#TimeSeries #Forecasting #MachineLearning #DataScience #AI #Entropy #Predictability #ChapterDrop
Order book here -> https://valeman.gumroad.com/l/MasteringModernTimeSeriesForecasting
#Predictability
#Zoomposium with Professor Dr. #Achim #Stephan: “I feel, therefore I am. How #feelings influence our #thinking.”
He was Professor of #Philosophy of #Cognition at the University of Osnabrück and Dean of the #CognitiveScience program. His main field of work is the #philosophyofmind, and in particular #emergence, #emotions and #affectivity, from #predictability to #selforganization”.
More at: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2024/04/23/ich-fuehle-also-bin-ich/
#Design #Techniques
Goodbye 4px spacing, hello Fibonacci · A fresh perspective on spacing systems in design https://ilo.im/160rz0
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#Spacing #Calculation #Consistency #Predictability #GridSystems #ProductDesign #UiDesign #VisualDesign #WebDesign
Our pattern-seeking #brain seems to need to be rattled from time to time. The combination of #predictability (established tropes) and resolving states of #uncertainty (what will happen next) might be a major reason why we enjoy #horror.
If you or your child find adapting to changes particularly challenging, it might not be about being inflexible. Instead, it could reflect a need for predictability and stability. #change #predictability #stability #neurodivergent
Respectna the Vecna or He’ll Break Your Neckna - The hashtags say it all. - https://www.mltivrs.com/2024/06/06/vecnas-back-season-5-of-stranger-things-scifi-netflix/ #StrangerThings #Season5 #Vecna #HollyWheeler #KarenWheeler #Eleven #StrangerThings #Season5 #Vecna #SciFi #Boredom #Unoriginality #Predictability #RehashedPlots #BlandStorytelling #LackOfCharacterDevelopment #FinalSeason #Disappointment
#Design #Explorations
UI density · Why some user interfaces succeed and others fail https://ilo.im/15yy25
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#Speed #Consistency #Predictability #Functionality #Usability #ProductDesign #UiDesign #VisualDesign #WebDesign
“There is a need to give this a more robust & institutional framework to ensure #predictability & #commitment for the long haul,” Stoltenberg said. He added: “I strongly believe it’s important that #allies make decisions fast. And that includes, of course, the #UnitedStates.”
#unreliable #volatile #Trump #Republicans #US #leader #WorldPower #control #NATO #alliance #aid #geopolitics
Most of the time people reject the idea to reduce the amount of parallel work, they do so because they are plagued with a lot of external dependencies that are unpredictable in a sense that nobody knows by when that external dependency will deliver anything.
So people just try to keep their options open.
#StuartKauffman - Can #Science Provide #Ultimate #Answers?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhB-riHuxVs
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #PhilosophyOfBiology #Science #Physics #Biology #Evolution #UseFunction #Utility #Probability #Determinacy #Emergence #Biosphere #Life #Predictability #LawsOfPhysics #LawsOfNature #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
Dear, Harvard Business Review... did anyone look for a pattern in the examples given in this article before proposing a blend between #agile and #waterfall methods (I see one)? What other reasons may exist for a perceived lack of #documentation (better: a lack of understanding), #predictability or #risk mitigation?
https://hbr.org/2023/10/its-time-to-end-the-battle-between-waterfall-and-agile
An illusion of #predictability in scientific results: Even experts confuse #inferential uncertainty and outcome #variability
We have many strong links. China's a vital trading partner. Our trade represents represents some 2.3 billion euros a day.
Most of our trade and goods and services remains mutually beneficial, but there is an urgent need to rebalance our relationship on the basis of #transparency, #predictability and #reciprocity.
Out now, our special issue on #extreme #weather and #predictability in Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences:
https://link.springer.com/journal/13143/volumes-and-issues/59-1
"Additional #estimation accuracy will increase the team’s #predictability." (Leffingwell, 2009)
Well, it's perhaps the other way 'round:
A team that has a stable flow of value, hence is predictable, naturally also has a high estimation accuracy.
Yet, it would be a waste of time to have such a team estimate.
Besides that: I'd rather invest money into improvement of said flow of value instead of the ability to accurately estimate - which is essentially waste in Lean terms.
🔴5 delivery metrics you should track (apart from velocity)
by Bart Krawczyk at @LogRocket
#metrics #webdev #Cycletime #Predictability #Technicaldebt #Timeinstatus #Timetomarket
https://blog.logrocket.com/product-management/5-delivery-metrics-you-should-track/
#SabineHossenfelder - How #Chaos Control Is Changing The World
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1-cwamhwag&ab_channel=SabineHossenfelder
#Science #Physics #Math #Maths #Mathematics #ChaosTheory #ChaosControl #Pertutbation #Perturbations #PerturbationTheory #Statistics #Predictability #Probability #MachineLearning #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Astronomy #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #SolarSystem #Lorenz #EdwardLorenz #Weather #WeatherPrediction #WeatherForecasting #LorenzModel #AdaptiveSystems
Do you find yourself asking how do we ensure teams are aligned, working together, and delivering value to the organization all while continuing to find optimization opportunities over time? How do we build intentional #resilience, #predictability & #agility?
👉🏼 How to rethink optimization & visibility through the lens of the business now at #QConPlus: https://bit.ly/3UqC1JB
Collette Tauscher, Director of Supply Chain Strategy at Columbia1938.
Our new paper on the #predictability of high growth enterprises (#HGEs) in real time is out in #Entrepreneurship #Theory & #Practice (#ETP).
We use #machinelearning #methods to predict #HGEs three years ahead, and incorporate a #budget #constraint to the #prediction #problem.
It is #openaccess here:
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/10422587221128268
Thanks to my co-authors Petri Rouvinen(VTT), Joosua Virtanen (Hanken), and Mika Pajarinen (ETLA) for making this happen.
Who is here working on #EarthSystem #modeling #CarbonCycle #ClimateChange #ocean #biogeochemistry #predictability #variability?
I'd like to follow you.
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