Joel Tosi presents 'The problems that arise when focusing on predictability instead of variability' July 25th at Nebraska.Code().
https://nebraskacode.amegala.com/
#ValueStream #Predictability #Variability #Dev #Test #Operations #TechConference #PracticalAgile #Nebraska #Agile #agileprojectmanagement #technology #lincolnne #softwareengineer #softwaredeveloper #programming #techevents #networkingevent
⛪🍄 Apparently, someone thought it was a great idea to see what happens when the clergy trips on #shrooms. Spoiler: they find "deeper meaning" while the rest of us find this experiment hilariously predictable 🙄🔍.
https://nautil.us/clergy-blown-away-by-psilocybin-1217112/ #clergyexperiment #humor #deepermeaning #predictability #HackerNews #HackerNews #ngated
Conquer the Chaos: My book "Mastering Modern Time Series Forecasting : The Complete Guide to Statistical, Machine Learning & Deep Learning Models in Python -> https://valeman.gumroad.com/l/MasteringModernTimeSeriesForecasting
#Forecasting #TimeSeries #Entropy #DataScience #MachineLearning #Predictability #SignalProcessing #Analytics
#Zoomposium with Professor Dr. #Achim #Stephan: “I feel, therefore I am. How #feelings influence our #thinking.”
He was Professor of #Philosophy of #Cognition at the University of Osnabrück and Dean of the #CognitiveScience program. His main field of work is the #philosophyofmind, and in particular #emergence, #emotions and #affectivity, from #predictability to #selforganization”.
More at: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2024/04/23/ich-fuehle-also-bin-ich/
#Zoomposium with Professor Dr. #Achim #Stephan: “I feel, therefore I am. How #feelings influence our #thinking.”
He was Professor of #Philosophy of #Cognition at the University of Osnabrück and Dean of the #CognitiveScience program. His main field of work is the #philosophyofmind, and in particular #emergence, #emotions and #affectivity, from #predictability to #selforganization”.
More at: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2024/04/23/ich-fuehle-also-bin-ich/
#Zoomposium with Professor Dr. #Achim #Stephan: “I feel, therefore I am. How #feelings influence our #thinking.”
He was Professor of #Philosophy of #Cognition at the University of Osnabrück and Dean of the #CognitiveScience program. His main field of work is the #philosophyofmind, and in particular #emergence, #emotions and #affectivity, from #predictability to #selforganization”.
More at: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2024/04/23/ich-fuehle-also-bin-ich/
#Design #Techniques
Goodbye 4px spacing, hello Fibonacci · A fresh perspective on spacing systems in design https://ilo.im/160rz0
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#Spacing #Calculation #Consistency #Predictability #GridSystems #ProductDesign #UiDesign #VisualDesign #WebDesign
Our pattern-seeking #brain seems to need to be rattled from time to time. The combination of #predictability (established tropes) and resolving states of #uncertainty (what will happen next) might be a major reason why we enjoy #horror.
If you or your child find adapting to changes particularly challenging, it might not be about being inflexible. Instead, it could reflect a need for predictability and stability. #change #predictability #stability #neurodivergent
Respectna the Vecna or He’ll Break Your Neckna - The hashtags say it all. - https://www.mltivrs.com/2024/06/06/vecnas-back-season-5-of-stranger-things-scifi-netflix/ #StrangerThings #Season5 #Vecna #HollyWheeler #KarenWheeler #Eleven #StrangerThings #Season5 #Vecna #SciFi #Boredom #Unoriginality #Predictability #RehashedPlots #BlandStorytelling #LackOfCharacterDevelopment #FinalSeason #Disappointment
#Design #Explorations
UI density · Why some user interfaces succeed and others fail https://ilo.im/15yy25
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#Speed #Consistency #Predictability #Functionality #Usability #ProductDesign #UiDesign #VisualDesign #WebDesign
“There is a need to give this a more robust & institutional framework to ensure #predictability & #commitment for the long haul,” Stoltenberg said. He added: “I strongly believe it’s important that #allies make decisions fast. And that includes, of course, the #UnitedStates.”
#unreliable #volatile #Trump #Republicans #US #leader #WorldPower #control #NATO #alliance #aid #geopolitics
Most of the time people reject the idea to reduce the amount of parallel work, they do so because they are plagued with a lot of external dependencies that are unpredictable in a sense that nobody knows by when that external dependency will deliver anything.
So people just try to keep their options open.
#StuartKauffman - Can #Science Provide #Ultimate #Answers?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhB-riHuxVs
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #PhilosophyOfBiology #Science #Physics #Biology #Evolution #UseFunction #Utility #Probability #Determinacy #Emergence #Biosphere #Life #Predictability #LawsOfPhysics #LawsOfNature #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
Dear, Harvard Business Review... did anyone look for a pattern in the examples given in this article before proposing a blend between #agile and #waterfall methods (I see one)? What other reasons may exist for a perceived lack of #documentation (better: a lack of understanding), #predictability or #risk mitigation?
https://hbr.org/2023/10/its-time-to-end-the-battle-between-waterfall-and-agile
An illusion of #predictability in scientific results: Even experts confuse #inferential uncertainty and outcome #variability
We have many strong links. China's a vital trading partner. Our trade represents represents some 2.3 billion euros a day.
Most of our trade and goods and services remains mutually beneficial, but there is an urgent need to rebalance our relationship on the basis of #transparency, #predictability and #reciprocity.
Out now, our special issue on #extreme #weather and #predictability in Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences:
https://link.springer.com/journal/13143/volumes-and-issues/59-1
"Additional #estimation accuracy will increase the team’s #predictability." (Leffingwell, 2009)
Well, it's perhaps the other way 'round:
A team that has a stable flow of value, hence is predictable, naturally also has a high estimation accuracy.
Yet, it would be a waste of time to have such a team estimate.
Besides that: I'd rather invest money into improvement of said flow of value instead of the ability to accurately estimate - which is essentially waste in Lean terms.
