#GFS

2025-02-02

(Please also see Phil Browne's comment below for ECMWF's open data plans)

There are a quite a lot of weather companies and even national weather services around the world that depend on the freely and reliably available global model data from the US NWS.

There is now a real risk that this access will be shut off or made unaffordable.

I really do hope that @ECMWF is thinking about this and considering to finally make their model data freely available for at least non-member state weather services - in particular in the global south.

IMO the model data in full should be free for everyone (like the US data has been for decades) since it is tax payer funded and would allow weather companies around the world to run their own models and innovate products and services.

I've always found it ironic that the US is so much more generous with their data than the "socialist" Europeans are.

#NWS #GFS #ECMWF #IFS #OpenData

2025-02-01

I see the GFS is having pleasant dreams at the (very unreliable) tail end of its range... #wx #GFS (not generally reliable out there that far)

Massive swirling storm in the North Atlantic on Feb 14th, per the unreliable GFS at that point

@JZ_Lpz
Interessant!
Ich wollte das Maximum des derzeit physikalisch Möglichen an Starkregen in Europa herausfinden. Dafür hab ich beim TIGGE Archiv vom ECMWF die 50 Ensemblemember mit all ihren "pertubed" Forecasts runtergeladen und laufende 3Tagessummen aufsummiert.
Man kann bei TIGGE auch andere Modelle runterladen, aber ich nahm #ECMWF, weil ich halt nicht besser wusste. Außerdem noch vom original 0.5x0.5 grid auf 1x1 interpoliert, um Plattenplatz u Zeit zu sparen. Auch ne schlechte Idee gewesen, da die Maximalwerte dabei verloren gegen.

Das Ergebnis war extrem ... unbeindruckend. Das Maximum aller 3-Tagessummen seit 2020 lag in der Nordost -Türkei, im Oktober 2024.
Der 1x1 Gridpunkt Valencia waren (aus dem Kopf) bloß 300mm oder so.

Um das heute physikalisch Mögliche bei Starkregen mal annähernd abzubilden, sollte ich also pertubed #GFS-Member in Originalauflösung seit 2020 runterladen und 3Tagessummen bilden?
Ah jee... das dauert wirklich ewig. Einmal das Bereitstellen durch #TIGGE, und dann vor allem auch das Processing auf meinem Läppi...

Kannst Du das nicht mal für uns tun und dann als Clickable Europakarte auf Eure Webseite stellen?

2024-11-13

#ICON says a new cyclone on the map by Friday the 15th. So does #GFS.

ICON wx model says cyclone by FridayGFS wx model says cyclone by Friday
2024-10-05

GFS btw says "nothing but a little breeze", whereas ICON is looking angry. ps. I am not a weather forecaster, don't believe the models, listen to the experts, blah blah blah. #GFS #ICON

ICON saying a hurricane on Wednesday 10/9GFS say it's just a little breezy on Wednesday
2024-09-10

Let's see what all the models are saying about Francine. Looks like ICON is the most aggressive. HRRR is close but less intense. Of course, this does not reflect the real impacts of these storms (i.e. how much rainfall, how fast is a big one... ) Always trust the NHC more than random-dude-on-the-Internet, as usual. #Francine #HRRR #ICON #GEM #GFS #TropicalWx

HRRR model on a mapICON  model on a mapGFSGEM
Weather Mizumizu
2024-08-27

Who expected this? It's dancing around the southern Kyushu😂

2024-07-29

For the CONUS, at least, looks like we're just about normal across the board. There's a GFS weather model reading -- 500mb Geopotential Height & Anomaly -- which tends to go extreme red or extreme blue and indicate extreme weather conditions.... (either much hotter or much colder than normal). Anytime you see that, that's when you see wildfire breakouts, flooding, extreme wind, etc. Today is fairly normal, just a little colder in the Pacific Northwest and parts of New England. #GFS #500mb

Blue in Northwest, a little gred in Gulf, blue in NE
2024-06-30

GFS spitting out another storm following Beryl through approximately the same place on July 3rd. Currently says CAT1 or TS... but if Beryl goes through as CAT4, still not good. #GFS #HurriacneSeason

GFS predicting another cyclone through the same place Beryl is going on Monday
2024-06-30

I hope the GFS is smoking something 😬 #GFS

GFS spitting out hurricane force winds in San Antonio from Beryl, eventually.
2024-06-30

GFS visualization in Ventusky for Wednesday the 3rd 😬

It's a ways out there, and it's not reliable, and check with officials instead, but... not good if the computers are spitting this kind of stuff out. (two active hurricanes). Conceivably the first hurricane should cool the waters behind it, but we are in new territory.

#HurricaneSeason #Beryl #GFS

Two hurricanes shown on a weather forecast map for July 3rd, 2024. GFS.
Some Bits: Nelson's Linkblogsomebitslinks@tech.lgbt
2024-06-28

r/longrangechaos: Examples of GFS weather model giving absurdly unlikely forecasts
reddit.com/r/longrangechaos/to
#forecast #weather #models #chaos #gfs #+

2024-06-14

This is the #GFS 850 mb temperature anomaly for #Vermont and #NewEngland at 2 AM on Thursday, June 20th. These highly anomalous nighttime temperatures are worrisome. NWS Burlington is foracasting dew points around 70 degrees, which feels pronounceable humid, from noon Tuesday through at least Thursday. These high dew points will be it harder for people to cool down even at night, potentially causing heat stress. Install your air conditioners this weekend if you have them!

#Weather #HeatDome

Weather map showing temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius for the northeastern United States for 2 AM on June 20, 2024. Red to pink colors indicate higher temperature anomalies throughout the northeast. Source: TropicalTidbits.com
Jay Lanaganjloc0
2024-05-19

AND and and, I pushed a refreshed GNOME (46) for Slackware x64 liveslak ISO earlier, with nothing new, just up-to-date packages. slackware.uk/gfs/liveslak/

Jay Lanaganjloc0
2024-05-08

I pushed the hyprland 0.40 update for earlier today, I should mention that. I push updates and never mention them. That’s me. Maybe time for a new liveslak build after I take care of the impending update.

Jay Lanaganjloc0
2024-03-05

I’ve been doing some cleanup/work on the 45 repo as Nate focuses on 46.rc. I figure I haven’t contributed shit for over a year now, might as well stop being a slouch. I have a new liveslak ready for it, I’m playing with locally to get some better apps available (and I’d still like to clean it up a lot) but it’s sitting at 3GB, which isn’t too bad (for a Slackware iso). slackware.lngn.net/liveslak/

2024-02-13

Hmmm. GFS in a few days. #GFS #swirly #CAwx

Something that looks a lot like a low pressure system spinning off California in about 6 days, per GFSWind pattern around a low pressure center forecast by GFS
2024-02-12

Hmm, now, both the GFS and ICON say offering up an all expense paid night at LAX to the relatives is a far smarter idea than doing an airport pickup in an atmospheric river, LOL. (if they can land). #gfs #icon #LAX

Strong AR making landfall across Santa Barbara/Los Angeles on Sunday night/early next Mon morning, forecast on GFSICON forecasting strong storm over LA at 1am next Monday.

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