Orbital House of Cards – CRASH Clock Metric
Researchers have updated the possibility that satellites in low earth orbit (LEO) could collapse after accidental collisions quickly cascade into a vicious cycle where initial collisions create a huge vortex of dangerous space debris, which creates even more collisions, and then even more collisions – just like a massive vehicle pileup on an ice covered interstate highway…this cascading collision scenario is known as the Kessler syndrome.
The researchers propose a new metric, the CRASH Clock, that measures the timescale for a possible Kessler like scenario to occur after a severe loss of space situational awareness. They propose the CRASH Clock is currently 5.5 days, which is the window of opportunity to recover/stop a wide spread cascading collision event. https://futurism.com/space/earths-lower-orbit-rapidly-collapse
DL full paper here: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.09643 #Space #Satellites #LEO #KesslerSyndrome #Kessler #SpaceCraft #CrashClock #SatelliteCollision #SpaceJunk