Marketing Shapes Our Views - Olivia Nuzzi and Ryan Holiday
#Principles
A quotation from Franklin Roosevelt
We can gain no lasting peace if we approach it with suspicion and mistrust — or with fear. We can gain it only if we proceed with the understanding and the confidence and the courage which flow from conviction.
Franklin Delano Roosevelt (1882-1945) American lawyer, politician, statesman, US President (1933-1945)
Speech (1945-01-20), Inaugural Address, Washington, D.C.
More about this quote: wist.info/roosevelt-franklin-d…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #fdr #franklinroosevelt #franklindroosevelt #franklindelanoroosevelt #confidence #conviction #courage #fear #foreignrelations #internationalaffairs #internationalrelations #mistrust #peace #principles #suspicion #understanding
"Know when to get your age out of the way." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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We are on Day 13. We just spent Day 12 dismantling your personal hubris - getting your ego out of the way. One of the most important aspects of that?
Showing your wisdom the door!
We need to dismantle the collective, generational delusion of your organizational hierarchy!
We need to talk about age.
Yup.
Sorry.
Depending on who you are while reading this, there might be a major reality you need to consider - it might very well be the case that your grey hair is now a strategic liability.
The unique nature of our times? I call it "The Wisdom Inversion!"
Think about where we are at this moment in time.
In a slow-moving, linear world, wisdom was cumulative. Grey hair was a proxy for foresight. The people at the top of the pyramid had seen the most, so they knew the most. You paid your dues, waited your turn, and eventually, you got to hold the steering wheel.
In an exponential world, that model is completely broken.
When technology, culture, and consumer behaviour shift radically every 36 months, your 30 years of experience isn't just irrelevant; it’s often a dangerous anchor to an obsolete past. You might have earned your way to the top, but by the time you get there, your experience, insight, and wisdom are probably wildly out of date.
The result? Right now, in boardrooms across the world, rooms full of 55-year-olds are making massive strategic bets on a future built by, and for, 25-year-olds.
They are trying to interpret TikTok dynamics through a PowerPoint lens.
Need an example? They are analyzing decentralized finance business models - weird things involved crypto and blockchain and stuff like that - using banking models from 1995.
And your younger employees? They are rolling their eyes. They are quietly laughing. They are sitting in the back of the room, biting their tongues, watching leadership steer the ship toward an iceberg they spotted five miles back. They are frustrated because they are native to the future that senior leadership is only visiting as tourists.
If your strategy is being dictated solely by the oldest people in the building, you are driving forward while staring into the rearview mirror.
That's why a discipline you must master in 2026, and beyond, is Wisdom Inversion.
Keep on reading - because you need to deal with this reality!
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**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Jim Carroll's 1997 book, Surviving the Information Age, continues to be a powerful indictment of the change barriers that come with slow-moving minds in an era of fast change.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decoding-tomorrow-mastering-2026-the-wisdom-inversion-know-when-to-get-your-age-out-of-the-way
The Web Runs on Tolerance, by @Edent:
"The hubris of experience guarantees failure." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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We are on Day 12.
We’ve spent the last two weeks stripping away the internal barriers to speed—the fear, the linear forecasting, the lack of collaboration, and the organizational complexity (Day 11).
Now, we face the final, most formidable internal enemy. It’s not out there in the market. It’s looking back at you in the mirror.
It's you.
It is the ego of the successful leader. To really get ahead in 2026, you need to understand the trap of hubris and why your past success can be your biggest future liability.
What do you need to think about? The challenge of successful experience and why it can get in your way.
In a linear, slow-moving world, 30 years of continued success was your most valuable asset. It proved you knew the formula. You had "seen it all." Your intuition was unimpeachable wisdom. You knew exactly what to do, when it needed to be done, and how to do it.
Those days are gone.
In an exponential world, where entire industries are being reinvented every few years, that same 30 years of experience can become a catastrophic liability. Why? Because it can get in the way. It blinds you. It clouds your judgment. It can bring to light your lack of skills in how to respond to the profound changes that are underway. It conditions you to believe that the future will behave like the past.
