#contingent : possible, or liable, but not certain, to occur
- French: contingent
- German: das Kontingent
- Italian: contingente
- Portuguese: contingente
- Spanish: contingente
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BONUS: Here's #Contingent Magazine's companion page with journal articles by historians:
https://contingentmagazine.org/2024/12/03/2024-journal-article-list/
#Contingent Magazine has highlighted books by historians on this page.
Separate page with books & articles by literary studies scholars is adjacent to this post, timestamp within a couple of minutes.
https://contingentmagazine.org/2024/12/02/2024-contingent-book-list/
This page from #Contingent Magazine is about literary studies works from 2024. There's another one about historians I''m sharing separately. Should be adjacent to this, timestamp within a couple of minutes.
https://contingentmagazine.org/2024/12/08/2024-literary-studies-book-and-journal-article-list/
American democracy is in a fragile place.
If you haven’t figured that out by this point, you haven’t been paying attention.
The dangers are coming from all sides.
🔸Donald Trump has just survived his second apparent assassination attempt.
🔸The governor of Ohio has had to call in the state police to monitor a spate of bomb threats to local schools after falsehoods about Haitian immigrants eating cats and dogs in the area began circulating.
🔸That’s aside from all the usual mass shootings, Proud Boy marches and the rest of it.
⭐️But inside this fomenting turmoil,
🧨the most dangerous spot in the whole country,
🧨the rock on which the American state may well founder, is the quiet congressional district of #Omaha, Nebraska, the very heart of the American heartland.
Omaha is dangerous, not in itself, but due to the entirely weird position it inhabits inside the #electoral #college.
In one of those strange freaks of American politics, Nebraska has a ❇️ split electoral college vote,
and for the past few elections the city of Omaha has reliably voted Democrat.
The other two electoral districts vote solidly Republican.
Ordinarily, this little hiccup in the system wouldn’t matter much.
But 2024 represents a uniquely precarious moment.
As it stands -- once you remove the settled Democrat and Republican states -- the most direct path to a Kamala Harris victory is by way of #Wisconsin, #Michigan and #Pennsylvania.
With those three states, she would receive
👉exactly 270 electoral college seats, the number she needs to win.
In that case, she would win 💥if, and only if,
💥she holds that one electoral college vote in the congressional district of Omaha, Nebraska.
The Omaha congressional district hasn’t mattered much due to a kind of bipartisan #detente, a balance of power.
Nebraska is not the only state that splits its electoral system by district.
So does Maine.
And Maine, while mostly Democratic, has a similarly reliable Republican constituency,
which will almost certainly give its electoral college seat to Trump.
If Nebraska changes its system to give Trump an advantage, Maine has said it will reciprocate in order to cancel out any attempt to shift the balance of power.
Largely for this reason, the inclination to change the law has been muted in Nebraska -- even though Republicans control the statehouse.
Having a contested electoral college seat also makes Nebraska slightly more worthy of attention from both national parties,
meaning the current division is, to some small degree, in the interests of Nebraskans on the whole.
Yet that state of detente may be set to unravel.
The Maine legislature has now gone out of session
And last Friday, #Jim #Pillen, the governor of Nebraska, made a public statement:
“I strongly support statewide unity and joining 48 other states by awarding all five of our electoral college votes to the presidential candidate who wins the majority of Nebraskans’ votes,” he said.
“As I have also made clear, I am willing to convene the Legislature for a special session to fix this 30-year-old problem before the 2024 election. However, I must receive clear and public indication that 33 senators are willing to vote in such a session to restore winner-take-all.”
➡️ Pillen is effectively deflecting the electoral college question onto the state senators,
♦️but he is also opening the door to the possibility of the switch, which could alter the course of the election.
Republicans would not even need to switch the electoral college seat to win. ❗️
They only need to muddy the waters.
If, for example,
🔹the Nebraska legislature ensured that their electoral college votes were in dispute,
🔹and the courts had not decided the matter by 6 January,
🔹and no one had reached the threshold of 270,
♦️that state of affairs would automatically trigger a #contingent #election.
In a contingent election, another abstruse mechanism of the US electoral system,
each state delegation
-- whether it’s California or Wyoming
-- gets a #single #vote, which means that the Republicans would always win.
(This possibility is the subject of a book I wrote with Andrew Yang, "The Last Election".)
The sheer boredom of what I’m describing here -- the banal technicalities of the complex legal structures in place -- may, on the surface, seem less frightening than assassination attempts and bomb threats and cooked pets and armed militias.
But don’t misunderstand:
🔥this is the real danger America faces.
👉The complexity is the trap.
The complexity makes it easy for people to believe that somehow they haven’t been tricked
-- that a functioning democratic system, however bizarre, is still in place
--even when it clearly isn’t anymore.
