"We don’t really think about our future – we remember it",
said Dr Hal Hershfield, who studies how humans think about time and how that influences our emotions and behaviors.
When we daydream or envision ourselves at a later point, we essentially create a memory.
We then use these memories to construct our ideas about the future.
This process is called “episodic future thinking”;
it supports our decision-making, emotional regulation and ability to plan.
The type of radical uncertainty generated during times of crisis,
where all the factors that might affect future events or outcomes are unknowable in advance,
interferes with our ability to recall those futures.
That makes it harder to predict what will happen and makes calculating accurate probabilities feel nearly impossible.
Humans have been here before, Hershfield reminded me.
For example, people living through the Cuban missile crisis had no clear way of knowing if they
– or the world itself
– would survive.
“What feels very different in the present moment,” Hershfield said,
“is that it feels like it’s coming from multiple fronts.
It’s everything from political uncertainty in the US and elsewhere,
health insecurity from the very fresh memory of a global pandemic,
job insecurity from AI,
geopolitical insecurity,
to environmental insecurity.”
All these crises are happening contemporaneously,
and because they interact with each other, their effects pile up.
Social scientists refer to these stacked crises as a #polycrisis.
During a polycrisis, radical uncertainty becomes rife.
if you’re feeling overwhelmed and anxious about what might happen, Hershfield suggests that it’s better to refocus on events that will most likely happen.
This makes it easier to remember the future self we envisioned and plan accordingly.
“People who suffer real tragedy and trauma typically recover more quickly than they expect to
and often return to their original level of happiness, or something close to it.
That’s the good news – we are a hardy species, even though we don’t know this about ourselves.
https://www.theguardian.com/wellness/2026/jan/14/new-year-polycrisis-psychology-feeling-trapped?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other