#statstab #469 Significance tests, p-values, and falsificationism

Thoughts: An "interesting" thread of philosophy of science and debating.

#discussion #debate #pvalue #falsification #nhst

https://discourse.datamethods.org/t/significance-tests-p-values-and-falsificationism/

#statstab #468 Why Summaries of Research on Psychological Theories are Often Uninterpretable

Thoughts: psychology uses significance testing backwards relative to hard sciences.

#meehl #theory #criticism #falsification #popper #methods #nhst #psychology

https://scienceplusplus.org/metascience/assets/Meehl1990_1985.pdf

« Le massacre de Thiaroye, au Sénégal, en 1944, c’est le rétablissement de l’ordre colonial », Mamadou Diouf, historien. #falsification https://seenthis.net/messages/1141374#message1141980

#statstab #429 A Vast Graveyard of Undead Theories: Publication Bias and Psychological Science’s Aversion to the Null

Thoughts: Ignoring null findings keeps bad theories alive.

#nulleffects #nhst #falsification #theory #critique #reproducibility #pvalue

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1745691612459059

Now that this is done, I have no goals left in life.

https://meth.psychopen.eu/index.php/meth/article/view/17705

(* I hope I can repeat this joke a few more times.)

#falsification #popper #science #replication

1. Did she sign and forget?
2. Did she sign and then lie to the judge?
3. Did someone in her office forge her signature?

https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/judge-reviewed-comey-indictment-confused-011100593.html
#lies #liar #incompetent #contempt #perjury #fraud #falsification #DOJ #corrupt #government #USPolitics #comey

Aussi sur Le Monde (article en partie réservé aux gens qui ont un abonnement).
"Dans un article publié lundi 4 août dans « PNAS », la revue de l’Académie nationale des sciences des Etats-Unis, des mathématiciens et des biologistes ont recensé des pratiques frauduleuses grandissantes dans les revues de recherche."
https://www.lemonde.fr/sciences/article/2025/08/10/la-fraude-aux-publications-scientifiques-s-industrialise-alerte-une-etude-americaine_6627655_1650684.html
#esr #recherche #université #revuesSavantes #fraude #falsification #criminalite #PNAS #PlosOne

Avec l’IA générative, la falsification de documents explose | LeMagIT https://www.lemagit.fr/actualites/366626050/Avec-lIA-generative-la-falsification-de-documents-explose #falsification #usurpation_d’identité #intelligenceartificiellegénérative #usurpationd’identité #falsification_automatisée #fauxdocument #falsificationautomatisée #intelligence_artificielle_générative #faux_document

The persistent faith-based search for #darkmatter is no different than hunting for bigfoot or the Loch Ness monster because someone once said it exists (indeed, got a #NobelPrize!), despite a complete lack of *any* direct #evidence. But in a perversion of the #blackswan effect, repeated #falsification only steels resolve to look again.

Trump veut manipuler l'Histoire, voici comment

https://tube.fede.re/videos/watch/cb3daa67-27dc-4f00-afad-0d6e73b422ca

The preprint on our #falsification assessment form is there. https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/eck8y_v1
#confirmation #openscience

https://www.archimag.com/vie-numerique/2025/04/04/fraude-documentaire-menace-systematique-industrialisee-ia-generative
En effet, l’arrivée de l’#IA générative constitue une “révolution” dans la fabrication des falsifications de document. “Entre 2023 et 2024 la #falsification de documents numériques a connu une hausse de 244 %, démontrant l'industrialisation rapide de ces pratiques frauduleuses” dit le rapport de l’Observatoire Tessi En pratique : 34 % ont utilisé un logiciel de retouche d'image 32 % ont eu recours à une solution d'IA générative 30 % ont utilisé un site internet spécialisé

Mathematics behind tariff, the official version and one unofficial interpretation:

https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/reciprocal-tariff-calculations

https://english.elpais.com/economy-and-business/2025-04-03/trumps-big-lie-this-is-the-simple-formula-he-used-to-calculate-the-reciprocal-tariffs.html

#math #tariff #falsification #usgovernment #departmentofcommerce

#Pixelfed I have a pixelfed account question, regarding another user account. There’s a user who posts photos from other photographers, without really implying that they’re not originals. Sometimes they seem to be pulled from the internet, maybe of beautiful items, other times stills from museums… This seems like impersonation. #impersonation #falsification #stealing #artTheft Any thoughts?

Once upon a time, Karl #Popper gave the world #falsification as the gold standard of science. If you cannot in theory prove something wrong, it doesn't belong in the empirical world. But when theology is in the game, suddenly falsification is complicated.

Of course, it's no longer as transparent as once thought. Science is messy, theories get refined rather than tossed, & even physics plays fast & loose with untestable assumptions.

