#Population

2025-05-02

Who remembers the 2008 financial crisis? Do you know what's careening toward us like an out of control freight train? A poly-crisis recession that will make 2008 look like a cake walk.

The university system as we know it will not survive the federal budget cuts, the predatory student loan system, and the forced teaching of false white nationalist christo fascist dogma.

Population is hardly the worst problem colleges have.

Link: yahoo.com/news/number-18-olds-

#Population #Demographics #Immigration

(Yahoo) via Fark
 
Americans started having fewer babies at the advent of the Great Recession around the end of 2007, so 2025 sees start of a long decline in the number of 18-year-olds. And a shrinking pool of college students
 
The number of 18-year-olds is about to drop sharply, packing a wallop for colleges-and the economy

The Hechinger Report reports on how America is about to go over the "demographic cliff."
Center for Health Data Scienceheads@datasci.social
2025-05-02

🧬📈Calling All #Evolutionary and #PopulationGenetics Enthusiasts!

Get ready for the 3rd EPIC-DK #Conference!!

📅August 11–12, 2025
📍Aarhus University
🎯FREE for all researchers at all career levels!

Topics include:
🌍#DemographicHistory & #PopulationStructure
🧬#NaturalSelection & #QuantitativeGenetics
🦠#Microbiome & #DiseaseGenetics

🗣️ Talk/Poster Submission: June 1
📝 General Registration: July 31
🔗 Learn more and register: popgen.dk/epic/

#EPICDK2025 #Population #Genetics

2025-05-01

📣Beta test our new global #population #data - 2015 to 2030

⬇️Now freely available to download ⬇️

worldpop.org/blog/beta-test-ou

#HDX #HumanitarianData @ACLED @qgis @geomob @geonews

Drone photograph of busy market. Yaoundé, Cameroon.

@df

That piece on ethics of immigration was an interesting read. I was going to post some thoughts there, but they ended up long, so I'll post them here instead:

In a finite world, this gets inevitably tangled in the politics of reproduction and overpopulation. Some seek to tactically out-reproduce as a way of politically dominating, or to fear that others will, but even more basically, if we ignore such factions and stick to sheer numbers: We can be fruitful and multiply only to a point in a finite world. At some point, multiplying isn't fruitful but exhausts all fruit.

And so when people move around in a sparse world, there there may be more capacity to absorb them than in a dense one, regardless of how you define words like sparse and dense and capacity. And, of course, density is distributed unevenly. Certain standards of living or ways of living will not support more than a certain number of people. So questions arise as to whether it's the right of a people or a region to have any such standard or way of living.

Without a theory of why people would taper off reproduction as the world becomes crowded, the politics of immigration becomes tethered to the politics of reproduction. Birth itself is a kind of immigration, and sometimes people who want to taper immigration seem to nonetheless want to encourage birth, without seeing or acknowledging that each of these increases population density and strain on finite resources. In an "empty" world, the risk is of having too few people, and both birth and immigration seem obvious opportunities to mitigate risk. In a "full" world, the risk is of having too many people, and both birth and immigration seem points of concern and opportunities for risk to attach.

Of course, density is not distributed evenly in the world, so these concepts apply differently in different places, but it simplifies discussion to keep things simple. To have a coherent ethics on this, one must know where one is in the empty/full spectrum. And, of course, all gets even more complicated if one realizes that people will inevitably overlay race, religion, wealth, or nationality, but the essential problems are best seen if you hold those at bay long enough to understand it is not really possible to ignore overpopulation as a core driver of the stress. In some sense, those other factors just create ways of magnifying, partitioning, and sadly scapegoating that stress.

Discussions of both reproduction and immigration are intrinsically difficult because they get quickly into issues of how we may fairly distribute finite resources in an ever more crowded world as cultures with very different and deeply held practices and expectations come ever more inevitably into contact and, too often, conflict with one another. Achieving any sense of fairness can be a nontrivial task because each is starting from a different place and there is often no commonly agreed starting point for what can be expected to be fixed and what must be up for negotiation. It probably have to start with everyone agreeing there's a real problem and that we all need to be equitably involved in a solution, but I sense there's a lot of denial on both of these points.

#population #immigration #philosophy #overpopulation #sustainability #ethics #politics

Bibliolater 📚 📜 🖋bibliolater@qoto.org
2025-04-30

**Threshold fertility for the avoidance of extinction under critical conditions**

“_The results indicate that the fertility rate should exceed 2.7 to avoid extinction. The extinction threshold is reduced by a female-biased sex ratio. We argue that the present results explain the observed phenomena of female-biased births under severe conditions as an effective way to avoid extinction._”

Cuaresma DCN, Ito H, Arima H, Yoshimura J, Morita S, et al. (2025) Threshold fertility for the avoidance of extinction under critical conditions. PLOS ONE 20(4): e0322174. journals.plos.org/plosone/arti.

