#rationalthinking

LBHustonlbhuston
2025-12-07

But Bayesian approaches admit that up front.

Read more 👉 lttr.ai/Al2RR

2025-11-15

Physical Reality Dictums One-Liners

#science #physicalreality #ai #mind #rationalthinking

"What cannot be measured, tested, or falsified cannot claim physical existence."

"Effects require causes that precede them in time, without exception."

"Energy, momentum, and information are neither created nor destroyed, only transformed."

"Physical influence propagates through space at finite speed, limited by light."

"Concepts are physically meaningful only when defined by measurement procedures."

"Physical laws operate consistently across scales, with emergent phenomena building from microscopic foundations."

"A physical proposition must specify what evidence could disprove it."

"Reality is what well-calibrated instruments consistently measure."

"Mathematics describes reality but is not reality itself."

"Physical change requires energy expenditure according to established limits."

"All physical systems are made of known particles interacting through known forces."

"The past operated under the same physical laws as the present."

"If it cannot be engineered, it likely violates physical constraints."

"Valid physical explanations must be consistent across all scientific domains."

"Understanding advances through successive approximations to physical truth."

"All physical knowledge comes with quantified uncertainty bounds."

"Cultivate physical intuition through hands-on interaction with reality."

"All physical knowledge is provisional and subject to revision with better evidence."

LBHustonlbhuston
2025-09-08

What's Bayesian Thinking Anyway?

Read more 👉 lttr.ai/AiWz9

The Thinking Shop sells critical thinking games and resources. If there was ever any test required for office I think it should be something like them. I'm hoping that one day AI can be used to automatically detect and highlight logical fallacies and factual errors. #Reason #RationalThinking

The Thinking Shop

LBHustonlbhuston
2025-07-10

Bayesian methods thrive in these situations because they

Read more 👉 lttr.ai/AgQi8

2025-06-30

🍓 The key to success is to be consistently rational in an irrational world. Stay calm, stay rational, and stick to your principles. #RationalThinking

LBHustonlbhuston
2025-06-24

That's Bayesian logic at work: start with a guess (your prior), then update that guess as more info rolls in (your posterior).

Read more 👉 lttr.ai/AfoU2

LBHustonlbhuston
2025-06-17

Named after Thomas Bayes—a statistician and theologian with a knack for probability—Bayesian thinking is all about updating your beliefs as new data comes in.

Read more 👉 lttr.ai/AfYfT

LBHustonlbhuston
2025-06-12

Bayesian methods aren't just for math geeks—they're for anyone serious about managing risk in the real world.

Read more 👉 lttr.ai/AfQSK

Steve Dustcircle 🌹dustcircle@masto.ai
2025-06-11
LBHustonlbhuston
2025-06-10

🧠 Betting on Beliefs: Why Bayesian Thinking Belongs in Your Investment Toolbox
lttr.ai/AfNlo

Dr Robert N. Winterrobert@social.winter.ink
2025-04-26

Ever watched a colleague cling to a failing strategy like it's a badge of honour? But in business, as in probability, sticking to your first instinct isn't always smart—it's often a trap. 🎲 Enter the Monty Hall paradox, a powerful metaphor for organisational leadership.

robert.winter.ink/why-great-ma

#Management #Leadership #DecisionMaking #Strategy #BusinessEthics #MontyHall #RationalThinking #SunkCostFallacy

Autiste à :ch_Vaud:🌊 #wokeariane@tooting.ch
2025-04-15

The “ #Skeptics ” Are Crashing Out HARD
When people who claim to be defending #science and #rationalthinking are calling for the #censoreship of scientific fields of research that irritate their often blind #ideological spot or the dismantling of programs aiming at increasing #diversity in #sciences, if they are supporting #authoritarianism and #totalitarian regimes, you know they are they have everything but a scientific agenda. #antiwoke #ExtremeRightWing

youtube.com/watch?v=mfh75ezwi2

2025-01-18

Even though the book came out 30 years ago, The Demon-Haunted World by Carl Sagan is still a great read, especially in regards to the upcoming kakistocracy that will permeate throughout the next 4 years. #science #rationalthinking

Simon Lucysimon_lucy
2025-01-13

In terms of medicine, the majority of human beings, regardless of education, still instinctually assume the Doctrine of Signatures in the absence of a well believed medical treatment.

Which means if something has associations those associations imply connections with other conditions with shared associations.

And in a lot of ways it's how human beings deal with risk and pretty much anything.

We're a spit away from our medieval relatives.

:awesome:🐦‍🔥nemo™🐦‍⬛ 🇺🇦🍉nemo@mas.to
2024-08-26

Kennt Ihr schon Brainfree, das neue Wundermittel gegen kognitive Verzerrungen? 👀 🤯 🧠🆓 Mit nur einer Tablette pro Tag bist du frei von Confirmation Bias, Ankereffekt und Co. 💊 Endlich unvoreingenommene Entscheidungen treffen! 🎉 #BrainfreePills #CognitiveBiasBeGone #RationalThinking

Bei Fragen oder Nebenwirkungen zu kognitiv induzierten Verzerrungen der Urteilsbildung fragen Sie Ihren Arzt oder Ihren Krämer. /s off

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