Lmst

#Econ

https://www.walknews.com/1193780/ イタリア第4四半期成長率、予想上回る前期比0.3％　内需増が貢献 | ロイター #BACT #BIZ #DBT #DEST:NOJPWDM #ECI #ECO #ECON #EMEA #EU #EUROP #EZ #EZC #GEN #GVD #INTAG #IT #Italy #JFOR #JLN #MCE #NEWS1 #POL #RES #TOPCMB #TOPNWS #TRN #WEU #イタリア

https://www.walknews.com/1190871/ ウクライナ中銀、主要金利１５％に引き下げ　インフレ鈍化で | ロイター #BISV #BNK #BNKS #BSVC #CDM #CEEU #CEN #DBT #DEST:NOJPWDM #ECI #ECO #ECON #EMEA #EMRG #EU #EUROP #FIN #FINS #FRX #GDP #GEN #GVD #IMF #INFL #INT #INTAG #JFOR #JLN #LOA #MCE #MMT #PLCY #POL #RESASS #TRN #UA #Ukraine #ウクライナ

https://www.walknews.com/1190869/ 焦点：第2次トランプ政権発足1年、世界で「中国シフト」加速 | ロイター #AMERS #ANLINS #ANV #ASIA #ASXPAC #AWLQ #BOJJ #China #CHIP #CHIP1 #CMPNY #CN #CWP #DEST:NOJPTPM #DEST:NOJPWDM #DEST:NOJPZTM #DIP #EASIA #ECI #ECO #ECON #EMEA #EMRG #ENV #EREP #EUROP #FES #GB #GEN #HK #IO #JFOR #JLN #KMOVE #MCE #MTPIX #MTVID #NAMER #NEWS1 #POL #POTUS #PUBL #RSBI:CLIMATECHANGE #SASIA #SECUR #SEMI #TECH #TEEQ #TMT #TOPCMB #TOPNWS #TRD #TRN #US #WASH #WEU #中国 #中華人民共和国

https://www.walknews.com/1190670/ 米労働生産性、第3四半期速報値は4.9％上昇　2年ぶり高水準 | ロイター #AMERS #BREAKINGNEWS #CLJ #DEST:NOJPBSM #DEST:NOJPTPM #DEST:NOJPZTM #ECI #ECO #ECON #GEN #GFIN #IPR #JFOR #JLN #JOB #LAW #MCE #NAMER #News #POL #REP #SEN #TRN #US #WASH #ニュース #ニュース速報 #速報

anyone who hasn't watched Carney's full speech at the World Economic Forum, here it is in full

everyone should watch this. not only is it excellent, this was a break from neo-liberal capitalism by one of the most economically literate world leaders

#econ #economics #davos #neoliberalism #canada #uspol

https://youtu.be/Ye9RHNzRjgc?si=P0YpoGkiyuk4MndR

Why do people guess poorly in games?

This #econ paper suggests non-optimal guessing isn't always random.

Each correct answer on a reflection test predicted higher odds of partially (or boundedly) rational guesses and even higher odds of optimal guesses!

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112615

"Theoretically, there are more than 3,000 possible ratio values in one-player guessing games."

"The optimal choices... maximizes the player’s payoff by continually halving each choice until both reach zero."

"Fig. 1 illustrates the full set of possible ratios and their frequencies under random play, ...."

"The frequent occurrence of specific ratios, particularly 0.5 and 1, may reflect the use of boundedly rational decision-making strategies."

"The ordinal logistic regression analysis, summarized in Table 1, shows a significant positive relationship between Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) scores and rationality levels. The coefficient for CRT scores ( 𝛽 = 0.7563, 𝑧 = 7.886, 𝑝 < .001) suggests that each unit increase in CRT score more than doubles the odds of moving to a higher rationality level (odds ratio of 2.13). The thresholds indicate moderate to substantial increases in the likelihood of advancing from irrational to bounded rational ( 𝛽 = 0.4071, 𝑝 < .05) and from bounded rational to optimal decision-making ( 𝛽 = 1.8457, 𝑝 < .001)."

