know the heart of our work with our latest blog post, where you will discover how #nextGEMS is revolutionizing #climateprojections by employing storm-resolving models with a fifty-fold finer horizontal grid, unlocking unprecedented levels of resolution. 📚

🔗 Learn about two key models driving our research, #ICON and #IFS, reading the full blog post here: https://nextgems-h2020.eu/the-earth-system-models-used-in-nextgems-explained/

#EarthSystemModelling #StormResolving #H2020 #ClimateChange #WeatherForecast

When you are trying to work out the implications of #SeaLevelRise on populations you need to know how big and how much the population is growing...

Based on this probabilistic projection I've come to the conclusion that #demographics exist to make #climateProjections look good...

#ProtectSLR

(Full disclosure, I' leading a work package on #ClimateProjections in this project!)

Referenced link: https://phys.org/news/2023-06-effect-volcanic-eruptions-significantly-underestimated.html
Discuss on https://discu.eu/q/https://phys.org/news/2023-06-effect-volcanic-eruptions-significantly-underestimated.html

Originally posted by Phys.org / @physorg_com: http://nitter.platypush.tech/physorg_com/status/1672285655097851906#m

Effect of #volcaniceruptions significantly underestimated in #climateprojections, study shows @Cambridge_Uni @theAGU https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2023GL103743 https://phys.org/news/2023-06-effect-volcanic-eruptions-significantly-underestimated.html

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a natural cycle of warm and cold phases in the tropical Pacific, is not behaving as expected under climate change. Most computer models predict that ENSO will become more intense and frequent as the planet warms, but observations show no clear trend. This discrepancy challenges scientists’ ability to project future climate impacts, such as droughts, floods and hurricanes. #ENSO #Pacific #ClimateProjections https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/04/a-mystery-in-the-pacific-is-complicating-climate-projections/

Per #ChatGPT: “based on the global projections provided by NOAA, and assuming a linear increase in sea level over time, we can estimate that San Diego's sea level could rise by around 4-8 inches (10-20 cm) by 2055 under the low-emissions scenario, and by 10-20 inches (25-50 cm) under the high-emissions scenario.”

#SanDiego #ClimateProjections #california #urbandevelopment #strongtown