#contingent : possible, or liable, but not certain, to occur
- French: contingent
- German: das Kontingent
- Italian: contingente
- Portuguese: contingente
- Spanish: contingente
------------
Report an incorrect translation @ https://wordofthehour.org/r/translations
Kenya ou le nouvel agent de l’OTAN
https://investigaction.net/kenya-ou-le-nouvel-agent-de-lotan/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=kenya-ou-le-nouvel-agent-de-lotan
Qualifié de « bon élève » par le FMI, William Ruto a dû reculer devant la colère de la population kenyanne - non sans une violente répression policière qui a […]
#Politique #Afrique #ArielHenry #BanqueMondiale #Coface #Contingent #Déficit #Fmi #FondsMonétaireInternationale #Guerre #Haïti #JoeBiden #JovenelMoïse #Kenya #Manifestations #Otan #ParlementKenyan #PrésidentKenyan #PressionFiscale #ProjetDeBudget #SoldatsKenyans #VictoirePopulaire #WilliamRuto
#contingent : possible, or liable, but not certain, to occur
- French: contingent
- German: das Kontingent
- Italian: contingente
- Portuguese: contingente
- Spanish: contingente
------------
Report an incorrect translation @ https://wordofthehour.org/r/translations
Got democracy? Want to keep it?
Normally I am an optimist and believe Biden will win the election. But the article linked below (no paywall) has shaken me.
The article carefully explains in detail how House Speaker Mike Johnson can manipulate things so that the U.S. House winds up electing the president with each state getting one vote. This would guarantee a second term for Trump even after he loses the election.
The process is a “contingent election” as described by the 12th amendment to the constitution.
To read other articles, search mastodon on “contingent election” with the quotes.
#ContingentElection #Contingent #Election
Important detail. If Tr#mp knew that his lawyers were telling other states "Don't let them do what PA's doing" then it's Game Over, Guilty-Time for the disgraced, twice-impeached, 4-times indicted, facing 91 felony charges, GOP candidate for President.
#GA #DC #cases #presidential #election #tampering #treason #overturn #free & #fair #election #fake #contingent #electors #big #difference #they #all #knew #he #lost #GOP #GQP #big #lie #BigLie https://www.rawstory.com/trump-game-over/
NC - Wittgenstein, Tractatus logico-philosophicus https://mardiphilo.fr/2023/05/23/note-contemplative-wittgenstein-tractatus-logico-philosophicus/ ##MardiCestPhilosophie, #Âme, #Contemplation, #Contingent, #Faux, #Immortalité, #Impossible, #Logique, #MardiC’estPhilosophie, #Monde, #Mort, #Nécessaire, #NotesContemplatives, #Philosophie, #Possible, #Proposition, #TractatusLogico-philosophicus, #Vrai, #Wittgenstein
In the United States, a #contingent #election is used to elect the president or vice president if no candidate receives a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed.
A presidential contingent election is decided by a special vote of the United States #House of Representatives, while a vice-presidential contingent election is decided by a vote of the United States Senate.
During a contingent election in the #House, each state delegation votes #en #bloc to choose the president instead of representatives voting individually. Senators, by contrast, cast votes individually for vice president.
The contingent election process is specified in Article Two, Section 1, Clause 3 of the United States Constitution. The procedure was modified by the 12th Amendment in 1804, under which the House chooses one of the three candidates who received the most electoral votes, while the Senate chooses one of the two candidates who received the most electoral votes.
The phrase "contingent election" is not in the text of the Constitution but has been used to describe this procedure since at least 1823
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/sep/18/donald-trump-could-win-contingent-election
5 #LGBTQ+ #country #artists you should add to your #playlist right now.
In recent decades, a #strong #contingent of #outandproud #artists have emerged and are making their mark on the #genre.
#Women #Transgender #LGBTQ #LGBTQIA #Entertainment #Music #Representation #Culture
You're going to #hear a certain (#Tory) #contingent #celebrating that they've 'Banned #conversiontherapy' but unfortunately the #legislation including a '#consent #clause' which makes it hugely #ineffective.
#Nobody '#volunteers' for #conversion #therapy.
#contingent : possible, or liable, but not certain, to occur
- French: contingent
- German: das Kontingent
- Italian: contingente
- Portuguese: contingente
- Spanish: contingente
------------
Report an incorrect translation @ https://wordofthehour.org/r/translations
One of the sad parts of being an adjunct is when students ask you to take part in really cool events or clubs...and you just can't 😕 Not because you don't want to, but because the time/days/extra time on campus just doesn't work with responsibilities at multiple schools.
#AcademicMastodon #Adjunct #Contingent #CommunityColleges #Faculty
Now we need a modern equivalent for #adjunct and #contingent #faculty 😉
https://historians.social/@dbellingradt@mastodon.social/109748746872938809
Sam Bankman-Fried
Lived in shadows and light
But only one lasted
#power #belief #contingent #haiku #poetry
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/28/magazine/sam-bankman-fried-ftx.html
The '#world' does not just contain #numbers (things), it also contains processes of change which act upon the things. #Determinism is about the change, not the entity. All we are saying is that state changes happen because things are #contingent. That's all it is. Over time, things change and those changes arise from previous states. If #reality were 'a number' then there would be no change and we're not talking about that.
