Lmst

Phần mềm SaaS mới giúp tìm kiếm sai lệch giá ngắn hạn trên thị trường dự đoán trực tiếp (hiện tại chỉ NFL). Ứng dụng so sánh trạng thái trận đấu trực tiếp với dữ liệu lịch sử để phát hiện các cơ hội giao dịch tiềm năng. Dự kiến mở rộng sang bóng rổ và bóng đá.
#SaaS #NFL #PredictionMarket #ThịTrườngDựĐoán #CôngNghệ #ứngdụng

https://www.reddit.com/r/SaaS/comments/1q83zg3/built_a_saas_for_finding_shortterm_mispricings_in/

#Polymarket 🤝 The Wall Street Journal. Платформа стала ексклюзивним постачальником даних для Dow Jones. Тепер ваші ставки — це офіційна аналітика для #WSJ та #Barron’s. 📊
Ринок прогнозів стає мейнстримом.
#PredictionMarket

“Gamblers, trying to collect their payout from #Polymarket, left baffled as they learn that the US operation carried out in Venezuela does not meet Polymarket's definition of an invasion”.

(and just in case you’re wondering, #Polymarket is a #crypto thing, unlike #Kalshi which lets you gamble in real money)

#Venezuela #Maduro #Trump #Uspol #predictionMarkets #predictionMarket #gambling

By Brett Arends

(MarketWatch) -- If this isn't an invasion, what is?

Donald Trump Jr.'s private investment company bought a stake in Polymarket
last year, and he joined the company's advisory board.

Who says the U.S. government didn't just invade Venezuela to capture its
president and first lady?

A global betting market with close ties to the Trump family, that's who.
Customers of Polymarket are crying foul after the world's biggest prediction
market has refused to pay out on bets that the U.S. would "invade" Venezuela,
claiming that the events over the weekend don't count.

"Then what the f- would be an invasion?" asked one anonymous client in a post
on the Polymarket website, calling the company "Polyscam.”

"Polymarket has descended into sheer arbitrariness," said another. "Words are
redefined at will, detached from any recognized meaning, and facts are simply
ignored. That a military incursion, the kidnapping of a head of state, and the
takeover of a country are not classified as an invasion is plainly absurd."

"You wanna be f-ing kidding me," wrote another.

"So it's not an invasion because they did it quickly and not many people died?"
asked another. (The New York Times, citing a Venezuelan official, has reported
a death toll of 80 in the raid.)

The comments section turned to heavy sarcasm, with several gamblers asking

Google Ads to permit ads for Prediction markets https://seroundtable.com/google-ads-prediction-markets-ads-40704.html
#googleads #ppc #ads #predictionmarket

A prediction market user made $436,000 betting on Maduro's downfall

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2gn93292do

#HackerNews #predictionmarket #Maduro #downfall #betting #success #financialnews

US sports betting giants FanDuel and Flutter enter the prediction market, while Wall Street eyes M&A, AI utilization, and precious metals as key 2025 market drivers.
#YonhapInfomax #FanDuel #PredictionMarket #MergersAndAcquisitions #GoldPrices #AIUtilization #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=96858

Japanese investment bank Mizuho projects Robinhood will benefit more than Coinbase from prediction market growth, citing user survey data and raising Robinhood's revenue outlook.
#YonhapInfomax #Robinhood #Coinbase #PredictionMarket #Mizuho #RevenueEstimates #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=96157

Male loneliness crisis?
What about the male suckerfication crisis.
Imagine entshittification but for young males (large % being MAGA).

https://maxread.substack.com/p/predictions-markets-and-the-suckerfication

#Entshittification #Gambling #Crypto #PredictionMarket #Suckerfication

But the demand for dumb money created by the increasing annexation of our everyday social and cultural lives into casino-market hybrids like predictions markets (or, arguably, social media itself) isn’t going to be satisfied solely by a pre-existing population of Birchite suckers. We talk a lot about the “male loneliness crisis” but in my estimation we don’t talk enough about the “male suckerfication crisis”: The process by which young men are continuously cultivated--by politicians, influencers, podcasters, sportscasters, and the very structure of social networks--as dupes and suckers, both for the enrichment and empowerment of Trumpist politicians and movements but also in service of the profits of an ever-expanding roster of gambling and gambling-adjacent industries, among them app-enabled retail day-trading, crypto speculation, predictions markets, and of course, actual sports betting.

