#ISW

Iran Update Special Report, June 21, 2025, Evening Edition

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has begun implementing emergency succession measures in response to escalating Israeli strikes and the potential for US military involvement.
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2025

Russian President Vladimir Putin's long-term demands for full Ukrainian capitulation remain unchanged.
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Iran Update Special Report, June 21, 2025, Morning Edition

The Israel Defense Forces conducted a new wave of airstrikes on the Esfahan Nuclear Technology Center on June 21 as part of Israel’s campaign to “degrade, destroy, and remove [the] threat” of Iranian weaponization of its nuclear program
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2025-06-21

Vladimir Putin Issues Warning of New War

Ukraine risks renewed armed conflict in the future if it does not recognize the results of referenda ballots…
#Conflict #Conflicts #War #ANNEXATION #ISW #referendum #Russia #RussiaUkraineWar #Ukraine #VladimirPutin #war
europesays.com/2181884/

Iran Update Special Report, June 20, 2025, Evening Edition

Iran is attempting to impose a dilemma on the United States and the international community: accept Iranian terms in nuclear negotiations or risk a long and challenging hunt for hidden Iranian nuclear material.
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20, 2025

Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed that Russians and Ukrainians are one nation and all of Ukraine is effectively Russian as part of efforts to justify his continued conquest of Ukraine.
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2025-06-20

The Deafening Silence of Iran’s Proxies

Author: Brian Carter  The lack of a meaningful response from the so-called “Axis of…
#Conflict #Conflicts #War #Afghanistan #Institute #InstitutefortheStudyofWar #Iran #IranProject #Iraq #ISW #Libya #middleeast #ORBAT #report #security #Study #war
europesays.com/2179936/

The Deafening Silence of Iran’s Proxies

The lack of a meaningful response from the so-called “Axis of Resistance” to the Israel-Iran war reveals how exhausted it is after months of fighting the United States and Israel.
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
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Iran Update Special Report, June 20, 2025, Morning Edition

Avery Borens, Ben Rezaei, Johanna Moore, and Brian Carter
Information Cutoff: 5:00 AM ET 
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Iran Update Special Report, June 19, 2025, Evening Edition

Iranian officials have expressed interest in negotiating an end to the Israel-Iran conflict but have not moderated their negotiating positions from before the conflict. An unspecified US official cited by Axios on June 19 stated that US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff has been in contact with Iranian Foreig…
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 19, 2025

The West has failed to convince Russian President Vladimir Putin to reevaluate his theory of victory in Ukraine in the past year. Putin’s public statements indicate that he continues to assess that Russian forces will be able to win a war of attrition by sustaining gradual advances along the frontline indefinitely.
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UAE Fuels Regionalization of Sudan War; JNIM Expands Along Benin-Nigeria Border: Africa File, June 18, 2025

The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) captured a key border area between Egypt, Libya, and Sudan on June 10 that the RSF will likely use to strengthen its supply lines.
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Iran Update Special Report, June 19, 2025, Morning Edition

CTP-ISW has observed fewer reports of Israeli airstrikes from social media accounts based in Iran, which likely reflects widespread internet disruptions in Iran rather than an actual decrease in Israeli airstrikes.
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Iran Update Special Report, June 18, 2025, Evening Edition

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei categorically rejected US President Donald Trump’s call for Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and threatened to target the United States if the United States intervenes in the Israel-Iran conflict
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
understandingwar.org/backgroun

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 18, 2025

Russian forces conducted an at least platoon-sized mechanized assault in the Toretsk direction on June 17. Geolocated footage published on June 17 shows that Russian forces conducted a mechanized assault west of Yablunivka (west of Toretsk) with at least three armored vehicles and four motorized vehicles, likely a…
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
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Iran Update Special Report, June 18, 2025, Morning Edition

Israel has shifted its air campaign to target Iranian ballistic missile production facilities since CTP-ISW's last data cutoff on June 17.
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understandingwar.org/backgroun

Adversary Entente Task Force Update, June 18, 2025

Russian President Vladimir Putin offered to mediate Iran-Israeli talks following the onset of the Iran-Israeli war on June 13. Neither Iran, Israel, nor the United States is likely to engage in productive talks for peace or Iran's nuclear program in the near term. Putin is likely using the Iran-Israeli war to present …
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
understandingwar.org/backgroun

Russian Force Generation and Technological Adaptations Update June 18, 2025

Russian President Vladimir Putin reiterated his commitment to raising a new elite comprised of loyal veterans via the Time of Heroes federal program, which appoints veterans into positions of federal, regional, and municipal power. Putin met with Time of Heroes partic…
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
understandingwar.org/backgroun

Iran Update Special Report, June 17, 2025, Evening Edition

The IAEA confirmed that Israeli strikes have impacted underground infrastructure at the Natanz nuclear site. This came after the IAEA reported that Israeli strikes have likely damaged or destroyed thousands of centrifuges at Natanz.
#ISW #miltodon #understandingwar
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 17, 2025

Russian forces conducted the third largest combined drone and missile strike against Ukraine since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion on the night of June 16 to 17. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched 440 Shahed and decoy drones from the directions of Kursk, Oryol, and Bryansk citi…
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