#OpenAccess #OA #Research #Article #DOI #Fertility #Extinction #Population #Anthropology #Academia #Academics @anthropology

☮ ♥ ♬ 🧑‍💻peterrenshaw@ioc.exchange
2025-04-30

Day 31 cont 🧍‍♀️🧍🧍‍♂️🧍‍♂️🧍‍♀️🧍‍♀️🧍‍♀️🧍🏡

“Already these so-called #greenfield developments — houses built on previously #BareLand, just as the name suggests — are changing the #terrain of #Australia’s #cities.

The new #developments are easy to spot from the street, or the air, thanks to the sea of grey roof tiles.

Where once #ResidentialDevelopment was concentrated around #economic centres, now it’s #bulging outwards to an extent that the connection to city-living is tenuous at best.”

The barely mentioned issue that needs to be addressed, #population and #planning.

#AusPol / #cities / #land / #LandUse <abc.net.au/news/2025-04-30/fed>

RS, Author, Novelist, Prosaistsfwrtr@eldritch.cafe
2025-04-29

Gah! Why I never sign on to eX-Twitter unless I need to follow something up.
🤮

Have we forgotten the world is overpopulated with barely the resources to support us already?

#Elon #Musk is insane.

#BoostingIsSharing

#uspol #politics #population #uspolitics

A post on Twitter by the DOGE-Y EM stating "It is an existential crisis," retweeting, "A friendly reminder to have more babies!"
2025-04-29

"#Putin’s #war on #Ukraine has undermined all the potential sources of [#Russia's] #population growth"
mastodon.social/@Brit_In_Moldo
Brit_In_Moldova@mastodon.social - It's not recent, but this article captures the powerful demographic decline of Russia through collapse of the male population.

atlanticcouncil.org/content-se

Not helped by many Russians hating immigrants deeply, rampant alcoholism, and the most able in the population fleeing.

Centre for Population ChangeCPCpopulation@sciences.social
2025-04-25

📚 NEW BOOK - open access!

This Research Handbook provides an overview of the changing landscape of human #partnerships, integrating diverse theoretical and empirical perspectives. Leading scholars explore the complex interplay between individual #lifetrajectories, societal norms, and legal frameworks in shaping modern #relationships.

Co-edited by CPC member Brienna Perelli-Harris

🔖 e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/research-

#partnering #lifecourse #population #demography #family #marriage #cohabitation

Research Handbook on Partnering across the Life Course
Research Handbooks in Sociology series
Edited by Dimitri Mortelmans, Centre for Population, Family and Health (CPFH), University of Antwerp, Belgium, Laura Bernardi, Swiss Center of Expertise in Life Course Research (LIVES), University of Lausanne, Switzerland, and Brienna Perelli-Harris, Department of Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton, UK
Publication Date: April 2025 ISBN: 978 1 80392 337 6 Extent: 394 pp
This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 License. It is free to read, download and share on Elgaronline.com.
Knowledge Zonekzoneind@mstdn.social
2025-04-25

#KnowledgeByte: A "#Ghost #Population" refers to a population that has been inferred through statistical techniques, particularly in the fields of population genetics and anthropology.

These populations are often ancient groups that no longer exist but have left genetic traces in the DNA of modern populations.

knowledgezone.co.in/posts/What

Trump says baby bonuses are a ‘good idea.’ Can cash boost birth rates?
The Trump administration is reportedly exploring ways to reverse America’s declining birthrate by offering incentives for larger families, potentially including a baby bonus.
#politics #economics #population #America #Canada #Health
globalnews.ca/news/11145221/do

2025-04-24

Trump says baby bonuses are a ‘good idea.’ Can cash boost birth rates?
The Trump administration is reportedly exploring ways to reverse America’s declining birthrate by offering incentives for larger families, potentially including a baby bonus.
#politics #economics #population #America #Canada #Health
globalnews.ca/news/11145221/do

2025-04-24

Trump says baby bonuses are a ‘good idea.’ Can cash boost birth rates?
The Trump administration is reportedly exploring ways to reverse America’s declining birthrate by offering incentives for larger families, potentially including a baby bonus.
#politics #economics #population #America #Canada #Health
globalnews.ca/news/11145221/do

2025-04-24

Trump says baby bonuses are a ‘good idea.’ Can cash boost birth rates?
The Trump administration is reportedly exploring ways to reverse America’s declining birthrate by offering incentives for larger families, potentially including a baby bonus.
#politics #economics #population #America #Canada #Health
globalnews.ca/news/11145221/do

Wisdom in Spacewisdom@c.im
2025-04-24
photo by richard rathe
Knut 🏳️‍🌈 🇳🇴🧸praetor@mstdn.social
2025-04-22

The #earth has a finite carrying capacity, and has a remarkable ability for reducing species numbers in interesting sort of ways. For instance, the number of #GLBT people and women has sharply increased while the number of men have decreased. Nobody knows why and fertility is entirely randomized. #population #natalism #vance #news al.com/politics/2025/04/trump-

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