It locks you into old pattern recognition for entirely new patterns!
When you combine a track record of linear success with an exponential shift in reality, you get a dangerous psychological condition I have written about extensively, and that's the trap of hubris.
It’s the arrogance that says, "I know better than anyone else." It’s the belief that your past wins grant you immunity from future disruption. It is the ultimate drag on velocity because a leader or individual blinded by hubris will drive full speed off a cliff, ignoring every warning sign along the way because they are convinced their internal map is better than the external terrain.
The discipline you must master to avoid this fate is Strategic Humility.
You need to know what it is, how to identify it, how to avoid it - and how to shed it!
Read the post to learn how.
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**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Futurist Jim Carroll has seen a lot of hubris within the leadership teams has has spoken to, as part of his keynote preparation process - and that insight has shaped the way he has pulled together his trends and innovation keynote.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decoding-tomorrow-mastering-2026-12-strategic-humility-the-hubris-of-experience-guarantees-failure/
Die 175 Flow-Prinzipien: Warum Produktentwicklung oft langsamer ist als nötig
Die 175 Flow-Prinzipien von Reinertsen sind Gesetzmäßigkeiten, die die Product Velocity drastisch beschleunigen können.
https://www.se-trends.de/die-175-flow-prinzipien-warum-produktentwicklung-oft-langsamer-ist-als-noetig/
#Bcher #Muster #ProductVelocity #DonaldGReinertsen #Flow #Lean #Principles
Solidarity seems like a noble goal, but it's specious at best. When rallying for a cause, we want solidarity – for others to join – but what if we are among the others? #Solidarity comes at the expense of self – fine if you are already committed. Otherwise, not so much.
https://philosophics.blog/2025/12/03/on-the-strange-politics-of-solidarity/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#solidarity #ethics #virtue #commongood #teaching #indotrination #normativity #institution #philosophy #psychology #virtue #dogma #flourishing #boundaries #goodandevil #totalitarianism #morals #principles
"Don't protect your knowledge; connect it." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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"If I have an idea and you have an idea, we have two ideas. If we share those ideas, we have a movement!" That's what I wrote some years ago here in my Daily Inspiration, in a post talking about the power of collaborative insight.
In a collaborative world, the size, scope and reach of your 'idea movement' becomes even more important, and that's why you need to think about connecting your knowledge with other knowledge - rather than hoarding it.
We are on Day 10. You have set a Moonshot goal (Day 9) to grow 10x. Now you need the collaborative velocity to achieve it - you realise that more than likely, your internal 'brain trust' is too limited and too slow to gather and obtain the knowledge it needs to move forward.
Take a look around your current organisation or your personal network. Do you honestly believe the resources, knowledge, and talent currently within your four walls are sufficient to achieve that 10x goal?
Of course they aren't! They were assembled to achieve yesterday's 10% goals - not a 10x goal!
And therein lies the difference. In a linear world, power came from hoarding knowledge. You built high walls around your R&D lab, protected your trade secrets, and tried to hire the best people to work exclusively for you. Your internal capabilities defined your speed.
But in an exponential world, the speed of innovation outside your organisation will always exceed the speed of innovation inside it. There are more smart people outside your company than inside it. If you work on your own or in a small team, know that your knowledge is now, and will forever be, limited. There are more breakthrough startups working in your field than you have R&D teams; there are other teams who are working faster, smarter and better than you.
And in that context, you need to learn how to connect with them!
If you try to build everything yourself, you move at a linear pace. To move at an exponential pace, you must shift from "owning" knowledge to "accessing" it through rapid partnership.
I have been obsessed with this shift from "slow isolation" to "fast collaboration" for years. It is not just about working together; it is about how fast you can form the connection to solve the problem.
Read the full post to learn why this is now critical.
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Futurist Jim Carroll identified the power of collaborative networks in a 1987 document he wrote called Linkage. It predicted the emerging concept of LinkedIn, which would not appear until 20 years later.