#Kalshi, a #predictionmarket operator, is integrating its #eventtrading into #Phantom, a popular #cryptowallet. This partnership allows Phantom’s 15 million users to trade tokenised wagers on Kalshi’s contracts using #Solana based tokens. The move comes as Kalshi aims to compete with crypto-native #Polymarket. https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2025/12/12/kalshi-challenges-polymarkets-crypto-connections-launching-tokenized-event-trading-via-phantom-wallet/?eicker.news #tech #media #news

A #Polymarket trader, #AlphaRaccoon, allegedly made over $1 million in 24 hours by placing #suspiciouslyaccurate #bets on Google’s 2025 Year in Search rankings. This has sparked accusations of #insidertrading, highlighting vulnerabilities in #predictionmarket integrity as Wall Street money flows in. The controversy raises questions about #regulatoryoversight and the potential for insider exploitation in prediction markets. https://www.forbes.com/sites/boazsobrado/2025/12/04/alleged-insider-nets-1-million-on-polymarket-in-24-hours/?eickercrypto.com #crypto #blockchain

#Kalshi, a #predictionmarket, raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation, led by Sequoia and CapitalG. The company, which allows #betting on future events, saw its trading volume surge to $50 billion annually. While Kalshi has legal clearance in the US, it faces challenges from state regulators. https://techcrunch.com/2025/11/20/source-kalshis-valuation-jumps-to-11b-after-raising-massive-1b-round/?Pirates.BZ #Pirates #Tech #Startup #News

Công cụ mới giúp quyết định thị trường để đặt cược trên kalshi và polymarket #kalshi #polymarket #đặtcược #thịtrường #côngcụmới #predictionmarket #thịtrườngđầutư #đầutư

https://www.reddit.com/r/SideProject/comments/1p1ravk/i_made_a_tool_to_help_you_decide_which_market_to/

some Columbia professors just published a study of how prevalent wash trading and manipulation are on #predictionmarkets like #Polymarket and #Kalshi where you can bet on things like elections and wildfires is (spoiler: it’s so prevalent it was actually the majority of all betting activity around the time of the 2024 #election, a time when the prediction market numbers were reported by the media as if they were as good as polling data)

> "We estimate that wash [trading] volume [on Polymarket] increased starting July 2024, until peaking at 60% of overall volume in December"

i would wager this is almost certainly an undercount but overall a very impressive stab at getting a real number on this kind of thing.

* thread summary of findings: https://x.com/allensirolly/status/1986573995051774044
* paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5714122

#crypto #USDC #cryptocurrency #uspol #elections #PredictionMarket

MB Allen Sirolly & of
@allensirolly

Wash trades are when wallets with the same owner collude to trade together by firing simultaneous orders in between the bid-ask spread, generating “fake” volume. This is illegal by the Commodity Exchange Act.

We estimate that wash volume increased starting July 2024, until peaking at 60% of overall volume in Dec. It persisted until end of April 2025, declined significantly, but has surged again since late September to ~20% of weekly volume (our data cutoff is October 12)

6:18 PM - Nov 6, 2025 - 324 Views

Intercontinental Exchange, parent of the NYSE, has acquired a $2 billion stake in US prediction market Polymarket, valuing it at $8 billion as the sector gains mainstream traction.
#YonhapInfomax #IntercontinentalExchange #Polymarket #PredictionMarket #StakeAcquisition #8BillionValuation #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=84796

Robinhood Markets Inc. reported that cumulative trades on its prediction market platform have surpassed 4 billion, with Q3 alone reaching 2 billion contracts. The company’s shares surged 12% as Kalshi overtook Polymarket to lead the sector, reflecting a rapidly shifting market landscape.
#YonhapInfomax #Robinhood #PredictionMarket #Kalshi #Polymarket #TradingVolume #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=84099

Robinhood has built a $200 million business in the prediction market, with Piper Sandler highlighting strong growth potential in NFL event contracts despite regulatory hurdles.
#YonhapInfomax #Robinhood #PredictionMarket #PiperSandler #NFL #Kalshi #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=83172

Lawsuits and Capital raises flying as Polymarket seeks to re-enter USA market after previously getting chucked to the curb by the CFTC. https://cryptonews.com/news/polymarket-targets-10b-valuation-amid-plans-for-us-relaunch/ #Blockchain #PredictionMarket #PolyMarket #Kalshi #Lawsuit #Betting #Crypto #Gambling #CFTC #SEC

Coinbase expanded its Bitcoin holdings by 2,509 BTC in Q2 and announced plans to launch tokenized US equities and a prediction market, aiming to diversify revenue amid declining retail trading volumes.
#YonhapInfomax #Coinbase #BitcoinHoldings #TokenizedEquities #PredictionMarket #Q2Earnings #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=75116

No tie, no suit

> #Polymarket, the #cryptocurrency-based #predictionMarket, has a market that was predicting whether or not #Ukrainian President #VolodymyrZelenskyy would “wear a suit before July.”

> This market has become extraordinarily controversial after Zelenskyy appeared at an event wearing a non-traditional suit.

https://protos.com/zelenskyy-suit-polymarket-dispute/

#fashion #betting #crypto #ukraine

A photo of Zelenskyy wearing an all black suit with no tie, next to a man in a blue suit with a pink tie. He looks awesome, but it's not a suit.

Are you seriously risk adverse on Crypto currencies? Prove it - Bet on it! :-)

WeBull launches prediction market for Bitcoin and Ethereum - aka users can bet on the anticipated moves of crypto prices in a over/under prediction style.

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/webull-launches-kalshis-hourly-crypto-markets-on-investing-platform-302476775.html #Crypto #CryptoCurrency #BitCoin #Ethereum #Prediction #PredictionMarket #Webull

#predictionMarket

Client Info