Your model says 97% confidence
But should you trust it?

Uncertainty in ML is still a hard problem

We’re hosting a meetup at Imperial College London on June 24 to dig into it — with our host Alex Andorra and other researchers working on better ways forward

🔗 https://lnkd.in/eainEJ9p

Some people think R² doesn’t belong in Bayesian models
👇 David Kohns disagrees, and he has the math to back it

🎙️In this episode Alex Andorra sits down with economist David Kohns to explore how modern Bayesian methods are reshaping time series modelling

🎧 Listen now: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/134-bayesian-econometrics-state-space-models-dynamic-regression-david-kohns

🎙️ Ep. 133 is out now!

Alex Andorra chats with ‪ Sean P
& Adrian Seyboldt about making Bayesian models more efficient without losing rigor — zero-sum constraints, Cholesky tricks, practical wins & more

🎧 https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/133-making-models-more-efficient-flexible-sean-pinkney-adrian-seyboldt

#Bayesianstats #podcast #LBS

🎙️ In episode #132 of Learning Bayesian Statistics, Alex Andorra speaks with Tom Griffiths about 𝗕𝗮𝘆𝗲𝘀𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗰𝗼𝗴𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗵𝘂𝗺𝗮𝗻-𝗔𝗜 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻.

🔑 𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻:

🧠 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗽𝘂𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝗴𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝘀𝗰𝗶𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 uses math to model intelligence

📊 𝗕𝗮𝘆𝗲𝘀𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹 to how humans learn and reason

🧩 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗯𝗶𝗮𝘀𝗲𝘀 𝗲𝘅𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗻 how we generalize from limited data

🎯 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗼𝗿 𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗶𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗮𝗹𝘀 implicit beliefs behind decisions

and more ...

🎧https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/132-bayesian-cognition-and-the-future-of-human-ai-interaction-tom-griffiths

⚽️ New Learning Bayesian Stats ep!

Alex Andorra & Luke Bornn dive into how tracking data, probabilistic models & optimization are reshaping sports decisions.

🎧 Listen now: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/131-decision-making-under-high-uncertainty-luke-bornn

#Datascience #Optimization #SportsAnalytics #BayesStats
#Decisionmaking

🧬 What does real-world impact look like when public health’s on the line?

🎙️ In episode 130 of LBS, Alex Andorra chats with Adam Kucharski on modelling, crisis response & lessons from recent epidemics.

🎧 Listen in: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/130-real-world-impact-epidemiological-models-adam-kucharski

What if AI could know when it doesn’t know?

🎙️ Alex Andorra talks with Vincent Fortuin about Bayesian deep learning—why it matters for uncertainty, calibration, and real-world reliability.

🎧 Tune in: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/129-bayesian-deep-learning-ai-for-science-vincent-fortuin

#BayesianDeepLearning #MachineLearning #ReliableAI #AIResearch

⚽ Football is more than tactics and talent—it's driven by 𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐚. From 𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐫𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 to 𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡 𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬, data science gives clubs a winning edge.

🎧 In the latest episode, Alex Andorra sits down with Matthew Penn to break it all down:

👉https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/128-building-winning-data-team-football-matt-penn

#FootballAnalytics #DataScience #SportsTech #Recruitment #BayesianStatistics #FootballData

🌊 𝐒𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐬, 𝐏𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐧, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐂𝐚𝐮𝐬𝐚𝐥 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞? 𝐘𝐞𝐬, 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭!

🎧 In this episode, with Aaron MacNeil and Alex Andorra, we dive deep (pun intended) into how advanced statistical methods play a surprising role in ocean conservation

🔗https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/127-saving-sharks-python-causal-inference-aaron-macneil

#Ecology

⚾ Christopher Fonnesbeck (PyMC Labs, PyMC) will be at the Field of Play Conference giving a talk on Bayesian modelling in baseball.

😎 Our host, Alexandre Andorra will also be attending, don’t miss this chance to connect and chat research!