**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decoding-tomorrow-mastering-2026-10-dont-protect-your-knowledge-connect-it-futurist-jim-carroll/
Good Visual Design, Explained, by @nngroupux.bsky.social:
"The greatest risk today isn't the speed of change: it's your failure to pick up your pace." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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We are on Day 8. You've committed to the pivot (Day 7). Now, you have to run.
That's why the principle you need to align to is "Velocity Alignment."
What is it? Matching your internal pace with external reality!
In a linear world, speed was a differentiator - the future belonged to the fast! Being faster than your competitor was a real advantage - if you mastered speed, you had what you needed to stay out in front in a competitive world. Speed wasn't a mad rush, though - you had the luxury of "measured paces," long development cycles, and five-year roadmaps.
Five-year roadmaps! As they say, LOL to that! In our faster world, you can barely plan for next month!
The sad truth is that in our new exponential world, speed is no longer a differentiator; it is the baseline requirement for existence. The external environment is accelerating so rapidly that if you don't do the minimum to keep up, you are guaranteed to not just fall behind - but perhaps, become rapidly irrelevant. our personal workflow, your team's processes, your organizational cadence—are still running on linear time, you are falling behind every single hour.
The interesting thing for me, as we head into 2026 in the context of the issue of speed, is that perhaps my book of 2012 is now out of date. The future no longer belongs to those who are fast - it belongs to those who are fluid!
Here's the key thing you need to ponder - the disconnect between external velocity and internal friction is where companies die, and careers stall.
The Evidence: 10 Ways Speed is the New Currency
Throughout my blog posts and keynotes, I have documented how the fundamental metrics of success have shifted toward velocity. CEOs have brought me in to talk to their teams to help them understand the reality of speed and the necessity for corporate velocity. The things I talk and write about aren't theoretical; it is the new operating reality across every sector.
Here are 10 examples from my analysis of how speed is now the primary metric:
(read the rest of the post in the link)
In an exponential world, speed is no longer just an advantage but the absolute baseline for survival.
You must immediately align your personal pace with this accelerating reality to avoid falling behind. That's the essence of Principle **#8** - velocity alignment!
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Futurist Jim Carroll identified 'speed' as being the core metric for future success over 25 years ago.
**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Here are six principles shared by Margaret Wheatley that she has "learned to emphasize" before beginning a conversation
https://www.conferencesthatwork.com/index.php/uncategorized/2010/01/six-principles-of-conversation
My CSS Selector Strategy, by @malarkey:
https://stuffandnonsense.co.uk/blog/my-css-selector-strategy
"Remember - in an exponential world, the static become extinct." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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Day 7? Let's focus on Relentless Reinvention, and why "staying the course" is the most dangerous strategy of all
Days 1 to 6? We've reset your clock, cleared your path, built your courage, turned on your radar, accelerated your learning, and embraced rapid mistakes.
Now, we arrive at the hardest emotional discipline of them all: knowing when to change - and doing the change.
In our old, slow-moving linear world, "staying the course" was a supreme virtue. Once you set a career path or a long-term leadership strategy, you stick to it. Changing direction mid-stream was seen as a sign of weakness, indecision, or flakiness.
But in an exponential world, "staying the course" when the terrain is fundamentally shifting beneath your feet isn't grit; it's suicide.
When technology, industries, or market dynamics shift exponentially, your current role, skill set, or leadership approach can become obsolete overnight. The most successful leaders in 2026 won't be the ones who cling the hardest to their past identities; they will be the ones with the agility to abandon a doomed path instantly and reallocate their personal energy to a new one.
In that context, the discipline you must master is Relentless Reinvention.
Reinvention? It's often known as 'the pivot.'
What Reinvention Looks Like in Real Life
It is easy to discuss the concept of the "pivot" in the abstract—as a strategic necessity on a whiteboard. It is much harder to recognize what it looks like in the trenches of real life.
In my book Now What? Reinvention and the Role of Optimism in Finding Your New Future, I documented the journeys of individuals who faced this exact precipice, with several of the stories looking at their pivot during the pandemic of 2020. They didn't just "change jobs"; they fundamentally reinvented their skills, their time, and their identities to align with a new reality. You can get the book here.
