James Webb found galaxies that "shouldn't exist" per our cosmic models.
Same acceleration mismatch destroying business planning: DeepSeek emerged while experts declared competition "hopeless." Courts digitized in weeks after decades of resistance.
Reality consistently outpaces institutional response cycles.
Strategic foresight must shift from prediction to adaptive capacity.
Read more here: https://richardbukowski.substack.com/p/the-acceleration-mismatch-when-planning
The $15B Signal
Meta's Scale AI
investment reveals what I call the Scale Moment. Through foresight work across sectors, successful AI implementations share one trait: they augment humans rather than replace them.
Same blindspots that missed DeepSeek and Ozempic disruptions persist. Organizations need strategic foresight, not just technology.
Read here: https://richardbukowski.substack.com/p/the-scale-moment
Are you a #facilitator or meeting organiser curious about shaping better #futures?
Join Facilitating Futures, an online community of practice!
Next session: 16 June (10h00 or 15h30 CET).
Details: https://www.futures.fit/ff
I consider it a sad #foresight that the right to bear arms in the #USA has often also been seen as a way that citizens can protect their rights against an overreaching central government.
Today, there is a clear view down to the bottom of an abyss, but still some steps away. Hope there'll be no further ones forward. ☮️
Neuer Schwung für #Technikfolgenabschätzung und #Foresight im Bundestag! Gestern haben wir das TAB im neuen Forschungsausschuss (www.bundestag.de/ausschuesse/forschung) vorgestellt.
Wir freuen uns auf einen weiterhin konstruktiven Dialog zur aktiven Gestatung von Technikzukünften🚀🧭🌱
2001 Draft- The Spurs showcase foresight as they drafted unknown Tony Parker https://www.rawchili.com/nba/69909/ #as #Basketball #draft #drafted #foresight #FrontPage #NBA #NBADraft #parker #pounding #rock #showcase #spurs #SpursDiscussionThreads #the #they #tony #unknown
Are you a #facilitator or meeting organiser curious about shaping better #futures?
Join our online community of practice, Facilitating Futures, today (26 May at 10h00 or 15h30 CET), to explore the Futures Wheel.
Details: https://www.futures.fit/ff
I am attending the first Futures4Eurupe futures and foresight conference in Vienna, listening to the delightful Petranka Malcheva talking about Wales' approach to long-termism.
Which came up in my last Futuring Is... podcast.
Such an energetic and vibrant bunch of people from so many backgrounds. Exciting!
#Vienna #7WellbeingGoals #Wales #Futures4EuropeConference2025 #foresight #collectiveintelligence #futuringis
Are you a #facilitator or meeting organiser curious about shaping better #futures?
Join Facilitating Futures, an online community of practice!
Next session: 26 May (10h00 or 15h30 CET).
Focus: The Futures Wheel
Details: https://www.futures.fit/ff
"Leaders who think beyond the current storm are the ones who shape what happens after it." - Futurist Jim Carroll
Here's a key thing to think about: strategic foresight always beats tactical firefighting.
The strongest organizations think beyond today’s chaos—and start building the world they want to lead. That's because they know that economic growth always follows the minds that create the ideas of tomorrow, and they know it's better to be one of those minds.
Most leaders and organizations don't do this though. It’s easy, in a time of volatility, to fall into survival mode. Watching the headlines, managing today’s problems, and delaying everything else. But if history teaches us anything, it's this: the companies that think beyond the current storm are the ones that shape what happens after it.
They don't just react to the present—they create the future. They subscribe to the most important statement about the future made by Bill Gates: "Most people tend to overestimate the rate of change on a two-year basis, but underestimate change on a ten-year basis." With that in mind, they know one of the most important things they need to be doing right now is to ensure they have a firm grasp of what comes tomorrow - and what they need to do about it.
