Lmst

#AI - The Illusion of #Thinking:
"Understanding the Strengths and Limitations of Reasoning Models via the Lens of Problem Complexity"

So the next time ChatGPT, Claude, or Gemini say to you:
“Let me think…”

Stop.

And remember:
they’re not thinking.
They’re #guessing.

Source: http://ml-site.cdn-apple.com/papers/the-illusion-of-thinking.pdf

Regression solves a practical problem:

Given past data, how do you make a reasonable numerical prediction?

Think house size → house price.
Not guessing. Reasoning.

#guessing #reasoning #price #home #data #houseprice

🔮✨ Wow, #OpenAI can now guess your #age, but you can't see it unless you turn on the magical incantations of #JavaScript and #cookies. Because who doesn't love jumping through #digital #hoops for a glorified fortune teller? 🖥️🔒
https://openai.com/index/our-approach-to-age-prediction/ #Guessing #HackerNews #ngated

IVE Wonyoung's Newest Launch Teaser Has Everyone Guessing #Guessing #IVE #Launch #Newest #Teaser #Wonyoungs
https://kpopnewshub.com/ive-wonyoungs-newest-launch-teaser-has-everyone-guessing/?fsp_sid=3320

@hamishcampbell (4/9)
While I am #guessing that it must have been something along the lines of, if they can't see #past the first #impressions then I don't want them anyways. My opinion based on some #experience is that it also might have put off some right #people . And for something like this every single one #matters . Irrelevant whether that trait is #positive or #negative in them. I am not assuming my #correctness here.
...

Euclidle – Guess the Coordinates in N‑Dimensional Space

https://euclidle.com/

#HackerNews #Euclidle #NDimensional #Coordinates #Guessing #Game #FunTech

#memes #SimpsonsShitposting #fail #2meirl4meirl #guessing

I'd rather not see my score for this one

@klu9 @amyfou At her parents? #guessing #Monsterdon

Let's play a #cute #guessing #game!

What color do you think my #panties are right now?

@OldRustBucket checkers game, post 2016? #guessing #Monsterdon

Can you guess what this is? You won't believe it!
#cookingwithmarchi #recipe #guessing #guessinggame #veganrecipes
For #veganrecipeideas check out my blog at www.cookingwithmarchi.com

What would that mean to you?

#question #trash #guessing #wtf #icon

@MatthewTitus88 Bellows but they aren't bellowing, maybe just for the double bass notes? #Guessing #BaroqueSUn

I mentioned a couple weeks ago that one of @druidess' coworkers is kickstarting a party card game called Magic Number that we're backing-- it's almost to its goal and is only 6 days away now from ending.

I'll do one final post the day before it ends or around there- even just a boost is appreciated, or tagging others who may be into it.

And thanks to everyone who has checked it out/backed it so far! 😀

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/magicnumbergames/magic-number-the-party-game-of-wild-guesstimation

#CardGames #games #PartyGames #MagicNumber #Kickstarter #crowdfunding #cards #guessing #GuessingGames #PartyCardGames

People playing the Magic Number card game being Kickstarted that's linked in this post

Example questions from the Magic Number game - trivia - how fast animals run, how many episodes are in TV shows, etc

Wordle and Word Tips

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Recently I started playing Wordle again and I have a win streak of thirty four days. Now that I have written this down I will lose it within a day or two, for being too confident. Some people have been playing for over 1000 days and I would assume that within two or three guesses they will get the right word.

I am not that fast. I followed some programming courses on Linkedin Learning, Udemy and one or two other places so as I played wordle I thought "what if I use a tool to help me eliminate words. At first I tried using AI for this task but AI is not good at such chores.

As I looked for other solutions I came across wordhippo and others. I used it for a while but it wasn't quite what I wanted. I stumbled onto word tips, and then it suggested the wordle solver.

Some people might accuse me of cheating but I do not see it that way. If anything I am saving time. My strategy would be the same, with and without that tool. I try a word. See which letters are right for the word, but in the wrong place, and I guess according to the new data I get at each try.

Sometimes my strategy fails and it takes me six or more guesses. Other times I guess within three to five guesses. I try to use new letters, and known letters for every guess.

I also use the Games app on Android for Wordle so when I finish a Wordle I can see what the Wordle bot would have tried, and see what advice it gives me. In playing with wordle, using Word Tips and the integrated bot to analyse how lucky and skilled I was I am learning about the right words to use and when, as well as expanding the words I use more regularly.

With the Wordle Archive you can play all previous games, back to June 2021 if you're inclined. It's because I play regularly that I looked for tools to speed up the game.

Before using the app it could take a while to think of relevant words. At one time it could have been fun to spend half an hour trying to guess, but in this day and age it's nice to be slightly faster.

If people play the NYTimes Crossword puzzle, or the Times of England crossword puzzle they get fast, because they get to know the answers to all the questions, over time. I haven't played for years in a row, so I use tools that help. It could be classed as cheating to play crosswords like that but in the age of AI we're teaching ourselves. The real mark of progress is needing less and less help with time.

Ideally i use Word Tips now, but in a few weeks, or a few months I expect not to require that help. This skill is not useful, but it's still a daily habit that encourages to expand our vocabulary and maybe even our spelling.

And Finally

If I was being timed, and competing against someone else, then I would not use hints or tips, but since I am challenging myself and trying to find the best words, I am on a learning journey. Remember, if it was worth training a bot to compete with people, and get big data on how people played, then strategy is key, thus the value in playing with assistance, for a while.

#guessing #strategy #wordle #words

Reflection of an old Geneva building in a new one

One of @druidess' coworkers is kickstarting a party card game called Magic Number. If any of you card game fans want to check it and help out, that would be amazing.

They're halfway to their goal and have just 25 days left. Even just a boost is appreciated, or tagging others who may be into it-- every little bit helps! 😀

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/magicnumbergames/magic-number-the-party-game-of-wild-guesstimation

#CardGames #games #PartyGames #MagicNumber #Kickstarter #crowdfunding #cards #guessing #GuessingGames #PartyCardGames @hejchristian @qristy @hisaac