Here is what Relentless Reinvention looks like in practice:
(keep reading)
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**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Futurist Jim Carroll has reinvented his future multiple times throughout his career, considering it to be just like a regular software upgrade.
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/11/decoding-tomorrow-mastering-2026-7-remember-in-an-exponential-world-the-static-become-extinct/
"Make more 'better' mistakes!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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In 2026, your new ROI should be ROF - "Return on Failure"
We are on Day 6. We've reset your clock, cleared the path, built your courage, turned on your radar, and accelerated your learning.
Now, we need to completely rewire your relationship with failure.
Why? Because, as the saying goes, in a fast world, innovators fail faster!
Think about it. In a linear, slow-paced world, mistakes were expensive, permanent, and career-limiting. You spent years perfecting a product or strategy behind closed doors to ensure a flawless "Big Bang" launch. The ultimate metric was ROI—Return on Investment—and "failure" meant negative ROI.
Those days are gone. In an exponential world, that math is backwards. The new reality is that not making mistakes fast enough is the biggest mistake of all.
If you aren't making mistakes, you aren't moving fast enough. You aren't testing the boundaries. You are operating on old assumptions while the world shifts beneath your feet.
In that context, your goal isn't to avoid failure; it's to maximize what you learn from it to do it better the next time, right away. Every failure gives you invaluable data, insight, and lessons about speed. You need to make more mistakes, make them faster, and make them better, meaning they are small, calculated experiments designed to yield maximum learning, not sloppy errors born of carelessness.
In other words, make more better mistakes!
You really need to understand why this is so important - read the post for more.
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Futurist Jim Carroll can count the mistakes he's made on many hands.
**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/11/decoding-tomorrow-mastering-2026-6-make-more-better-mistakes/
A quotation from Franklin Roosevelt
We may make mistakes — but they must never be mistakes which result from faintness of heart or abandonment of moral principle.
Franklin Delano Roosevelt (1882-1945) American lawyer, politician, statesman, US President (1933-1945)
Speech (1945-01-20), Inaugural Address, Washington, D.C.
More about this quote: wist.info/roosevelt-franklin-d…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #franklinroosevelt #fdr #franklindelanoroosevelt #franklindroosevelt #error #fear #immorality #imperfection #mistake #principles #reluctance #vice #evil
"Learn faster than knowledge appears. It’s your only sustainable advantage." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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We are three days into resetting your mindset for 2026.
Day 5? It's all about learning velocity, and the fact that you need to stop relying on your degree and start learning for your life!
I want you to implant this idea firmly in your mind right now: skills decay. Add to that concept the idea of the half-life of knowledge. Layer on top of it my often-repeated phrase - the ability to master just-in-time knowledge is key.
The former is happening faster because the latter is becoming smaller. Once you understand that, you need much of what you need to know for 2026 - your ability to align and realign to the new velocity of knowledge will be key to everything you do.
Think about the change we are in the midst of. In a linear world, your education was a finite event. You went to college, got a degree, learned a trade, or got a set of professional skills, and that block of knowledge was something you could rely upon for a 30-year career with only minor maintenance.
But in an exponential world, knowledge is not just growing; it’s exploding. I've written about this a lot, but it bears repeating. I often share on stage the fact that the average half-life of a professional skill has collapsed from 10-15 years to just 5 years today. Or the fact that it is said that half of what you know today will be obsolete in five years, if not sooner. In some high-tech fields, that timeline is compressed even further, with knowledge potentially doubling in a matter of months or even hours.
This means that if you are relying on what you already know, i.e, with your past degree, your decade of experience, to carry you through 2026, you are driving on fumes. Your battery is empty, your mind is out of gas, and you'll soon hit the limit of where you can go.
Bottom line? The knowledge that got you here is decaying faster than you can replace it with linear learning methods.
In that context, the defining characteristic of a successful professional in 2026 will not be their stock of knowledge, but their rate of learning.
Principle 6? The discipline you must master is Learning Velocity.
Learn more in the post!
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Futurist Jim Carroll spends a LOT of time learning new stuff, knowing that this is the key to everything!