Why does it matter? Leadership during uncertainty isn’t just about managing immediate fires. It’s about constantly asking: “What world will emerge next—and how do we lead it?” Forward-oriented thinking forces you to operate across two horizons: managing today’s pressures realistically, and strategizing tomorrow’s opportunities relentlessly. You can't do the latter if you don't have a firm grasp on what comes tomorrow.
McKinsey research shows that companies that allocate resources based on future trends—not just past results—outperform their industry peers by nearly 40% over 10 years. The fact is, short-term thinking Is a trap but sadly, it has become the norm. When volatility rises, leadership conversations shrink - from multi-year strategy to monthly budgets; from future innovation to weekly crisis meetings; from new market creation to operational firefighting; and from big, bold, long-term visions to small, narrow daily actions.
And the fact is, the longer you stay trapped today, the further you fall behind the leaders building tomorrow. The future doesn't slow down in a recession - it speeds up.
You can’t sit back and hope the future will be kind to you. You have to go out and shape it.
The companies that will dominate the next decade are already investing in new capabilities, technologies, markets, and ideas—even while today’s challenges are raging.
Realize this: tomorrow’s winners are already thinking past today's chaos.
**#Foresight** **#Leadership** **#Trends** **#Innovation** **#Future** **#Strategy** **#Opportunity** **#Disruption**
Are you a #facilitator or meeting organiser curious about shaping better #futures?
Join Facilitating Futures, an online community of practice!
Next sessions: 28 Apr, 26 May, 16 Jun 2025 (10h00 or 15h30 CET).
Details: https://www.futures.fit/ff
Today's poem:
Crossing the Loire
- by Eiléan Ní Chuilleanáin
https://www.tumblr.com/ukdamo/780427796047675392/crossing-the-loire?source=share
#poetry #EiléanNíChuilleanáin #journey #reverie #encounter #foresight
Ich würde hier auch noch gerne was zu #Foresight schreiben. Das ist ein Feld über das ich in meiner Brüsselstation sozusagen gestolpert bin. Dort gibt es am Parlament nämlich eine Scientific Foresight Unit. Der Grundgedanke von Foresight ist verführerisch ➡️
#Lesetipp: Unsere fünf neuen Themenkurzprofile aus dem Horizon-Scanning bieten auf ca. 10 Seiten einen kompakten Überblick zu Chancen und Risiken neuer Technologien.
➡️ https://www.tab-beim-bundestag.de/news-2025-03-neue-themenkurzprofile-aus-dem-horizon-scanning.php
#Foresight #technikfolgenabschatzung
A lot of companies are about to take huge losses on their balance sheets and as such will have to #layoff a percentage of their #workforce due to the ongoing #fascist #Federal #fuckery.
I hope those companies have to #foresight to start the layoffs with the employees that voted for those changes first.
Searching party affiliation is trivial.
What is the value of imaging the worst possible outcomes in the current crisis? I think it can be the psychological equivalent of lancing a boil--enabling us to set aside what we can't control and focus on what we can do. #foresight #scenarios #museums https://www.aam-us.org/2025/03/04/living-in-a-wild-future/
“A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.”
— The Second Amendment to the US Constitution, ratified in 1791.
What is the outlook for South Africa, After the Suspension of U.S. Aid? Nashwa Abdelnaby writes for African Narratives and explores possible futures and scenarios that range from dependency to self-reliance.
See: https://africannarratives.org/potential-scenarios-for-south-africa-after-suspension-of-us-aid
In der Studie "Techno-Tektonik" nimmt #VDIResearch 20 Jahre technologischer Wandel in weltweiten #Zukunftsstudien in den Blick. Erfahren Sie mehr über Trends in Gesundheit, Arbeit, #Nachhaltigkeit & #Digitalisierung. 📊 #Foresight #Technologie #VDITZ
https://nachrichten.idw-online.de/2025/02/11/techno-tektonik-vdi-research-nimmt-20-jahre-technologischer-wandel-in-den-blick