Here's the next core concept video on John Wisdom's classic essay "Gods", this one focusing on the one portion people tend to read, talk about, and put into philosophy of religion anthologies, the parable of the invisible gardener

https://youtu.be/moTIQxLzQ6w
#Video #Wisdom #Religion #Philosophy #Falsification #Parable #Analogy

"Les métadonnées confirment la falsification des « procès-verbaux » de l’opposition – Misión VERDAD"

#Machado #Urruti
#venezuela #extremedroite #elections #LatinAmerica
#falsification #les2rives #maduro

https://www.les2rives.info/les-metadonnees-confirment-la-falsification-des-proces-verbaux-de-lopposition-mision-verdad/

#YuccaMountain

via #SacredLandFilmProject

Report By Amy Corbin
Posted October 1, 2004
Updated April 1, 2010

"For more than two decades, the #Shoshone and #Paiute peoples, scientists, #environmentalists, the federal government, Nevada citizens and politicians have wrestled over the fate of Yucca Mountain. The federal government had selected the mountain to become the nation’s primary dumping ground for deadly, high-level #NuclearWaste, but the long-contested project is at last on its way to being closed. Meanwhile, the #WesternShoshone fight off federal efforts to sell their land in order to give multinational #corporations access to its #mineral resources. But the Western Shoshone stand firm. Raymond Yowell, Chief of the Western Shoshone National Council, said, 'Western Shoshone title is still intact… We’ve never accepted their money and never will — our land, the earth mother is not for sale and we will protect her and continue our responsibilities as caretakers under the Creator’s law.'

The Land and Its People

"Yucca Mountain is located within the Western Shoshone Nation and has long been a place of powerful spiritual energy for the Shoshone and the Paiute. To the Western Shoshone it is #SnakeMountain, a place with rock rings that transmit prayers to the Great Spirit and messages back to the people. The late Shoshone spiritual leader Corbin Harney told a traditional story that Snake Mountain will one day be awakened and split open, spewing out poison. This prophecy may predict the potential disaster of #volcanic activity and nuclear waste leakage. Shoshone ancestors are buried in the mountain and the water in the area is sacred, as it is with many desert peoples.

"The 60 million acres of Western Shoshone territory in Nevada, Idaho, Utah and California, which includes Yucca Mountain, was never deeded to the U.S. government. According to the 1863 #RubyValleyTreaty that the Shoshone signed with the government, most of the area now used by the U.S. military for #NuclearWeapons testing and the proposed waste storage site was explicitly recognized as Shoshone land. However, the U.S. government now claims 80 to 90 percent of it, meaning that the Shoshone are unable to control what happens on their ancestral land. Legislators continue to try to persuade the Shoshone to accept financial compensation for this land, which most view as a way to extinguish aboriginal title and preclude future land claims, easing the way for renewed nuclear weapons testing and waste storage, as well as resource #extraction.

"In the late 1970s government scientists began to study Yucca Mountain as a possible repository for nuclear waste, and since 1987 it has been the only site considered for 77,000 metric tons of spent nuclear fuel and radioactive waste. While the Yucca Mountain Project has been debated, the amount of nuclear waste needing burial has already surpassed what the repository was designed to hold. In the meantime, nuclear waste continues to sit in steel-lined pools or casks near power plants throughout the country that produce 2,000 tons of high-level waste per year. The waste is lethal for 10,000 years and dangerous for 250,000 years."

[...]

"The Yucca Mountain Project calls for the highly radioactive nuclear waste to be encased in steel containers and buried deep in the mountain. Since the canisters will last for 1,000 years at most, the dryness of the mountain will have to guarantee against leakage and migration — an assumption that environmentalists and many scientists say is flawed and dangerous. Surface water percolating into the mountain will carry radioactive particles into the water table and render it toxic. This water table currently supplies water to local communities and farming regions that produce food products for the entire country.

"In 2005, Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman confirmed that internal department e-mails allude to the #falsification of data on how quickly water flows through Yucca Mountain. This revelation caused a federal investigation, and condemnation from Congress triggered the Department of Energy to completely reorganize the project and lay off 500 employees. Robert Hager, attorney for the Western Shoshone, said that the Yucca site would have been disqualified years ago if the true nature of the subterranean water flow was known.

"With several local #FaultLines and a #volcano nearby, earthquakes make it likely that the mountain will fracture the repository and send even more water to the waste. There are also grave concerns about the safety of transporting nuclear waste over long distances through several U.S. states, particularly in an era of terrorist threats. During the later Bush years, as environmental concerns mounted and citizens from other states grew more leery, the project began to look more and more unlikely."

Read more:
https://sacredland.org/yucca-mountain-united-states/

#EnvironmentalRacism #Pauite #PauiteShoshone #CulturalGenocide #NativeAmericans #nuclear #nuclearwaste #WaterIsLife #RespectTheTreaties #NoNukes #NoDumping

"If she misrepresented herself under oath or made false statements in her #CertificateOfCandidacy and related documents, she may be held criminally liable for #perjury or #falsification, aside from being ousted from public office through the proper proceedings." -Solicitor General Menardo Guevarra

#POGO #Philippines

After #NBI findings, #OSG to file quo warranto case vs. #AliceGuo 'ASAP'
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/911484/after-nbi-findings-osg-to-file-quo-warranto-case-vs-alice-guo-asap/story/?top_picks&order=1

Back toot: https://noc.social/@Norobiik/112688008417654691

[After the #Trump hurricane Dorian incident,]… #NOAA updated their policy…said NOAA’s #ScientificIntegrity officer.
The #policy includes guidelines on how #scientists should conduct themselves, & asks them to articulate their findings openly & clearly to the #public. It establishes that “credible allegations of #fabrication, #falsification, #plagiarism, & #interference w/or undue #influence on accurate public reporting of #science” can result in “personnel actions” & referral to the IG’s office.