**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
"Know that the future whispers before it shouts. Listen now." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
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We are three days into resetting your mindset for 2026. You understand the speed of change (Temporal Literacy), you’ve started clearing the deadwood (Self-Pruning), and you’re building the courage to act without perfect clarity (Ambiguity Tolerance).
Now, you need a radar system! One that allows you to do a better job of understanding what comes next, and what you need to know about it, long before you have to do anything about it! Way back in 2007, I wrote about the idea of this when I outlined my 'Trends & Innovation' Model.' Right there, at the top of this iterative loop, is the 'radar'. It's what you do to find the signals through the noise.
I'll come back to this in a moment - for now, keep the idea in mind.
Here's how things have changed with the model. In a linear world, change happened slowly enough that you could afford to be reactive. You could wait until a trend became obvious, analyze it, and then adapt.
In an exponential world, by the time a trend is obvious, it's usually too late to leverage it.
That means if you are reading about a disruptive technology on the front page of a mainstream business site, the exponential opportunity phase is likely already over. You are now in the reactive phase, playing catch-up against those who saw it coming three years ago. And that's why the idea of Anticipatory Intelligence has become so important in 2026 - you need to work harder to stay ahead of the trends that might impact you, before the trends actually impact.
This is a problem for most folks. The mistake most professionals make is that they are so obsessed with managing the present—the daily fires, the quarterly results, the immediate emails—that they never lift their heads to scan the horizon. They are driving a 200-mph Ferrari while staring intently at the dashboard indicators, oblivious to the cliff approaching up ahead.
To lead in 2026, you need to shift from being reactive to being anticipatory. The discipline for this is Anticipatory Intelligence.
Here's what you need to do....
(Keep reading!)
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**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Futurist Jim Carroll believes that developing his ability to do effective online research in the mid-1980s is one of the key skills that has allowed him to chase the unique career that he has!
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/11/decoding-tomorrow-mastering-2026-4-know-that-the-future-whispers-before-it-shouts-listen-now/
CERN: where #AI #principles are as elusive as their particles. 🤖🔍 They claim to accelerate #science, yet their document only accelerates eye-rolls. 🙄✨
https://home.web.cern.ch/news/official-news/knowledge-sharing/general-principles-use-ai-cern #CERN #technology #research #humor #HackerNews #ngated
General principles for the use of AI at CERN
https://home.web.cern.ch/news/official-news/knowledge-sharing/general-principles-use-ai-cern
#HackerNews #AI #CERN #principles #technology #innovation #research
"Don't try to be certain, be decisive." - Futurist Jim Carroll
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Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
---
If Day 1 was about seeing the speed of the future, and Day 2 was about clearing the path, Day 3 is about finding the courage to walk it.
Particularly when you don't know what the hell is going on. Welcome to 2026!
Here's the thing about where we are today - in a linear world (aka "the olden days", say, 2 or 3 years ago), you could wait for clarity. You could gather 95% of the data, build a perfect consensus, and then make a low-risk decision.
That world is gone.
Today, the speed of change outpaces the speed of data collection.
You need to learn to make decisions despite a wild lack of clarity, a stunning amount of uncertainty, a scary amount of volatility, and a staggering degree of velocity.
Take a look around - everyone is faced with big, fast change, and don't know what to do about it! We've become a society of deer in the headlights, staring at the bright lights of oncoming exponential change, and yet don't know how to move out of the way - or jump right into it. (Weird metaphor, I know!)
Here's the thing - In every sector, the core uncertainty is the same: Trends are moving exponentially faster than our linear ability to regulate, build, or adapt to them.
If you wait for perfect clarity in this environment, you are waiting for a moment that will never arrive!
The discipline required to thrive here is Ambiguity Tolerance, and you need to master it.
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**#2026** **#Change** **#Navigate** **#Future** **#Inspiration** **#Principles** **#Speed** **#Growth** **#Guidance** **#Exponential**
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/11/decoding-tomorrow-mastering-2026-3-ambiguity-tolerance-dont-try-to-be-certain-be-decisive/
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