Seven simple questions for #DecisionMakers:

1️⃣ How big? How much? How many?
2️⃣ Compared to what?
3️⃣ Why not a rate?
4️⃣ Per what? The diabolical denominator.
5️⃣ How were things defined, counted or measured?
6️⃣ What was taken into account (what was controlled for)?
7️⃣ What else should have been taken into account (controlled for)?

Source:
➡️ http://www.statlit.org/pdf/2022-Schield-SJIAOS.pdf

#CriticalThinking #Statistics #StatisticalLiteracy #InformationLiteracy #DataLiteracy #Data #Policy #Politics #Business #LabPlot

"In real life, we weigh the anticipated consequences of the decisions that we are about to make. That approach is much more rational than limiting the percentage of making the error of one kind in an artificial (null hypothesis) setting or using a measure of evidence for each model as the weight."
Longford (2005) http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/stuff_for_blog/longford.pdf

#modeling #nullHypothesis #probability #probabilities #pValues #statistics #stats #statisticalLiteracy #bias #inference #modelling #regression #linearRegression

Surveys, coincidences, statistical significance 🧵

"What Educated Citizens Should Know About Statistics and Probability"
By Jessica Utts, in 2003: https://ics.uci.edu/~jutts/AmerStat2003.pdf via @hrefna

@edutooters

#nullHypothesis #probability #probabilities #pValues #statistics #stats #education #higherEd #statisticalLiteracy #bias #media #causalInference

5/ Meditation time 🤔 Another of Paul F. Velleman's Fourteen Data Aphorisms for Data Analysis to contemplate on:

@labplot@lemmy.kde.social

#Aphorism #DataAnalysis #DataScience #Data #DataViz #Science #Statistics #CriticalThinking #STEM #StatisticalLiteracy #LabPlot #FOSS #FLOSS #OpenSource

📊 Excited to share my interview with renowned sociologist Dr. Joel Best, where we dive into the complex interplay of #statistics, storytelling, and narrative creation! Learn how to spot dubious data and critically assess numbers shaping our world. 🧠📚

Watch now: https://youtu.be/PsTEF9OU4Ik 👀🔗

#JoelBest #StatisticalLiteracy #Data #Research #Sociology #Storytelling

In my humble opinion, this book should be a must-read in all classes of quantitative methodology in social sciences (and not only). #StatisticalLiteracy #dataanalysis #rstats @sociology

@ZeroCovidColin While short of the PROOF you demand, you probably know this excellent RCT on a related topic? ✈️ 🪂 🤣

Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma when jumping from aircraft: randomized controlled trial
https://www.bmj.com/content/363/bmj.k5094

#parachute #RCT #EBM
#stats #statistics #StatisticalLiteracy
#Covid #Covid19 #EvidencePluralism

The Seven Unnatural Acts of Statistical Thinking acc. to Richard D. De Veaux and Paul F. Velleman

1. Think Critically.
2. Be Skeptical. Question authority and the current theory.
3. Think about variation rather than about center.
4. Focus on what we don’t know.
5. Perfect the Process. Our best conclusion is often a refined question.
6. Think about conditional probabilities and rare events.
7. Embrace vague concepts (Center, Outlier, Linear...).

#StatisticalThinking #StatisticalLiteracy

Just explained to family member why local temperatures in some areas can decrease, despite global temperature increase.

#statisticalLiteracy

A critical statistics education that fits on a postcard https://boingboing.net/2018/03/08/surprises-are-mysteries.html #statisticalliteracy #medialiteracy #happymutants #mathematics #statistics #numeracy #Post