🔗 https://www.fieldofplay.co.uk/

📢 Episode 126 is Live!

🎧 Listen now 👉 https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/126-mmm-clv-bayesian-marketing-analytics-will-dean

🎙️ In this episode with
Alex Andorra, Will Dean from
PyMC-Labs explains how Bayesian methods are reshaping marketing analytics, from MMM to CLV estimation and more ....

#BayesianMarketing #MMM #CLV #MarketingAnalytics #MachineLearning #ProbabilisticProgramming #DataScience #PyMC #Marketing

🔮 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐒𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐬 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐆𝐚𝐦𝐞!

🎙️ In this episode, Alex Andorra and Christopher Fonnesbeck break down how Bayesian methods are revolutionizing sports analytics and why the smartest teams are embracing them

🎧 𝐋𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐧 𝐧𝐨𝐰👉 https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/125-bayesian-sports-analytics-future-of-pymc-chris-fonnesbeck

#LBS

🥳𝐖𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐢𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐓𝐎𝐏 15!

🏆 We’re beyond excited to share that 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐬 has been recognized as one of the Top 15 Statistics Podcasts by Feedspot!

🙏 Thanks to our guests for sharing their knowledge, and of course, to all of you for tuning in, sending feedback!

#LearningBayesianStatistics #podcast #awards #datascience #machinelearning

🔴 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐓𝐨 𝐅𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐬 𝐎𝐧 𝐖𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐈𝐧 𝐓𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐒𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠
🔗 https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/124-state-space-models-structural-time-series-jesse-grabowski

✅ 𝐈𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐄𝐩𝐢𝐬𝐨𝐝𝐞, 𝐲𝐨𝐮’𝐥𝐥 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐚𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 with @pymc

Alex Andorra & Jesse Grabowski talk about state space models, simplifying forecasting, applications etc.

#LearningBayesianStatistics #PyMC #forecasting #timeseries

LBS is now offering YouTube Memberships!

👇 Here’s what this means for you:

✅ AMA & Community Access: Join private sessions & our exclusive Discord server!

✅ Insider Perks: Preview upcoming episodes & co-host an episode with Alex Andorra

😎 Join here
https://www.youtube.com/@learningbayesianstatistics/join

💯What if Bayesian modelling could be faster, more flexible, and easier to interpret?
🎧https://youtu.be/7POdNknJ1Es?si=0TSEkCFXilLFVQh2

🎙️ Episode 123 is here!
Alex Andorra chats with @aloctavodia about groundbreaking tools and ideas that are shaping the future of Bayesian workflows.

📢 Episode 122 is Live!
🎧https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/122-learning-and-teaching-in-the-age-of-ai-hugo-bowne-anderson

🎙️ In this episode of LBS, Alexandre Andorra chats with Hugo Bowne-Anderson about Learning and Teaching in the Age of AI!

#LearningBayesianStatistics #AI

🎙️ Episode #121 is live!
🎧https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/121-exploring-bayesian-structural-equation-modeling-nathaniel-forde

In this episode, Alex Andorra & Nathaniel Forde talk about:

📊 The flexibility of Bayesian approaches in modelling, key steps in model validation.

⚖️ Balancing model complexity, factor analysis and more...

📢 Episode 120 is Live!

https://learnbayesstats.com/episodes/8f372809-3905-4110-8e1b-2f5ca1f95b33

🎙️ In this LBS episode, Alexandre Andorra, Liza Semenova, and Chris Wymant explore the intersection of epidemiology, Bayesian statistics, and data science!

#LearningBayesianStatistics #Bayesian

📢 Episode 102 is out!
In this episode, we are joined by Professor Ed Merkle, professor of psychological sciences at the University of Missouri.
We cover Psychometrics, Bayesian Structural Equation Models, Causal Inference, the blavaan R package & more!
🎧https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/102-bayesian-structural-equation-modeling-causal-inference-psychometrics-ed-merkle/