“As the boundary between policing and soldiering erodes, so too does the distinction between civil society and the security state.” @patrikward.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy & Abigail R. Hall for the Independent Institute #law #econ

Governing at Gunpoint: ICE in ...

US Consumer Confidence Falls Sharply in January https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/ #usecon #econ #cdnecon

https://www.walknews.com/1188111/ 欧州銀行連盟、ＥＵに規制改革要求　競争力低下を警告 | ロイター #AMERS #BISV #BNK #BNKCAP #BNKS #BNKS1 #BRU #BSVC #CEN #CMPNY #DEST:NOJPBSM #DEST:NOJPTPM #DEST:NOJPZTM #ECB #ECO #ECON #EMEA #EU #EUROP #Europe #EuropeNews #EuropeanUnion #EZC #FIN #FINREG #FINS #FR #GB #GEN #INTAG #JFOR #JLN #MCE #NAMER #POL #PUBL #REGS #RSBI:REGULATORYOVERSIGHT #TRN #US #WEU #ヨーロッパ #ヨーロッパニュース #欧州 #欧州連合

https://www.walknews.com/1187839/ 中国の対アフリカ融資、返済額が新規融資上回る | ロイター #AFR #Africa #AID #AMERS #ASIA #ASXPAC #BISV #CDM #CN #DBT #DEST:NOJPTPM #DEST:NOJPWDM #DEST:NOJPZTM #DEVFIN #EASIA #ECO #ECON #EMEA #EMRG #EUROP #FIN #FINS #GEN #GFIN #JFOR #JLN #LOA #MCE #MTGFX #NAMER #POL #TRN #US #アフリカ

https://www.walknews.com/1187371/ 中国の対アフリカ融資、24年はピークの1割弱　対象選別と米大 | ロイター #AFR #Africa #ASIA #ASXPAC #BISV #BNK #BNKS #BRI #BSVC #CDM #CN #DBT #DEST:NOJPWDM #DIP #EASIA #ECO #ECON #EMEA #EMRG #FIN #FINS #GEN #JFOR #JLN #LOA #MCE #MTGFX #MTPIX #POL #TOPCMB #TOPNWS #TRD #TRN #アフリカ

南アランド、22年以来の高値　一時1ドル＝16ランド | ロイター https://www.yayafa.com/2703788/ #AFR #BMAT #business #Cen #cơm #DBT #DEST:NOJPWDM #ECI #eco #ECON #EMEA #EMRG #FRX #gol #INFL #int #JFOR #JLN #MCE #METL #MINE #MKTREP #MTAL #PGM #PLAT #PLCY #PREMTL #Rep #SAFR #SARB #STX #TOPCMB #TOPNWS #TRN #ZA #ビジネス

https://www.walknews.com/1186754/ 11月改定景気動向指数は114.9、速報値から下方修正＝内閣府 | ロイター #ASIA #ASXPAC #BREAKINGNEWS #DEST:NOJPBSM #DEST:NOJPTPM #DEST:NOJPZTM #EASIA #ECI #ECO #ECON #JDOM #JLN #JP #MCE #MOF #News #ニュース #ニュース速報 #速報

5月改定景気動向指数、一致は前月比横ばい　判断を速報時から上方修正＝内閣府 | ロイター

FT’s claim that Japan’s bond market is too small to crash global yields ("elephant in a mouse hole") misses the point. 🐘⛔️
The risk isn’t just capital repatriation into JGBs, but the violent unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade. Traders don't need to buy JGBs; they just need to dump US assets to repay expensive Yen debts. 📉
Dismissing the world's top net creditor reveals Western bias. As Richard Koo warns, this is a structural "QE Trap," not just political noise. #Japan #JGB #Econ